ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
12 Clemson over 166 Wake Forest 35.0 to 14.0
37 Arizona over 185 Colorado 42.0 to 24.5
133 Tennessee State over 249 Austin Peay 35.0 to 10.5
85 Colorado State over 172 Hawaii 35.0 to 24.5
53 Eastern Illinois over 226 Murray State 49.0 to 28.0
2 Florida State over 111 Virginia 42.0 to 17.5
9 Harvard over 233 Columbia 42.0 to 7.0
52 Houston over 203 Tulane 35.0 to 17.5
19 Mississippi over 235 Presbyterian 42.0 to 10.5
16 Boise State over 207 New Mexico 42.0 to 21.0
6 Wisconsin over 156 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0
27 New Hampshire over 216 Rhode Island 38.5 to 17.5
50 San Diego over 240 Morehead State 45.5 to 21.0
113 San Diego State over 238 Idaho 38.5 to 21.0
208 Howard over 250 Savannah State 38.5 to 21.0
124 Southeast Louisiana over 252 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 14.0
40 Marshall over 230 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 21.0
62 William & Mary over 197 Elon 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
181 Grambling over 237 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 24.5
25 Fordham over 100 Bucknell 35.0 to 28.0
138 Alabama State over 180 Jackson State 31.5 to 24.5
91 Appalachian State over 163 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
143 Central Arkansas over 225 Lamar 45.5 to 31.5
82 Jacksonville over 246 Davidson 38.5 to 21.0
109 Fresno State over 158 San Jose State 35.0 to 28.0
102 Sam Houston State over 247 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 21.0
15 Georgia over 105 Kentucky 38.5 to 28.0
41 Mississippi State over 152 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 21.0
116 Montana State over 220 Portland State 38.5 to 24.5
147 Louisiana - Lafayette over 242 New Mexico State 38.5 to 24.5
108 North Carolina A&T over 192 Morgan State 35.0 to 24.5
56 Princeton over 135 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 24.5
140 Rice over 218 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 21.0
94 Samford over 221 Western Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
167 Southern over 234 Texas Southern 38.5 to 24.5
34 Georgia Southern over 176 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 24.5
175 Butler over 248 Valparaiso 38.5 to 28.0
30 Villanova over 121 Towson 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
120 Toledo over 188 Kent State 35.0 to 28.0
92 Albany over 119 Delaware 28.0 to 21.0
126 Arkansas State over 191 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5
179 Charleston Southern over 229 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
79 Dartmouth over 165 Cornell 28.0 to 24.5
97 Dayton over 115 Drake 28.0 to 21.0
68 Eastern Washington over 76 Montana 38.5 to 31.5
112 McNeese State over 174 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 31.5
137 Air Force over 209 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 24.5
154 Northern Arizona over 202 California - Davis 28.0 to 21.0
155 Old Dominion over 222 Florida International 35.0 to 24.5
93 Oregon State over 153 Washington State 38.5 to 28.0
231 Troy State over 244 Georgia State 35.0 to 28.0
214 Tulsa over 236 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 21.0
3 Oregon over 32 Utah 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
86 Northern Illinois over 141 Ball State 31.5 to 31.5
57 Utah State over 157 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
186 Abilene Christian over 200 Northwestern State 42.0 to 35.0
132 Alcorn State over 168 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 31.5
122 Louisiana Tech over 201 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 31.5
26 Arizona State over 21 Notre Dame 31.5 to 28.0
173 Prairie View over 219 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 35.0
29 Auburn over 31 Texas A&M 35.0 to 31.5
17 Louisville over 55 Boston College 28.0 to 24.5
47 Brown over 63 Yale 31.5 to 28.0
90 Sacred Heart over 177 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
128 South Carolina State over 212 Florida A&M 24.5 to 17.5
98 California Poly over 210 Idaho State 42.0 to 35.0
70 Illinois State over 67 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
42 Penn State over 144 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
134 Iowa State over 183 Kansas 28.0 to 24.5
103 Liberty over 110 Monmouth 31.5 to 28.0
61 Richmond over 96 Maine 24.5 to 24.5
11 Michigan State over 4 Ohio State 35.0 to 31.5
28 Iowa over 84 Minnesota 24.5 to 24.5
145 Connecticut over 205 Army 28.0 to 21.0
99 Bethune - Cookman over 178 Norfolk State 24.5 to 17.5
73 Coastal Carolina over 204 North Carolina - Charlot 52.5 to 42.0
33 Georgia Tech over 81 North Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
217 North Dakota over 224 Weber State 24.5 to 21.0
13 North Dakota State over 54 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
187 North Texas over 199 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 28.0
59 Michigan over 117 Northwestern 24.5 to 21.0
7 Oklahoma over 8 Baylor 42.0 to 38.5
161 Wagner over 213 Robert Morris 24.5 to 21.0
193 Sacramento State over 195 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
170 Western Illinois over 206 South Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
151 Marist over 241 Stetson 31.5 to 24.5
80 Stony Brook over 74 James Madison 24.5 to 21.0
60 Duke over 83 Syracuse 28.0 to 28.0
87 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 129 Wofford 28.0 to 24.5
36 Texas over 38 West Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
5 Texas Christian over 10 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
171 The Citadel over 198 Furman 24.5 to 17.5
35 Florida over 104 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0
43 California - Los Angeles over 65 Washington 31.5 to 31.5
169 Western Kentucky over 189 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
136 Bowling Green over 182 Akron 28.0 to 28.0
190 Ohio over 164 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
71 Temple over 95 Memphis 28.0 to 28.0
125 Colgate over 101 Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
66 Bryant over 107 Duquesne 28.0 to 24.5
75 Eastern Kentucky over 48 Jacksonville State 31.5 to 31.5
114 Holy Cross over 88 Lehigh 28.0 to 28.0
106 South Dakota State over 148 Indiana State 28.0 to 28.0
14 Louisiana State over 1 Alabama 24.5 to 24.5
150 Missouri State over 127 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
211 North Carolina Central over 196 Hampton 28.0 to 28.0
215 Southeast Missouri State over 227 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 28.0
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