ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
16 Boise State over 82 Fresno State 45.5 to 28.0
8 North Dakota State over 81 South Dakota State 35.0 to 17.5
12 Oklahoma over 46 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 21.0
3 Texas Christian over 134 Iowa State 45.5 to 17.5
23 Villanova over 93 Liberty 42.0 to 28.0
80-90% chance of victory:
1 Oregon over 30 Arizona 42.0 to 31.5
2 Alabama over 33 Missouri 28.0 to 21.0
90 Alcorn State over 169 Southern 38.5 to 31.5
70-80% chance of victory:
5 Baylor over 14 Kansas State 42.0 to 35.0
36 Cincinnati over 53 Houston 35.0 to 28.0
68 Coastal Carolina over 85 Richmond 35.0 to 28.0
194 Connecticut over 227 Southern Methodist 24.5 to 17.5
52 Jacksonville State over 94 Sam Houston State 35.0 to 24.5
65 Marshall over 112 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 31.5
4 Florida State over 21 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 31.5
61 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 137 Indiana State 31.5 to 24.5
109 Temple over 210 Tulane 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
77 Northern Illinois over 113 Bowling Green 31.5 to 28.0
67 Eastern Washington over 38 Montana 35.0 to 35.0
22 New Hampshire over 28 Fordham 38.5 to 35.0
6 Ohio State over 9 Wisconsin 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
26 Central Florida over 57 East Carolina 31.5 to 31.5
69 Illinois State over 35 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 28.0
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