ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
39 Georgia Southern over 232 Troy State 45.5 to 17.5
113 Appalachian State over 236 Georgia State 45.5 to 24.5
8 Baylor over 161 Kansas 49.0 to 21.0
85 Bethune - Cookman over 217 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 21.0
58 Yale over 233 Columbia 42.0 to 21.0
68 Dayton over 247 Valparaiso 45.5 to 17.5
54 Jacksonville State over 249 Austin Peay 45.5 to 10.5
23 Missouri over 114 Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
21 Nebraska over 152 Purdue 42.0 to 21.0
12 North Dakota State over 95 South Dakota State 35.0 to 17.5
4 Ohio State over 140 Illinois 49.0 to 21.0
143 South Carolina State over 250 Savannah State 38.5 to 14.0
24 Texas A&M over 199 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 17.5
70 Youngstown State over 211 South Dakota 38.5 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
84 Memphis over 198 Tulsa 38.5 to 24.5
69 Cincinnati over 200 Tulane 35.0 to 24.5
164 Butler over 244 Morehead State 38.5 to 24.5
63 Washington over 180 Colorado 38.5 to 28.0
35 Central Florida over 158 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
50 Princeton over 168 Cornell 35.0 to 24.5
7 Harvard over 77 Dartmouth 31.5 to 21.0
120 Delaware over 223 Rhode Island 31.5 to 17.5
129 Central Michigan over 242 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
106 Eastern Washington over 196 North Dakota 38.5 to 24.5
28 Fordham over 116 Colgate 38.5 to 24.5
111 Fresno State over 189 Wyoming 38.5 to 24.5
73 Coastal Carolina over 229 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 24.5
34 Georgia Tech over 104 Virginia 38.5 to 28.0
128 Arkansas State over 241 Idaho 38.5 to 24.5
14 Oklahoma over 112 Iowa State 35.0 to 24.5
90 Jacksonville over 162 Marist 28.0 to 17.5
15 Kansas State over 38 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 24.5
230 Lamar over 252 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 24.5
33 Miami - Florida over 59 North Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
87 Monmouth over 212 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 17.5
101 Montana over 210 Sacramento State 42.0 to 24.5
32 New Hampshire over 79 Albany 35.0 to 24.5
167 Texas State - San Marcos over 243 New Mexico State 35.0 to 24.5
10 Georgia over 37 Florida 31.5 to 24.5
20 Notre Dame over 121 Navy 35.0 to 24.5
5 Oregon over 16 Stanford 35.0 to 24.5
60 Oregon State over 142 California 38.5 to 28.0
109 Liberty over 234 Presbyterian 35.0 to 21.0
9 Wisconsin over 118 Rutgers 35.0 to 21.0
61 Eastern Illinois over 225 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 24.5
124 Towson over 218 Elon 28.0 to 17.5
25 Southern California over 151 Washington State 38.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
78 Bryant over 159 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 24.5
207 California - Davis over 237 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
122 Rice over 219 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
65 Utah State over 178 Hawaii 28.0 to 21.0
42 Iowa over 89 Northwestern 28.0 to 21.0
138 Western Michigan over 228 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
86 Michigan over 141 Indiana 35.0 to 28.0
46 Brigham Young over 170 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
17 Mississippi over 29 Auburn 31.5 to 24.5
36 Mississippi State over 48 Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0
83 Duquesne over 173 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 24.5
67 Colorado State over 153 San Jose State 35.0 to 28.0
31 South Carolina over 108 Tennessee 35.0 to 24.5
184 Furman over 246 Virginia Military 31.5 to 21.0
93 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 201 Western Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
2 Florida State over 19 Louisville 31.5 to 28.0
27 Arizona State over 30 Utah 31.5 to 28.0
231 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 238 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 31.5
155 Air Force over 191 Army 31.5 to 28.0
105 Bucknell over 97 Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
44 California - Los Angeles over 40 Arizona 38.5 to 35.0
102 California Poly over 98 Montana State 38.5 to 35.0
52 San Diego over 119 Drake 24.5 to 24.5
94 Lehigh over 154 Georgetown 28.0 to 24.5
181 Hampton over 190 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
224 Howard over 227 Delaware State 28.0 to 24.5
174 Jackson State over 186 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 28.0
147 Louisiana - Lafayette over 166 South Alabama 35.0 to 28.0
193 Mercer over 176 The Citadel 35.0 to 31.5
144 Central Arkansas over 177 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 35.0
76 Nevada - Reno over 103 San Diego State 31.5 to 24.5
248 Incarnate Word over 251 Nicholls State 31.5 to 28.0
62 Northern Iowa over 64 Illinois State 28.0 to 24.5
107 McNeese State over 197 Northwestern State 35.0 to 28.0
99 Sam Houston State over 183 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 31.5
49 Penn State over 72 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5
47 Brown over 145 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 21.0
188 Portland State over 226 Idaho State 38.5 to 35.0
26 Villanova over 55 Richmond 35.0 to 31.5
125 Alabama State over 169 Southern 31.5 to 31.5
57 Houston over 150 South Florida 28.0 to 24.5
71 Syracuse over 88 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
43 East Carolina over 80 Temple 35.0 to 31.5
195 Texas - El Paso over 220 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
137 Vanderbilt over 156 Old Dominion 35.0 to 31.5
45 Virginia Tech over 56 Boston College 24.5 to 21.0
82 Sacred Heart over 160 Wagner 28.0 to 24.5
146 Northern Arizona over 221 Weber State 24.5 to 21.0
3 Texas Christian over 22 West Virginia 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
240 Campbell over 239 Stetson 35.0 to 35.0
214 Florida A&M over 192 Norfolk State 17.5 to 14.0
203 Florida Atlantic over 202 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 31.5
148 Indiana State over 133 Missouri State 28.0 to 28.0
74 James Madison over 51 William & Mary 28.0 to 24.5
149 Louisiana Tech over 134 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 35.0
172 Tennessee - Martin over 208 Murray State 31.5 to 31.5
206 New Mexico over 209 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 28.0
75 Pittsburgh over 66 Duke 28.0 to 28.0
96 Eastern Kentucky over 135 Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
187 Grambling over 215 Texas Southern 31.5 to 31.5
53 Texas over 136 Texas Tech 31.5 to 28.0
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