ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
21 Southern California over 124 California 42.0 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 43 Mississippi State 35.0 to 17.5
22 Boise State over 131 San Diego State 38.5 to 21.0
46 Brigham Young over 225 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 14.0
30 Fordham over 148 Georgetown 38.5 to 21.0
108 Sam Houston State over 252 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 17.5
72 Jacksonville over 243 Campbell 42.0 to 14.0
5 Texas Christian over 165 Kansas 42.0 to 17.5
32 Marshall over 136 Rice 42.0 to 24.5
29 New Hampshire over 104 Delaware 38.5 to 24.5
192 Northwestern State over 251 Nicholls State 49.0 to 17.5
59 San Diego over 246 Valparaiso 45.5 to 17.5
107 North Carolina A&T over 250 Savannah State 45.5 to 14.0
82 Stony Brook over 224 Rhode Island 31.5 to 14.0
62 Utah State over 205 New Mexico 38.5 to 24.5
23 Villanova over 96 Albany 35.0 to 21.0
142 Western Michigan over 245 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
113 Bowling Green over 184 Kent State 31.5 to 21.0
33 Central Florida over 182 Tulsa 42.0 to 21.0
120 Alcorn State over 227 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 28.0
93 Dayton over 200 Butler 35.0 to 24.5
139 California Poly over 212 California - Davis 35.0 to 21.0
137 Central Michigan over 226 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 17.5
73 Coastal Carolina over 128 Monmouth 38.5 to 28.0
102 Eastern Kentucky over 223 Murray State 42.0 to 24.5
74 Liberty over 173 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 21.0
160 Marist over 247 Davidson 31.5 to 14.0
4 Ohio State over 79 Minnesota 38.5 to 28.0
14 North Dakota State over 147 Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
91 Montana State over 215 Idaho State 45.5 to 31.5
31 Notre Dame over 117 Northwestern 31.5 to 17.5
7 Harvard over 114 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 17.5
67 Illinois State over 213 South Dakota 35.0 to 21.0
111 South Dakota State over 171 Western Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
204 Southeast Missouri State over 249 Austin Peay 35.0 to 21.0
169 Southern over 242 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 21.0
87 Montana over 199 Southern Utah 28.0 to 21.0
58 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 222 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 17.5
9 Oklahoma over 133 Texas Tech 38.5 to 28.0
8 Wisconsin over 24 Nebraska 35.0 to 24.5
84 Youngstown State over 164 Indiana State 31.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
75 Northern Illinois over 116 Toledo 38.5 to 31.5
49 Arizona over 63 Washington 31.5 to 28.0
175 Central Connecticut over 207 Howard 31.5 to 24.5
90 Maine over 193 Elon 21.0 to 17.5
28 Florida over 38 South Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
92 Bethune - Cookman over 211 Hampton 28.0 to 21.0
52 Iowa over 152 Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
218 Lamar over 248 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 28.0
88 Lehigh over 125 Colgate 31.5 to 24.5
12 Michigan State over 77 Maryland 31.5 to 24.5
37 Georgia Southern over 118 Navy 35.0 to 31.5
109 North Carolina State over 155 Wake Forest 28.0 to 17.5
20 Arizona State over 86 Oregon State 35.0 to 28.0
44 Penn State over 85 Temple 24.5 to 14.0
145 San Jose State over 188 Hawaii 31.5 to 24.5
156 South Florida over 229 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 17.5
76 Tennessee over 115 Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
101 Memphis over 195 Tulane 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
172 Buffalo over 189 Akron 28.0 to 24.5
134 Ball State over 194 Massachusetts 31.5 to 28.0
219 Texas - San Antonio over 233 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
11 Louisiana State over 60 Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
99 Arkansas State over 121 Appalachian State 31.5 to 24.5
183 Cornell over 231 Columbia 24.5 to 17.5
55 Dartmouth over 56 Brown 24.5 to 24.5
168 Middle Tennessee State over 209 Florida International 28.0 to 24.5
143 Wofford over 198 Furman 21.0 to 21.0
236 Gardner - Webb over 238 Presbyterian 21.0 to 17.5
13 Georgia over 18 Auburn 38.5 to 31.5
103 Alabama State over 177 Grambling 28.0 to 28.0
98 Holy Cross over 123 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
50 Jacksonville State over 51 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
2 Florida State over 27 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 31.5
122 South Carolina State over 208 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
83 North Carolina over 89 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 31.5
149 Northern Arizona over 228 North Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
146 Louisiana - Lafayette over 167 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
36 Oklahoma State over 41 Texas 28.0 to 24.5
57 Richmond over 68 James Madison 31.5 to 24.5
158 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 210 Robert Morris 28.0 to 24.5
127 Rutgers over 144 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
187 Sacramento State over 202 Portland State 35.0 to 28.0
81 Sacred Heart over 64 Bryant 28.0 to 24.5
94 Southeast Louisiana over 135 McNeese State 35.0 to 28.0
47 Northern Iowa over 110 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
17 Stanford over 39 Utah 28.0 to 21.0
174 Stephen F. Austin over 191 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 38.5
35 Texas A&M over 26 Missouri 31.5 to 28.0
170 Jackson State over 234 Texas Southern 28.0 to 24.5
106 Samford over 154 The Citadel 31.5 to 28.0
78 William & Mary over 129 Towson 24.5 to 24.5
206 Weber State over 230 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
232 Western Carolina over 240 Virginia Military 35.0 to 28.0
181 Western Kentucky over 190 Army 35.0 to 31.5
61 Yale over 54 Princeton 38.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
69 Cincinnati over 48 East Carolina 35.0 to 35.0
70 Nevada - Reno over 132 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0
162 Prairie View over 201 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 31.5
221 Delaware State over 220 Florida A&M 21.0 to 17.5
53 Duke over 45 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
25 Georgia Tech over 10 Clemson 35.0 to 31.5
217 Troy State over 237 Idaho 31.5 to 31.5
239 Morehead State over 235 Stetson 42.0 to 38.5
180 Norfolk State over 196 North Carolina Central 21.0 to 21.0
197 South Alabama over 179 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 28.0
178 Texas - El Paso over 159 North Texas 31.5 to 28.0
151 Wagner over 130 Duquesne 21.0 to 21.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net