ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
5 Oregon over 147 California 45.5 to 28.0
8 Clemson over 79 Syracuse 35.0 to 21.0
76 Coastal Carolina over 216 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 17.5
35 California - Los Angeles over 188 Colorado 42.0 to 28.0
83 Colorado State over 185 Wyoming 35.0 to 21.0
89 Eastern Kentucky over 214 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
101 Northern Illinois over 245 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
54 Georgia Southern over 239 Georgia State 42.0 to 21.0
55 Jacksonville State over 215 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 21.0
39 Marshall over 195 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 24.5
10 Michigan State over 68 Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
25 Missouri over 140 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 17.5
209 North Carolina Central over 250 Savannah State 42.0 to 21.0
50 Monmouth over 238 Presbyterian 38.5 to 17.5
14 North Dakota State over 205 South Dakota 35.0 to 14.0
174 Tennessee - Martin over 249 Austin Peay 35.0 to 14.0
4 Texas Christian over 114 Texas Tech 45.5 to 21.0
63 Utah State over 218 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 17.5
16 Villanova over 202 Morgan State 45.5 to 17.5
145 Wofford over 244 Virginia Military 38.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
43 East Carolina over 171 Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5
56 Arkansas over 179 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 28.0
62 Brown over 165 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
98 Bryant over 198 Robert Morris 35.0 to 17.5
96 Dartmouth over 234 Columbia 35.0 to 21.0
66 Richmond over 203 Elon 31.5 to 17.5
70 Illinois State over 123 Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
86 McNeese State over 248 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 17.5
160 Jackson State over 197 Southern 35.0 to 28.0
21 Kansas State over 48 Texas 35.0 to 21.0
117 Liberty over 225 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 21.0
149 Marist over 242 Campbell 35.0 to 17.5
20 Nebraska over 109 Rutgers 38.5 to 21.0
30 New Hampshire over 77 Stony Brook 31.5 to 21.0
122 North Carolina A&T over 212 Florida A&M 28.0 to 14.0
108 Maine over 232 Rhode Island 28.0 to 17.5
65 Sacred Heart over 196 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 85 Tennessee 31.5 to 17.5
112 Toledo over 199 Massachusetts 42.0 to 28.0
13 Wisconsin over 59 Maryland 35.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
24 Virginia Tech over 40 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 21.0
22 Boise State over 42 Brigham Young 35.0 to 24.5
82 Cincinnati over 146 South Florida 35.0 to 24.5
169 South Alabama over 229 Troy State 38.5 to 28.0
71 Albany over 115 Colgate 31.5 to 24.5
32 Auburn over 26 South Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
138 Central Arkansas over 180 Northwestern State 38.5 to 31.5
125 Drake over 176 Butler 28.0 to 17.5
87 Lafayette over 121 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
241 Morehead State over 247 Valparaiso 35.0 to 28.0
129 Alabama State over 210 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 24.5
3 Ohio State over 44 Penn State 35.0 to 24.5
118 Sam Houston State over 184 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 31.5
46 San Diego over 74 Dayton 31.5 to 24.5
99 Southern Illinois over 156 Indiana State 28.0 to 21.0
136 Memphis over 222 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 21.0
19 Stanford over 67 Oregon State 28.0 to 17.5
61 Boston College over 163 Wake Forest 24.5 to 17.5
41 Arizona over 134 Washington State 38.5 to 31.5
51 Northern Iowa over 166 Western Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
152 Western Michigan over 173 Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
78 Yale over 135 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
107 Arkansas State over 159 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 28.0
153 Ball State over 172 Akron 28.0 to 24.5
126 Central Michigan over 155 Buffalo 31.5 to 31.5
57 Montana over 128 California Poly 35.0 to 31.5
137 Central Connecticut over 170 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
38 Central Florida over 75 Temple 28.0 to 24.5
236 Stetson over 246 Davidson 38.5 to 35.0
100 Eastern Illinois over 116 Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
111 Bucknell over 150 Georgetown 21.0 to 21.0
81 Nevada - Reno over 168 Hawaii 31.5 to 28.0
90 Minnesota over 141 Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
37 Mississippi State over 91 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
28 Fordham over 80 Lehigh 38.5 to 31.5
12 Louisiana State over 18 Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
124 Navy over 142 San Jose State 31.5 to 24.5
53 James Madison over 208 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 35.0
102 Eastern Washington over 158 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 31.5
31 Oklahoma State over 36 West Virginia 35.0 to 31.5
132 Alcorn State over 162 Prairie View 35.0 to 31.5
9 Harvard over 45 Princeton 31.5 to 28.0
148 Rice over 177 North Texas 31.5 to 24.5
84 Bethune - Cookman over 144 South Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
133 Louisiana Tech over 201 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
187 North Dakota over 226 Southern Utah 24.5 to 21.0
120 Southeast Louisiana over 175 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 38.5
92 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 189 Mercer 42.0 to 31.5
200 Texas - San Antonio over 217 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
227 Texas Southern over 235 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 28.0
29 Utah over 23 Southern California 31.5 to 28.0
190 Portland State over 230 Weber State 28.0 to 28.0
161 The Citadel over 223 Western Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
143 Western Kentucky over 151 Old Dominion 42.0 to 38.5
72 William & Mary over 103 Delaware 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
192 Hampton over 221 Delaware State 24.5 to 21.0
127 Samford over 167 Furman 24.5 to 24.5
251 Nicholls State over 252 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 31.5
207 Miami - Ohio over 178 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5
183 Texas State - San Marcos over 204 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
231 Idaho State over 228 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 35.0
64 Pittsburgh over 49 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 31.5
110 South Dakota State over 73 Youngstown State 28.0 to 28.0
60 North Carolina over 104 Virginia 35.0 to 35.0
47 Washington over 33 Arizona State 35.0 to 31.5
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