ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
108 Eastern Kentucky over 215 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 17.5
39 Houston over 146 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 21.0
81 Air Force over 200 Wyoming 42.0 to 17.5
2 Alabama over 52 Arkansas 35.0 to 10.5
57 Coastal Carolina over 233 Presbyterian 42.0 to 7.0
45 Harvard over 229 Cornell 45.5 to 10.5
230 Drake over 249 Valparaiso 35.0 to 14.0
135 Central Arkansas over 253 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 14.0
162 Jacksonville over 248 Stetson 45.5 to 14.0
1 Baylor over 168 Kansas 56.0 to 17.5
4 Mississippi over 216 New Mexico State 63.0 to 17.5
28 Mississippi State over 180 Troy State 42.0 to 10.5
110 Montana over 212 Weber State 35.0 to 14.0
98 Montana State over 213 Sacramento State 49.0 to 28.0
191 Morgan State over 246 Savannah State 45.5 to 21.0
97 Ohio over 199 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 14.0
12 Ohio State over 123 Maryland 45.5 to 14.0
25 Oregon over 88 Washington State 49.0 to 28.0
198 Prairie View over 251 Mississippi Valley State 52.5 to 24.5
96 Richmond over 206 Elon 35.0 to 14.0
192 Stephen F. Austin over 250 Nicholls State 45.5 to 14.0
59 Toledo over 190 Kent State 38.5 to 10.5
101 Samford over 220 Virginia Military 42.0 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
3 Southern California over 35 Washington 31.5 to 17.5
84 Marshall over 116 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 28.0
47 Arizona State over 105 Colorado 35.0 to 21.0
34 Duke over 124 Army 35.0 to 17.5
60 Boston College over 111 Wake Forest 24.5 to 7.0
76 Bowling Green over 158 Massachusetts 45.5 to 28.0
139 Bryant over 231 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
10 Boise State over 100 Colorado State 42.0 to 24.5
70 Eastern Washington over 107 California Poly 45.5 to 35.0
152 Florida International over 210 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 21.0
11 Florida State over 48 Miami - Florida 38.5 to 24.5
65 Utah State over 167 Fresno State 35.0 to 24.5
134 Liberty over 227 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
83 Appalachian State over 204 Georgia State 38.5 to 21.0
145 Grambling over 236 Alabama A&M 49.0 to 28.0
193 Hampton over 241 Delaware State 35.0 to 17.5
33 Iowa over 79 Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
217 Murray State over 245 Austin Peay 38.5 to 21.0
185 North Dakota over 219 Idaho State 35.0 to 21.0
72 Northern Illinois over 109 Ball State 35.0 to 21.0
15 Notre Dame over 41 Navy 35.0 to 24.5
13 Oklahoma over 89 Texas 38.5 to 21.0
91 Fordham over 186 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 24.5
49 Pittsburgh over 102 Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
159 Delaware over 226 Rhode Island 28.0 to 17.5
24 Michigan State over 93 Rutgers 35.0 to 21.0
112 Sam Houston State over 238 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 17.5
62 Temple over 169 Tulane 35.0 to 14.0
73 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 157 Furman 31.5 to 14.0
43 Louisiana Tech over 171 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 21.0
32 Texas Tech over 86 Iowa State 45.5 to 31.5
17 Utah over 40 California 42.0 to 31.5
70-80% chance of victory:
55 Arizona over 92 Oregon State 42.0 to 31.5
46 Brigham Young over 56 East Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
126 Central Florida over 130 Connecticut 24.5 to 17.5
80 Dartmouth over 122 Yale 38.5 to 28.0
129 Akron over 188 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
201 North Carolina Central over 240 Florida A&M 28.0 to 21.0
121 Nevada - Reno over 175 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
155 Portland State over 207 North Texas 35.0 to 21.0
131 Princeton over 174 Colgate 31.5 to 21.0
90 Southern Illinois over 177 Missouri State 38.5 to 24.5
7 Georgia over 37 Tennessee 35.0 to 31.5
54 James Madison over 150 Towson 38.5 to 24.5
50 Western Kentucky over 74 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
211 Alabama State over 189 Southern 35.0 to 31.5
195 Albany over 182 Maine 21.0 to 21.0
154 Bethune - Cookman over 181 South Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
183 Bucknell over 196 Lehigh 24.5 to 17.5
153 Northern Arizona over 202 California - Davis 31.5 to 24.5
209 Marist over 234 Campbell 24.5 to 21.0
136 Charleston Southern over 166 Monmouth 31.5 to 24.5
8 Clemson over 9 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
228 Wagner over 239 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
173 Dayton over 178 San Diego 24.5 to 21.0
138 Eastern Illinois over 147 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
214 Georgetown over 218 Lafayette 21.0 to 21.0
143 San Diego State over 179 Hawaii 21.0 to 17.5
128 Holy Cross over 165 Brown 28.0 to 21.0
5 Texas Christian over 19 Kansas State 35.0 to 35.0
149 Lamar over 208 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 31.5
141 Louisiana - Lafayette over 164 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 35.0
18 Michigan over 31 Northwestern 17.5 to 10.5
21 Florida over 64 Missouri 21.0 to 17.5
222 Butler over 235 Morehead State 31.5 to 28.0
26 Wisconsin over 53 Nebraska 28.0 to 24.5
115 San Jose State over 125 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 28.0
144 North Carolina A&T over 225 Norfolk State 21.0 to 14.0
51 North Dakota State over 58 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 24.5
78 Penn State over 68 Indiana 31.5 to 24.5
95 Minnesota over 117 Purdue 28.0 to 24.5
137 Sacred Heart over 205 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
22 Louisiana State over 66 South Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
61 South Dakota State over 85 Indiana State 35.0 to 31.5
82 Syracuse over 132 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
140 The Citadel over 151 Wofford 28.0 to 21.0
113 Tulsa over 156 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
103 Villanova over 87 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
176 Mercer over 194 Western Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
104 Western Illinois over 142 South Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
114 Western Michigan over 99 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
14 West Virginia over 20 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 28.0
42 Illinois State over 63 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
44 Virginia Tech over 36 North Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
172 Florida Atlantic over 148 Rice 31.5 to 31.5
133 McNeese State over 106 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
187 Tennessee State over 170 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 28.0
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