ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
5 Baylor over 197 Lamar 66.5 to 24.5
10 Georgia Tech over 173 Tulane 49.0 to 10.5
67 North Dakota State over 210 Weber State 45.5 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 147 Hawaii 56.0 to 14.0
11 Southern California over 212 Idaho 59.5 to 10.5
3 Texas Christian over 167 Stephen F. Austin 59.5 to 17.5
13 Wisconsin over 192 Miami - Ohio 49.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
4 Alabama over 115 Middle Tennessee State 49.0 to 14.0
48 Boston College over 223 Howard 45.5 to 14.0
16 Clemson over 108 Appalachian State 42.0 to 17.5
8 Florida State over 152 South Florida 45.5 to 10.5
47 Illinois State over 198 Morgan State 45.5 to 21.0
9 Mississippi over 117 Fresno State 45.5 to 17.5
24 Nebraska over 161 South Alabama 45.5 to 17.5
20 California - Los Angeles over 174 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 21.0
163 Northeast Louisiana over 249 Nicholls State 49.0 to 17.5
100 Samford over 233 Florida A&M 38.5 to 14.0
56 South Dakota State over 196 Southern Utah 42.0 to 17.5
6 Georgia over 127 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 17.5
79 Youngstown State over 238 Robert Morris 45.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
219 Southern over 251 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 21.0
43 Louisiana Tech over 80 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 38.5
36 Miami - Florida over 141 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 21.0
30 Utah over 74 Utah State 28.0 to 17.5
92 Air Force over 138 San Jose State 35.0 to 24.5
58 Pittsburgh over 175 Akron 35.0 to 21.0
146 Albany over 232 Rhode Island 35.0 to 17.5
23 Arizona State over 105 California Poly 42.0 to 28.0
15 Arkansas over 83 Toledo 45.5 to 28.0
22 Missouri over 111 Arkansas State 38.5 to 21.0
12 Auburn over 72 Jacksonville State 38.5 to 24.5
57 California over 99 San Diego State 38.5 to 31.5
49 Cincinnati over 96 Temple 35.0 to 21.0
50 New Hampshire over 179 Colgate 35.0 to 21.0
103 Colorado over 176 Massachusetts 42.0 to 31.5
54 Colorado State over 42 Minnesota 31.5 to 28.0
158 Delaware over 139 Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
39 Duke over 189 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 21.0
28 Florida over 52 East Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
53 Fordham over 55 Villanova 38.5 to 35.0
218 Gardner - Webb over 225 Elon 24.5 to 21.0
214 Georgetown over 227 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
97 Georgia Southern over 107 Western Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
178 Bethune - Cookman over 228 Grambling 31.5 to 28.0
101 Richmond over 216 Hampton 42.0 to 28.0
221 Northern Colorado over 253 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 21.0
126 Idaho State over 188 Portland State 42.0 to 35.0
84 Illinois over 116 Western Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
85 Indiana over 177 Florida International 42.0 to 24.5
51 Iowa over 102 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5
81 James Madison over 166 Lehigh 42.0 to 24.5
41 Memphis over 120 Kansas 31.5 to 24.5
195 Kent State over 240 Delaware State 28.0 to 14.0
110 Louisiana - Lafayette over 154 Northwestern State 35.0 to 28.0
26 Louisville over 69 Houston 35.0 to 24.5
63 Maryland over 129 Bowling Green 42.0 to 28.0
140 McNeese State over 246 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 14.0
194 Mercer over 242 Stetson 45.5 to 28.0
66 Michigan over 82 Oregon State 28.0 to 21.0
29 Arizona over 94 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 28.0
133 New Mexico over 170 Tulsa 42.0 to 35.0
75 North Carolina over 136 North Carolina A&T 38.5 to 28.0
183 North Carolina - Charlot over 222 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
64 North Carolina State over 128 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
201 Drake over 213 North Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
86 Northern Illinois over 207 Murray State 52.5 to 31.5
46 Northern Iowa over 65 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 35.0
76 Northwestern over 106 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
181 Tennessee State over 236 Jackson State 31.5 to 17.5
27 Marshall over 156 Ohio 42.0 to 24.5
38 Oklahoma State over 135 Central Arkansas 45.5 to 24.5
131 Old Dominion over 231 Norfolk State 35.0 to 21.0
62 Penn State over 125 Buffalo 35.0 to 21.0
95 Indiana State over 123 Purdue 31.5 to 28.0
68 Rutgers over 89 Washington State 38.5 to 28.0
33 South Carolina over 70 Kentucky 38.5 to 28.0
61 Coastal Carolina over 164 South Carolina State 35.0 to 24.5
87 Southern Illinois over 204 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 24.5
137 North Texas over 217 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 28.0
200 Southern Mississippi over 248 Austin Peay 35.0 to 17.5
21 Stanford over 60 Central Florida 28.0 to 14.0
134 Stony Brook over 209 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
93 Syracuse over 124 Wake Forest 24.5 to 17.5
44 Texas over 90 Rice 31.5 to 21.0
25 Texas A&M over 118 Ball State 45.5 to 24.5
14 Kansas State over 169 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 14.0
151 Texas State - San Marcos over 205 Prairie View 38.5 to 35.0
77 Texas Tech over 145 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 28.0
130 The Citadel over 182 Western Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
143 Charleston Southern over 208 Troy State 35.0 to 24.5
119 Sacred Heart over 244 Valparaiso 42.0 to 17.5
35 Notre Dame over 73 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
226 Virginia Military over 243 Morehead State 45.5 to 38.5
40 Virginia Tech over 199 Furman 35.0 to 10.5
37 Washington over 168 Sacramento State 45.5 to 24.5
31 West Virginia over 98 Liberty 38.5 to 24.5
157 Wofford over 215 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 21.0
162 Wyoming over 234 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
203 Alabama State over 172 Alcorn State 31.5 to 28.0
45 Brigham Young over 32 Boise State 35.0 to 35.0
144 Bucknell over 142 Duquesne 24.5 to 24.5
211 California - Davis over 186 South Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
132 Central Michigan over 153 Monmouth 28.0 to 28.0
184 Connecticut over 159 Army 28.0 to 24.5
1 Oregon over 7 Michigan State 38.5 to 35.0
18 Mississippi State over 17 Louisiana State 28.0 to 28.0
224 New Mexico State over 220 Georgia State 35.0 to 35.0
19 Oklahoma over 34 Tennessee 35.0 to 31.5
185 Towson over 149 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 28.0
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