ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
27 Central Florida over 198 Tulane 38.5 to 17.5
81 Dayton over 245 Morehead State 45.5 to 21.0
96 Eastern Washington over 232 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 28.0
6 Harvard over 101 Lafayette 38.5 to 17.5
12 Louisiana State over 76 Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
73 Montana over 218 California - Davis 35.0 to 14.0
94 Montana State over 224 Weber State 45.5 to 28.0
13 North Dakota State over 161 Indiana State 31.5 to 10.5
85 Northern Illinois over 227 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 17.5
4 Ohio State over 79 Rutgers 42.0 to 21.0
7 Oregon over 55 Washington 45.5 to 28.0
86 Richmond over 229 Rhode Island 38.5 to 17.5
80 Bethune - Cookman over 248 Savannah State 42.0 to 14.0
22 Southern California over 190 Colorado 42.0 to 17.5
107 Cincinnati over 231 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 21.0
108 Drake over 249 Valparaiso 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
29 Boise State over 90 Fresno State 38.5 to 24.5
132 Alcorn State over 212 Texas Southern 35.0 to 24.5
222 Murray State over 250 Austin Peay 35.0 to 21.0
52 San Diego over 206 Butler 35.0 to 17.5
185 Charleston Southern over 242 Presbyterian 31.5 to 17.5
36 Marshall over 186 Florida International 38.5 to 21.0
1 Florida State over 20 Notre Dame 35.0 to 21.0
182 Stephen F. Austin over 252 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 24.5
21 Louisville over 99 North Carolina State 31.5 to 17.5
197 Massachusetts over 246 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
83 Minnesota over 157 Purdue 31.5 to 21.0
15 Mississippi over 71 Tennessee 35.0 to 21.0
112 Missouri State over 204 South Dakota 35.0 to 21.0
236 Lamar over 251 Nicholls State 35.0 to 24.5
168 North Texas over 228 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5
8 Oklahoma over 23 Kansas State 38.5 to 24.5
158 Pennsylvania over 238 Columbia 31.5 to 17.5
169 South Alabama over 239 Georgia State 38.5 to 24.5
33 South Carolina over 173 Furman 35.0 to 14.0
118 Tennessee State over 192 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 17.5
66 Eastern Kentucky over 223 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 21.0
46 Texas over 116 Iowa State 31.5 to 17.5
9 Texas Christian over 16 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 28.0
119 Texas Tech over 170 Kansas 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
162 Texas State - San Marcos over 176 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5
159 Air Force over 196 New Mexico 31.5 to 24.5
5 Clemson over 59 Boston College 35.0 to 24.5
114 Bowling Green over 152 Western Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
41 Brigham Young over 115 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 21.0
30 California - Los Angeles over 150 California 38.5 to 31.5
124 Delaware over 141 Towson 28.0 to 21.0
127 North Carolina A&T over 211 Delaware State 24.5 to 17.5
69 Stony Brook over 199 Elon 24.5 to 14.0
14 Michigan State over 122 Indiana 38.5 to 31.5
145 Louisiana Tech over 203 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 24.5
84 McNeese State over 177 Abilene Christian 45.5 to 31.5
160 Prairie View over 233 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 28.0
2 Georgia over 34 Arkansas 38.5 to 28.0
49 Northern Iowa over 117 South Dakota State 31.5 to 21.0
113 Bryant over 183 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 28.0
87 Jacksonville over 235 Stetson 45.5 to 31.5
54 Illinois State over 154 Western Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
67 Yale over 105 Colgate 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
31 Virginia Tech over 89 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 24.5
10 Alabama over 18 Texas A&M 31.5 to 28.0
129 Central Michigan over 144 Ball State 31.5 to 24.5
68 Colorado State over 64 Utah State 31.5 to 28.0
92 Lehigh over 175 Cornell 31.5 to 24.5
104 Dartmouth over 123 Holy Cross 31.5 to 24.5
32 Florida over 37 Missouri 28.0 to 21.0
137 Western Kentucky over 208 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 28.0
217 Grambling over 219 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 28.0
194 Hampton over 191 Norfolk State 21.0 to 14.0
226 Howard over 225 Florida A&M 24.5 to 21.0
189 Southern Utah over 234 Idaho State 35.0 to 31.5
181 Army over 214 Kent State 28.0 to 24.5
93 Maine over 100 Albany 24.5 to 24.5
57 Maryland over 60 Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
163 Mercer over 220 Western Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
178 Morgan State over 207 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 24.5
24 Nebraska over 72 Northwestern 31.5 to 24.5
103 Sam Houston State over 184 Northwestern State 31.5 to 28.0
164 Ohio over 179 Akron 24.5 to 24.5
56 Princeton over 78 Brown 31.5 to 24.5
146 Central Connecticut over 205 Robert Morris 28.0 to 21.0
134 California Poly over 201 Sacramento State 38.5 to 31.5
143 Samford over 135 Wofford 28.0 to 24.5
109 San Diego State over 171 Hawaii 28.0 to 21.0
125 Southeast Louisiana over 121 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
120 Eastern Illinois over 193 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 31.5
131 Appalachian State over 230 Troy State 35.0 to 28.0
156 South Florida over 202 Tulsa 28.0 to 24.5
221 Gardner - Webb over 241 Virginia Military 28.0 to 24.5
98 Syracuse over 149 Wake Forest 24.5 to 21.0
3 Baylor over 40 West Virginia 42.0 to 35.0
19 Villanova over 77 William & Mary 31.5 to 24.5
153 San Jose State over 180 Wyoming 28.0 to 24.5
82 Youngstown State over 95 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
35 Utah over 62 Oregon State 28.0 to 28.0
51 Temple over 88 Houston 28.0 to 28.0
17 Stanford over 47 Arizona State 28.0 to 28.0
244 Campbell over 243 Davidson 31.5 to 28.0
63 Duke over 70 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
91 Duquesne over 58 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 24.5
237 Idaho over 240 New Mexico State 35.0 to 31.5
187 Middle Tennessee State over 174 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 35.0
65 North Carolina over 45 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 35.0
195 Portland State over 166 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 28.0
106 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 140 The Citadel 28.0 to 28.0
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