ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 23 New Hampshire over 73 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 24.5 15 North Dakota State over 63 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 24.5 28 Villanova over 67 Sam Houston State 38.5 to 24.5 70-80% chance of victory: 107 Navy over 193 Army 38.5 to 28.0 60-70% chance of victory: 90 Eastern Washington over 80 Illinois State 38.5 to 35.0
ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 59 Utah State over 189 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 21.0 1 Texas Christian over 37 Mississippi 35.0 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 100 Fresno State over 166 Rice 35.0 to 28.0 29 Central Florida over 69 North Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5 25 Arizona State over 71 Duke 35.0 to 31.5 10 Louisiana State over 44 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0 20 Stanford over 74 Maryland 28.0 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 134 Western Michigan over 144 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0 106 Nevada - Reno over 143 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5 130 Bowling Green over 200 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5 41 Brigham Young over 79 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0 84 San Diego State over 107 Navy 31.5 to 28.0 131 Western Kentucky over 155 Central Michigan 35.0 to 31.5 97 Louisiana Tech over 137 Illinois 35.0 to 31.5 68 North Carolina over 114 Rutgers 35.0 to 31.5 45 Boston College over 57 Penn State 21.0 to 21.0 16 Southern California over 35 Nebraska 35.0 to 28.0 42 Cincinnati over 54 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 24.5 36 Arkansas over 51 Texas 24.5 to 21.0 18 Georgia over 21 Louisville 31.5 to 31.5 12 Boise State over 38 Arizona 35.0 to 31.5 19 Georgia Tech over 22 Mississippi State 31.5 to 31.5 3 Ohio State over 4 Alabama 35.0 to 31.5 14 Wisconsin over 34 Auburn 31.5 to 28.0 7 Baylor over 6 Michigan State 38.5 to 35.0 27 Missouri over 52 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5 2 Oregon over 5 Florida State 38.5 to 31.5 49 Pittsburgh over 64 Houston 28.0 to 28.0 13 Kansas State over 33 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 28.0 17 Florida over 56 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0 98 Toledo over 124 Arkansas State 35.0 to 35.0 50-60% chance of victory: 55 Utah over 76 Colorado State 31.5 to 28.0 72 Marshall over 50 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0 26 South Carolina over 46 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 28.0 8 Oklahoma over 11 Clemson 28.0 to 28.0 24 Texas A&M over 32 West Virginia 35.0 to 31.5 30 Oklahoma State over 47 Washington 31.5 to 31.5 43 Iowa over 58 Tennessee 28.0 to 28.0
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