ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
107 Toledo over 245 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
70 Houston over 228 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 17.5
4 Alabama over 37 Auburn 35.0 to 21.0
94 Appalachian State over 239 Idaho 42.0 to 21.0
125 Arkansas State over 246 New Mexico State 42.0 to 21.0
3 Florida State over 17 Florida 35.0 to 21.0
83 Fresno State over 180 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
74 Georgia Southern over 171 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
15 Kansas State over 161 Kansas 38.5 to 14.0
14 Louisville over 139 Kentucky 42.0 to 21.0
43 Northern Iowa over 188 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 21.0
5 Ohio State over 55 Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
6 Wisconsin over 57 Minnesota 38.5 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
108 Bowling Green over 140 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
39 Marshall over 132 Western Kentucky 45.5 to 31.5
51 East Carolina over 177 Tulsa 42.0 to 28.0
18 Boise State over 47 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
54 Boston College over 114 Syracuse 28.0 to 17.5
49 Utah over 194 Colorado 35.0 to 21.0
68 Duke over 152 Wake Forest 31.5 to 17.5
32 Fordham over 89 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 24.5
11 Georgia over 19 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 31.5
166 Texas State - San Marcos over 235 Georgia State 35.0 to 24.5
93 Memphis over 178 Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
1 Baylor over 104 Texas Tech 52.5 to 31.5
105 Nevada - Reno over 213 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
72 Northwestern over 143 Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
2 Oregon over 82 Oregon State 42.0 to 24.5
92 Richmond over 168 Morgan State 35.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
80 Navy over 190 South Alabama 35.0 to 28.0
27 Central Florida over 165 South Florida 28.0 to 17.5
44 Virginia Tech over 95 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
13 Clemson over 31 South Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
45 West Virginia over 133 Iowa State 35.0 to 28.0
50 James Madison over 110 Liberty 38.5 to 28.0
118 Louisiana Tech over 151 Rice 31.5 to 24.5
75 Maryland over 116 Rutgers 31.5 to 24.5
38 Miami - Florida over 63 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 24.5
62 Montana over 112 San Diego 31.5 to 21.0
65 North Carolina over 96 North Carolina State 38.5 to 31.5
124 San Diego State over 167 San Jose State 28.0 to 21.0
30 Southern California over 40 Notre Dame 31.5 to 24.5
71 Tennessee over 150 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
145 Ohio over 223 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
28 Texas A&M over 16 Louisiana State 28.0 to 28.0
81 Colorado State over 135 Air Force 31.5 to 31.5
26 California - Los Angeles over 21 Stanford 28.0 to 24.5
29 Missouri over 34 Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
123 Western Michigan over 73 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
42 Brigham Young over 126 California 35.0 to 31.5
131 Eastern Kentucky over 160 Indiana State 31.5 to 24.5
144 Indiana over 169 Purdue 35.0 to 31.5
79 South Dakota State over 130 Montana State 35.0 to 31.5
162 Southern over 187 Grambling 31.5 to 31.5
8 Michigan State over 46 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0
77 Sam Houston State over 78 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 31.5
35 Cincinnati over 88 Temple 31.5 to 28.0
186 Texas - El Paso over 179 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
183 North Texas over 231 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 24.5
148 Louisiana - Lafayette over 222 Troy State 35.0 to 28.0
56 Washington over 149 Washington State 38.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
181 Kent State over 207 Akron 24.5 to 21.0
7 Texas Christian over 20 Texas 28.0 to 28.0
36 Arizona over 25 Arizona State 35.0 to 35.0
58 Iowa over 48 Nebraska 28.0 to 28.0
182 Massachusetts over 156 Buffalo 31.5 to 31.5
159 Old Dominion over 200 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 35.0
41 Mississippi over 24 Mississippi State 24.5 to 24.5
172 Wyoming over 215 New Mexico 35.0 to 31.5
212 Alabama - Birmingham over 227 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 28.0
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