ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
37 Arizona over 211 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 10.5
57 Central Florida over 223 Florida International 38.5 to 10.5
24 Villanova over 209 Connecticut 38.5 to 14.0
118 Eastern Kentucky over 241 Valparaiso 42.0 to 14.0
2 Texas Christian over 61 Minnesota 35.0 to 17.5
21 New Hampshire over 178 San Jose State 42.0 to 17.5
58 Duke over 196 Tulane 31.5 to 17.5
40 Fordham over 203 Army 45.5 to 24.5
84 Oregon State over 210 Weber State 35.0 to 14.0
5 Baylor over 233 Southern Methodist 59.5 to 14.0
6 Michigan State over 149 Western Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
26 Arkansas over 189 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 10.5
158 Mercer over 250 Austin Peay 35.0 to 14.0
30 California - Los Angeles over 88 Virginia 35.0 to 17.5
9 Clemson over 125 Wofford 35.0 to 10.5
79 Colorado State over 252 Savannah State 56.0 to 10.5
29 Florida over 242 New Mexico State 52.5 to 7.0
8 Florida State over 175 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 14.0
39 Coastal Carolina over 176 Furman 35.0 to 17.5
7 Georgia over 182 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 10.5
80 Houston over 215 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 17.5
55 James Madison over 239 Morehead State 56.0 to 17.5
15 Kansas State over 166 South Dakota 42.0 to 14.0
69 Liberty over 240 Delaware State 38.5 to 7.0
11 Mississippi over 151 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 10.5
17 Missouri over 198 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 14.0
75 North Carolina State over 228 Troy State 42.0 to 17.5
102 Northern Illinois over 219 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 21.0
18 Oklahoma over 202 Akron 45.5 to 10.5
3 Oregon over 65 Eastern Washington 52.5 to 31.5
14 Southern California over 129 Arkansas State 42.0 to 17.5
23 Mississippi State over 230 Southern Mississippi 45.5 to 10.5
134 The Citadel over 248 Davidson 49.0 to 14.0
48 Marshall over 167 Purdue 42.0 to 21.0
124 South Carolina State over 243 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
150 Ball State over 231 Virginia Military 42.0 to 24.5
44 Oklahoma State over 170 Central Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
19 Georgia Tech over 128 Alcorn State 45.5 to 21.0
188 Ohio over 235 Idaho 31.5 to 21.0
114 Nevada - Reno over 206 California - Davis 35.0 to 21.0
54 Southeast Louisiana over 143 Northwestern State 31.5 to 24.5
35 Utah over 73 Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
68 Utah State over 187 Southern Utah 31.5 to 10.5
132 Illinois over 214 Kent State 31.5 to 17.5
107 Syracuse over 222 Rhode Island 28.0 to 10.5
117 Appalachian State over 204 Howard 38.5 to 21.0
127 Bucknell over 183 Marist 24.5 to 14.0
112 California over 216 Grambling 45.5 to 28.0
71 Cincinnati over 232 Alabama A&M 45.5 to 14.0
164 Old Dominion over 247 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
90 Indiana State over 197 Butler 35.0 to 17.5
22 Northern Iowa over 131 Iowa State 35.0 to 17.5
41 South Dakota State over 159 Kansas 31.5 to 17.5
96 Kentucky over 141 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 24.5
12 Louisiana State over 115 McNeese State 35.0 to 14.0
83 Louisiana Tech over 201 Southern 42.0 to 24.5
43 Miami - Florida over 120 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 17.5
1 Alabama over 13 Wisconsin 28.0 to 21.0
36 Nebraska over 64 Brigham Young 38.5 to 28.0
192 New Mexico over 249 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 17.5
10 Stanford over 89 Northwestern 28.0 to 14.0
53 Tennessee over 160 Bowling Green 38.5 to 21.0
142 Dayton over 237 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
98 Rutgers over 212 Norfolk State 24.5 to 10.5
148 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 195 Georgetown 28.0 to 17.5
184 Prairie View over 244 Texas Southern 35.0 to 24.5
116 Washington State over 181 Portland State 38.5 to 28.0
4 Ohio State over 42 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
32 South Carolina over 82 North Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
38 Boise State over 47 Washington 31.5 to 24.5
161 North Carolina - Charlot over 234 Georgia State 38.5 to 28.0
136 Air Force over 174 Morgan State 35.0 to 24.5
60 Boston College over 93 Maine 24.5 to 17.5
67 East Carolina over 130 Towson 38.5 to 24.5
31 Montana over 74 California Poly 38.5 to 24.5
95 Navy over 147 Colgate 31.5 to 21.0
180 South Alabama over 217 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 17.5
185 South Florida over 218 Florida A&M 21.0 to 14.0
51 West Virginia over 70 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 28.0
138 Tennessee State over 156 Alabama State 24.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
172 East Tennessee State over 225 Kennesaw State 24.5 to 14.0
77 Samford over 110 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 28.0
163 Wake Forest over 199 Elon 21.0 to 14.0
177 Middle Tennessee State over 221 Jackson State 31.5 to 21.0
133 Monmouth over 144 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
16 Auburn over 28 Louisville 31.5 to 24.5
49 Notre Dame over 45 Texas 24.5 to 21.0
135 Rice over 165 Wagner 24.5 to 17.5
191 Wyoming over 213 North Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
145 Fresno State over 162 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 28.0
155 Colorado over 190 Hawaii 28.0 to 28.0
108 Toledo over 87 Stony Brook 24.5 to 24.5
119 Western Kentucky over 152 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 31.5
72 Eastern Illinois over 103 Western Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
146 Lehigh over 193 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 28.0
106 Delaware over 105 Jacksonville 28.0 to 24.5
109 Albany over 173 Buffalo 31.5 to 24.5
76 Southern Illinois over 123 Indiana 35.0 to 31.5
33 Illinois State over 66 Iowa 28.0 to 24.5
62 William & Mary over 113 Lafayette 24.5 to 21.0
63 Richmond over 91 Maryland 31.5 to 28.0
86 Memphis over 92 Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
227 Miami - Ohio over 224 Presbyterian 21.0 to 17.5
27 Arizona State over 34 Texas A&M 38.5 to 35.0
52 Youngstown State over 78 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 28.0
122 San Diego State over 137 San Diego 28.0 to 21.0
153 Stephen F. Austin over 154 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
59 Penn State over 104 Temple 17.5 to 17.5
50 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 46 Jacksonville State 24.5 to 24.5
56 Sam Houston State over 99 Texas Tech 38.5 to 35.0
205 Tulsa over 200 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 28.0
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