ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
207 Alabama State over 246 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 21.0
40 Western Kentucky over 227 North Texas 52.5 to 21.0
148 Tennessee - Martin over 245 Austin Peay 42.0 to 14.0
230 Butler over 252 Davidson 38.5 to 17.5
60 Dartmouth over 223 Central Connecticut 42.0 to 14.0
45 James Madison over 195 Elon 38.5 to 17.5
74 Georgia Southern over 212 New Mexico State 52.5 to 21.0
79 Eastern Washington over 210 Idaho State 56.0 to 31.5
20 Texas Tech over 185 Kansas 52.5 to 24.5
36 Harvard over 233 Lafayette 42.0 to 10.5
71 Northern Illinois over 202 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 17.5
18 Ohio State over 69 Penn State 31.5 to 14.0
189 South Carolina State over 241 Howard 31.5 to 10.5
72 Jacksonville State over 213 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 17.5
59 Toledo over 190 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 17.5
170 Dayton over 250 Valparaiso 35.0 to 10.5
64 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 228 Virginia Military 45.5 to 17.5
30 Wisconsin over 132 Purdue 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
35 Houston over 173 Tulane 45.5 to 21.0
96 Sam Houston State over 209 Abilene Christian 49.0 to 31.5
121 Ball State over 216 Georgia State 38.5 to 24.5
1 Baylor over 14 West Virginia 49.0 to 31.5
7 Clemson over 77 Boston College 24.5 to 10.5
41 Arizona over 118 Colorado 42.0 to 31.5
55 East Carolina over 114 Tulsa 49.0 to 35.0
92 Marshall over 172 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 21.0
11 Florida State over 32 Louisville 31.5 to 21.0
21 Georgia over 81 Missouri 31.5 to 14.0
16 Georgia Tech over 52 Pittsburgh 38.5 to 24.5
5 Texas Christian over 99 Iowa State 45.5 to 24.5
176 Mercer over 237 East Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5
29 Mississippi State over 54 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 21.0
49 Illinois State over 211 Missouri State 49.0 to 24.5
248 Nicholls State over 253 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 17.5
27 North Carolina over 107 Wake Forest 35.0 to 14.0
50 North Dakota State over 135 South Dakota 38.5 to 17.5
75 Appalachian State over 163 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 17.5
136 Lamar over 219 Northwestern State 42.0 to 31.5
120 Charleston Southern over 224 Presbyterian 28.0 to 10.5
95 Richmond over 215 Rhode Island 38.5 to 21.0
139 Sacred Heart over 229 Cornell 35.0 to 17.5
155 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 239 Wagner 38.5 to 17.5
206 North Carolina Central over 249 Savannah State 38.5 to 21.0
123 Southeast Louisiana over 204 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 21.0
161 Southern Utah over 218 Sacramento State 31.5 to 21.0
56 Temple over 158 Central Florida 35.0 to 14.0
167 Troy State over 201 Idaho 42.0 to 31.5
15 Utah over 47 Arizona State 35.0 to 21.0
112 Nevada - Reno over 194 Wyoming 31.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
39 Brigham Young over 65 Cincinnati 35.0 to 28.0
8 Boise State over 51 Utah State 31.5 to 21.0
133 Villanova over 205 Albany 28.0 to 17.5
68 Bowling Green over 113 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
100 Fordham over 140 Holy Cross 35.0 to 28.0
86 Middle Tennessee State over 142 Florida International 28.0 to 21.0
61 Northern Iowa over 89 Western Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
85 Ohio over 115 Western Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
87 Samford over 122 The Citadel 35.0 to 28.0
174 San Diego over 225 Drake 28.0 to 14.0
80 South Carolina over 94 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 14.0
128 Southern Mississippi over 149 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 28.0
116 Stony Brook over 150 Towson 28.0 to 17.5
162 Wofford over 191 Western Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
127 Arkansas State over 181 South Alabama 35.0 to 28.0
37 Auburn over 70 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
12 Stanford over 24 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
119 Nevada - Las Vegas over 177 Fresno State 35.0 to 31.5
238 Alabama A&M over 236 Jackson State 31.5 to 28.0
134 Alcorn State over 138 Grambling 45.5 to 38.5
146 Army over 199 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
103 Princeton over 152 Brown 31.5 to 28.0
153 Bryant over 164 Duquesne 24.5 to 21.0
104 Central Michigan over 124 Buffalo 31.5 to 24.5
166 Pennsylvania over 231 Columbia 31.5 to 21.0
110 Connecticut over 97 South Florida 21.0 to 21.0
82 Indiana over 91 Rutgers 35.0 to 31.5
76 Southern Illinois over 106 Indiana State 35.0 to 31.5
23 Kansas State over 25 Oklahoma 35.0 to 31.5
222 Kennesaw State over 214 Gardner - Webb 52.5 to 45.5
19 Louisiana State over 13 Florida 24.5 to 21.0
154 Maine over 143 Yale 28.0 to 24.5
156 Massachusetts over 180 Kent State 28.0 to 24.5
6 Mississippi over 33 Memphis 38.5 to 31.5
46 Miami - Florida over 42 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
3 Michigan over 34 Michigan State 24.5 to 17.5
58 Nebraska over 84 Minnesota 24.5 to 21.0
244 Texas Southern over 251 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 21.0
182 Morgan State over 192 Hampton 31.5 to 28.0
175 New Mexico over 186 Hawaii 24.5 to 21.0
130 North Carolina A&T over 157 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 24.5
196 California - Davis over 232 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
4 Southern California over 10 Notre Dame 31.5 to 31.5
203 Old Dominion over 220 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 28.0
111 San Jose State over 141 San Diego State 28.0 to 21.0
101 Eastern Kentucky over 144 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 28.0
168 Southern over 188 Prairie View 49.0 to 42.0
234 Campbell over 247 Stetson 31.5 to 24.5
197 Tennessee State over 147 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
2 Alabama over 17 Texas A&M 31.5 to 28.0
22 Washington over 48 Oregon 35.0 to 28.0
78 Washington State over 108 Oregon State 35.0 to 28.0
73 William & Mary over 66 New Hampshire 28.0 to 24.5
67 Youngstown State over 62 South Dakota State 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
137 Central Arkansas over 126 McNeese State 24.5 to 24.5
109 Colorado State over 90 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0
242 Florida A&M over 240 Delaware State 24.5 to 21.0
193 Georgetown over 178 Colgate 21.0 to 21.0
183 Monmouth over 159 Liberty 28.0 to 28.0
53 Northwestern over 38 Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
117 Portland State over 98 Montana State 35.0 to 35.0
102 Virginia over 93 Syracuse 28.0 to 28.0
198 Weber State over 179 North Dakota 21.0 to 21.0
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