ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
3 Alabama over 154 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 7.0
2 Baylor over 84 Rice 56.0 to 28.0
97 Colorado over 251 Nicholls State 56.0 to 14.0
130 Eastern Kentucky over 248 Austin Peay 42.0 to 3.5
4 Georgia over 200 Southern 59.5 to 21.0
85 Georgia Southern over 212 Idaho 45.5 to 24.5
54 Marshall over 201 Kent State 38.5 to 17.5
11 Michigan State over 115 Central Michigan 42.0 to 14.0
1 Mississippi over 124 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 10.5
224 Alabama State over 252 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 14.0
24 Nebraska over 160 Southern Mississippi 49.0 to 21.0
81 New Hampshire over 216 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5
17 Notre Dame over 189 Massachusetts 49.0 to 14.0
5 Ohio State over 123 Western Michigan 49.0 to 17.5
6 Oregon over 27 Utah 42.0 to 24.5
106 Sam Houston State over 253 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 10.5
45 South Dakota State over 237 Robert Morris 49.0 to 10.5
78 Western Kentucky over 219 Miami - Ohio 45.5 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
30 Memphis over 79 Cincinnati 45.5 to 31.5
14 Stanford over 95 Oregon State 28.0 to 14.0
169 Bethune - Cookman over 250 Savannah State 49.0 to 14.0
93 Fordham over 153 Monmouth 38.5 to 24.5
171 Furman over 232 Virginia Military 42.0 to 21.0
67 Houston over 143 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 24.5
51 Iowa over 157 North Texas 38.5 to 14.0
112 Louisiana - Lafayette over 185 Akron 31.5 to 21.0
48 Louisiana Tech over 150 Florida International 38.5 to 17.5
159 Maine over 234 Rhode Island 28.0 to 10.5
190 Morgan State over 239 Howard 38.5 to 24.5
47 North Carolina over 176 Delaware 35.0 to 17.5
39 Northwestern over 126 Ball State 35.0 to 17.5
62 Penn State over 129 San Diego State 24.5 to 10.5
65 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 225 Presbyterian 31.5 to 10.5
64 Eastern Washington over 183 Sacramento State 52.5 to 38.5
49 North Carolina State over 151 South Alabama 35.0 to 21.0
52 South Carolina over 100 Central Florida 28.0 to 17.5
59 James Madison over 162 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 21.0
15 Texas A&M over 35 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
184 San Diego over 245 Valparaiso 38.5 to 17.5
25 West Virginia over 86 Maryland 42.0 to 24.5
26 Wisconsin over 139 Hawaii 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
72 Villanova over 192 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 17.5
32 Boise State over 69 Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
42 Boston College over 76 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
218 Drake over 243 Stetson 38.5 to 17.5
9 Georgia Tech over 41 Duke 35.0 to 28.0
186 Tennessee State over 235 Florida A&M 31.5 to 17.5
103 Montana over 179 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 21.0
209 North Dakota over 202 California - Davis 28.0 to 21.0
13 Louisiana State over 87 Syracuse 28.0 to 14.0
173 Texas - El Paso over 247 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 14.0
74 Colorado State over 177 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 21.0
146 Wofford over 220 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
199 Abilene Christian over 198 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 38.5
231 Alabama A&M over 246 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 24.5
140 Albany over 149 Duquesne 24.5 to 24.5
21 Arizona over 18 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
8 Southern California over 40 Arizona State 35.0 to 28.0
22 Auburn over 19 Mississippi State 31.5 to 28.0
111 Buffalo over 104 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 31.5
226 Butler over 238 Campbell 31.5 to 24.5
57 Coastal Carolina over 119 Bryant 38.5 to 24.5
217 Georgetown over 241 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
68 Navy over 144 Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
194 Dayton over 233 Kennesaw State 59.5 to 49.0
38 Virginia Tech over 71 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
168 Army over 211 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
167 Towson over 221 Elon 24.5 to 17.5
33 Florida over 28 Tennessee 31.5 to 24.5
58 Harvard over 148 Brown 35.0 to 14.0
152 Holy Cross over 191 Colgate 24.5 to 17.5
70 Illinois over 89 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 31.5
236 Jackson State over 244 Texas Southern 31.5 to 21.0
31 Missouri over 66 Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
44 Louisville over 88 Samford 31.5 to 24.5
145 Jacksonville over 223 Marist 31.5 to 21.0
73 Minnesota over 116 Ohio 24.5 to 14.0
242 Morehead State over 249 Davidson 42.0 to 35.0
178 Nevada - Las Vegas over 164 Idaho State 31.5 to 31.5
196 Weber State over 227 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 21.0
175 Northwestern State over 147 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 35.0
197 Prairie View over 204 Grambling 45.5 to 42.0
113 Appalachian State over 138 Old Dominion 38.5 to 31.5
141 Princeton over 165 Lehigh 38.5 to 31.5
94 Bowling Green over 125 Purdue 38.5 to 35.0
91 Rutgers over 131 Kansas 35.0 to 24.5
136 San Jose State over 134 Fresno State 35.0 to 31.5
98 Southern Illinois over 114 Liberty 31.5 to 28.0
53 Jacksonville State over 155 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 21.0
23 Oklahoma State over 56 Texas 28.0 to 24.5
7 Texas Christian over 34 Texas Tech 45.5 to 38.5
121 The Citadel over 156 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 21.0
80 Toledo over 96 Arkansas State 38.5 to 31.5
193 Wagner over 213 Lafayette 24.5 to 17.5
82 Indiana over 127 Wake Forest 31.5 to 28.0
37 Washington over 43 California 38.5 to 31.5
101 William & Mary over 120 Stony Brook 21.0 to 17.5
170 New Mexico over 195 Wyoming 31.5 to 31.5
108 Yale over 230 Cornell 49.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
117 Dartmouth over 105 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 28.0
55 Michigan over 29 Brigham Young 24.5 to 24.5
118 Montana State over 102 California Poly 35.0 to 35.0
215 Murray State over 210 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 35.0
207 Hampton over 229 Norfolk State 21.0 to 21.0
172 Florida Atlantic over 206 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 31.5
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