ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
88 Southeast Louisiana over 251 Nicholls State 52.5 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 227 Western Carolina 45.5 to 10.5
33 Marshall over 216 Alabama - Birmingham 45.5 to 28.0
19 Arizona State over 139 Washington State 45.5 to 28.0
26 Fordham over 193 Army 45.5 to 24.5
151 Ball State over 247 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
41 Brigham Young over 250 Savannah State 52.5 to 7.0
80 Brown over 225 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0
42 Central Florida over 224 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 14.0
18 Clemson over 241 Georgia State 49.0 to 14.0
83 Colorado State over 199 New Mexico 42.0 to 28.0
82 Dayton over 245 Campbell 42.0 to 14.0
125 Duquesne over 229 Robert Morris 28.0 to 10.5
59 East Carolina over 210 Tulane 38.5 to 21.0
3 Florida State over 70 Boston College 38.5 to 21.0
10 Georgia over 173 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 17.5
6 Harvard over 55 Yale 38.5 to 24.5
58 Houston over 187 Tulsa 38.5 to 21.0
50 James Madison over 194 Elon 35.0 to 14.0
9 Michigan State over 95 Rutgers 38.5 to 17.5
12 North Dakota State over 100 Youngstown State 31.5 to 17.5
37 Northern Iowa over 146 Missouri State 35.0 to 17.5
7 Ohio State over 149 Indiana 49.0 to 24.5
11 Oklahoma over 170 Kansas 42.0 to 14.0
2 Oregon over 189 Colorado 52.5 to 21.0
40 South Carolina over 196 South Alabama 38.5 to 21.0
101 South Dakota State over 220 South Dakota 38.5 to 21.0
48 Jacksonville State over 213 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
17 Boise State over 158 Wyoming 38.5 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
68 Eastern Washington over 207 Portland State 42.0 to 31.5
64 Utah State over 155 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
75 Alcorn State over 168 Jackson State 38.5 to 24.5
38 Auburn over 122 Samford 38.5 to 24.5
226 Tennessee Tech over 249 Austin Peay 31.5 to 17.5
5 Baylor over 46 Oklahoma State 45.5 to 28.0
22 Stanford over 128 California 31.5 to 24.5
65 Eastern Illinois over 175 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 24.5
28 Florida over 92 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
60 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 181 Furman 31.5 to 21.0
39 Penn State over 143 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
63 Illinois State over 136 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
4 Wisconsin over 54 Iowa 31.5 to 21.0
27 New Hampshire over 93 Maine 31.5 to 24.5
150 McNeese State over 230 Lamar 38.5 to 24.5
35 Mississippi State over 126 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 21.0
133 Monmouth over 234 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 17.5
91 Bethune - Cookman over 197 Florida A&M 31.5 to 17.5
34 Nebraska over 66 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5
179 Northeast Louisiana over 244 New Mexico State 31.5 to 21.0
123 South Carolina State over 201 Norfolk State 24.5 to 10.5
165 The Citadel over 242 Virginia Military 35.0 to 24.5
160 Western Kentucky over 211 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
67 Northern Illinois over 164 Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
152 Buffalo over 184 Kent State 28.0 to 24.5
79 Bryant over 142 Wagner 28.0 to 17.5
56 Coastal Carolina over 117 Liberty 42.0 to 31.5
52 Cincinnati over 144 Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
25 Villanova over 127 Delaware 35.0 to 24.5
178 Hawaii over 215 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 24.5
106 Memphis over 147 South Florida 28.0 to 21.0
72 Montana over 132 Montana State 35.0 to 24.5
212 Morgan State over 231 Delaware State 28.0 to 21.0
87 North Carolina A&T over 192 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 24.5
154 Northern Arizona over 206 Southern Utah 28.0 to 21.0
137 Towson over 228 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
129 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 174 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 28.0
74 Sam Houston State over 161 Central Arkansas 42.0 to 31.5
105 Drake over 239 Stetson 38.5 to 24.5
31 Utah over 43 Arizona 31.5 to 24.5
49 Virginia Tech over 157 Wake Forest 24.5 to 17.5
62 Washington over 96 Oregon State 31.5 to 24.5
53 William & Mary over 94 Richmond 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
114 Toledo over 110 Bowling Green 35.0 to 31.5
51 Duke over 69 North Carolina 38.5 to 35.0
107 Arkansas State over 166 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
13 Kansas State over 45 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
162 Rice over 185 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 28.0
120 San Diego State over 130 Air Force 28.0 to 24.5
111 Albany over 85 Stony Brook 24.5 to 21.0
209 Alabama A&M over 237 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 28.0
112 Bucknell over 116 Colgate 28.0 to 24.5
32 California - Los Angeles over 29 Southern California 31.5 to 28.0
115 Pennsylvania over 182 Cornell 28.0 to 21.0
121 Holy Cross over 171 Georgetown 24.5 to 21.0
203 Howard over 204 Hampton 31.5 to 28.0
208 Idaho State over 217 Weber State 35.0 to 31.5
57 Michigan over 84 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5
190 Middle Tennessee State over 200 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 28.0
131 Tennessee State over 214 Murray State 35.0 to 28.0
108 Nevada - Reno over 103 Fresno State 35.0 to 31.5
218 North Carolina - Charlot over 236 Morehead State 52.5 to 42.0
176 North Texas over 205 Florida International 28.0 to 24.5
73 Pittsburgh over 104 Syracuse 28.0 to 21.0
78 Northwestern over 169 Purdue 31.5 to 24.5
99 San Diego over 134 California Poly 31.5 to 28.0
167 Stephen F. Austin over 172 Northwestern State 35.0 to 35.0
243 Valparaiso over 246 Davidson 35.0 to 28.0
24 Miami - Florida over 98 Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
135 Wofford over 188 Mercer 38.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
198 Akron over 177 Massachusetts 28.0 to 28.0
21 Mississippi over 44 Arkansas 24.5 to 24.5
195 California - Davis over 180 Sacramento State 31.5 to 31.5
124 Western Michigan over 138 Central Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
109 Texas Tech over 140 Iowa State 35.0 to 35.0
113 Appalachian State over 153 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 31.5
86 Lehigh over 102 Lafayette 28.0 to 28.0
233 Northern Colorado over 223 North Dakota 24.5 to 24.5
20 Louisville over 36 Notre Dame 28.0 to 28.0
119 Louisiana Tech over 159 Old Dominion 38.5 to 35.0
47 Dartmouth over 76 Princeton 31.5 to 31.5
15 Missouri over 61 Tennessee 31.5 to 28.0
148 Indiana State over 183 Western Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
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