ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 18 North Dakota State over 67 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 21.0 25 New Hampshire over 65 Illinois State 38.5 to 31.5 60 Utah State over 191 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 21.0 1 Texas Christian over 37 Mississippi 35.0 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 103 Fresno State over 166 Rice 35.0 to 28.0 28 Central Florida over 70 North Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5 24 Arizona State over 72 Duke 35.0 to 31.5 9 Louisiana State over 44 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0 19 Stanford over 75 Maryland 28.0 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 134 Western Michigan over 144 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0 105 Nevada - Reno over 142 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5 129 Bowling Green over 199 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5 41 Brigham Young over 79 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0 85 San Diego State over 109 Navy 28.0 to 28.0 132 Western Kentucky over 155 Central Michigan 35.0 to 31.5 97 Louisiana Tech over 137 Illinois 35.0 to 31.5 71 North Carolina over 115 Rutgers 35.0 to 31.5 43 Boston College over 58 Penn State 21.0 to 21.0 15 Southern California over 35 Nebraska 35.0 to 28.0 40 Cincinnati over 55 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 24.5 36 Arkansas over 51 Texas 24.5 to 21.0 16 Georgia over 21 Louisville 31.5 to 31.5 12 Boise State over 39 Arizona 35.0 to 31.5 20 Georgia Tech over 22 Mississippi State 31.5 to 31.5 3 Ohio State over 4 Alabama 35.0 to 31.5 14 Wisconsin over 34 Auburn 31.5 to 28.0 7 Baylor over 6 Michigan State 38.5 to 35.0 27 Missouri over 52 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5 2 Oregon over 5 Florida State 38.5 to 35.0 48 Pittsburgh over 64 Houston 28.0 to 28.0 13 Kansas State over 32 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 28.0 17 Florida over 56 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0 101 Toledo over 124 Arkansas State 35.0 to 35.0 50-60% chance of victory: 57 Utah over 77 Colorado State 31.5 to 28.0 74 Marshall over 49 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0 26 South Carolina over 45 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 28.0 8 Oklahoma over 11 Clemson 28.0 to 28.0 23 Texas A&M over 31 West Virginia 35.0 to 31.5 30 Oklahoma State over 46 Washington 31.5 to 31.5 42 Iowa over 59 Tennessee 28.0 to 28.0
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