ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
42 Appalachian State over 118 Arkansas State 42.0 to 24.5
1 Baylor over 63 Kansas State 49.0 to 31.5
76 Air Force over 156 Army 38.5 to 21.0
146 Southeast Missouri State over 245 Austin Peay 35.0 to 10.5
227 Butler over 249 Valparaiso 42.0 to 21.0
112 California Poly over 223 Sacramento State 42.0 to 21.0
83 Coastal Carolina over 228 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 7.0
26 Harvard over 205 Columbia 35.0 to 3.5
59 Dartmouth over 233 Cornell 42.0 to 7.0
52 William & Mary over 198 Elon 31.5 to 10.5
12 Florida over 103 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 3.5
142 Grambling over 242 Texas Southern 49.0 to 24.5
195 Hampton over 235 Florida A&M 35.0 to 17.5
183 Jacksonville over 253 Davidson 49.0 to 7.0
152 Lamar over 244 Nicholls State 45.5 to 17.5
60 Louisiana Tech over 216 North Texas 49.0 to 17.5
201 Marist over 243 Stetson 35.0 to 14.0
25 Wisconsin over 114 Maryland 31.5 to 14.0
15 Michigan over 115 Rutgers 38.5 to 14.0
43 Utah State over 178 New Mexico 38.5 to 21.0
230 Norfolk State over 250 Savannah State 38.5 to 14.0
9 Ohio State over 84 Minnesota 38.5 to 14.0
3 Oklahoma over 81 Iowa State 45.5 to 14.0
6 Southern California over 70 Arizona 45.5 to 24.5
160 Stony Brook over 237 Howard 35.0 to 10.5
88 Texas over 207 Kansas 35.0 to 10.5
95 The Citadel over 217 Virginia Military 45.5 to 21.0
55 Western Kentucky over 187 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 21.0
85 Youngstown State over 236 Missouri State 45.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
28 Bowling Green over 124 Ohio 42.0 to 24.5
117 Buffalo over 204 Kent State 28.0 to 17.5
69 Western Michigan over 157 Ball State 38.5 to 21.0
40 Brigham Young over 138 San Jose State 35.0 to 21.0
49 Temple over 132 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 21.0
155 Rice over 222 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 28.0
239 Alabama A&M over 251 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
123 Alcorn State over 179 Prairie View 49.0 to 35.0
203 Southern over 248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 24.5
145 Bethune - Cookman over 197 Morgan State 38.5 to 28.0
147 San Diego over 229 Campbell 28.0 to 14.0
141 Central Arkansas over 173 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 24.5
2 Clemson over 19 Florida State 35.0 to 21.0
10 Stanford over 113 Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
162 Delaware over 218 Albany 24.5 to 14.0
104 Eastern Kentucky over 148 Tennessee - Martin 42.0 to 28.0
144 Florida International over 231 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 14.0
99 Fordham over 213 Bucknell 38.5 to 21.0
48 Georgia over 94 Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
11 Houston over 58 Cincinnati 45.5 to 28.0
127 Montana over 226 Idaho State 38.5 to 24.5
27 Iowa over 92 Indiana 38.5 to 28.0
164 Liberty over 224 Presbyterian 24.5 to 10.5
50 Louisville over 91 Syracuse 35.0 to 21.0
20 Memphis over 46 Navy 38.5 to 28.0
62 Miami - Florida over 96 Virginia 35.0 to 24.5
13 Mississippi over 44 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
209 North Carolina Central over 246 Delaware State 31.5 to 14.0
47 North Dakota State over 87 Western Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
72 Portland State over 200 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 21.0
75 Northern Iowa over 102 Indiana State 28.0 to 17.5
38 California - Los Angeles over 133 Oregon State 35.0 to 21.0
121 Villanova over 202 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
232 Robert Morris over 247 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 7.0
177 Southeast Louisiana over 240 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 10.5
18 Tennessee over 78 South Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
199 Tennessee State over 211 Murray State 35.0 to 24.5
32 Texas A&M over 57 Auburn 38.5 to 28.0
168 Texas State - San Marcos over 219 New Mexico State 49.0 to 35.0
130 Troy State over 189 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 21.0
98 Tulsa over 191 Central Florida 38.5 to 24.5
140 Bryant over 241 Wagner 38.5 to 17.5
172 Weber State over 215 California - Davis 31.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
39 Toledo over 65 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
16 Mississippi State over 90 Missouri 21.0 to 14.0
5 Alabama over 14 Louisiana State 31.5 to 21.0
67 Jacksonville State over 135 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
184 Colgate over 238 Lafayette 28.0 to 17.5
166 Dayton over 212 Morehead State 31.5 to 21.0
136 Nevada - Las Vegas over 193 Hawaii 28.0 to 21.0
7 Notre Dame over 45 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 24.5
180 Texas - San Antonio over 214 Old Dominion 35.0 to 24.5
108 Connecticut over 169 Tulane 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
137 Nevada - Reno over 176 Fresno State 35.0 to 31.5
37 North Carolina State over 77 Boston College 24.5 to 21.0
151 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 192 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 28.0
68 East Carolina over 66 South Florida 31.5 to 28.0
120 Eastern Washington over 128 Northern Arizona 45.5 to 35.0
150 Louisiana - Lafayette over 181 Georgia State 35.0 to 31.5
208 Alabama State over 234 Jackson State 31.5 to 28.0
97 Charleston Southern over 196 Kennesaw State 45.5 to 31.5
134 Holy Cross over 190 Lehigh 31.5 to 28.0
119 Towson over 170 Maine 24.5 to 21.0
143 Akron over 153 Massachusetts 24.5 to 24.5
116 McNeese State over 93 Sam Houston State 28.0 to 28.0
89 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 167 Mercer 28.0 to 21.0
210 Miami - Ohio over 186 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 35.0
107 Montana State over 82 Southern Utah 38.5 to 35.0
22 Michigan State over 61 Nebraska 35.0 to 28.0
86 Richmond over 126 New Hampshire 35.0 to 31.5
17 North Carolina over 29 Duke 31.5 to 24.5
74 Northwestern over 64 Penn State 17.5 to 17.5
206 Northwestern State over 220 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 35.0
34 Oregon over 31 California 45.5 to 42.0
100 Purdue over 110 Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
182 Sacred Heart over 175 Duquesne 21.0 to 21.0
188 South Alabama over 185 Idaho 35.0 to 31.5
125 North Carolina A&T over 158 South Carolina State 21.0 to 17.5
79 Southern Illinois over 131 South Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
51 South Dakota State over 54 Illinois State 28.0 to 24.5
23 Washington over 24 Utah 24.5 to 21.0
53 Washington State over 56 Arizona State 35.0 to 35.0
154 Western Carolina over 165 Furman 24.5 to 24.5
33 West Virginia over 35 Texas Tech 45.5 to 38.5
129 Colorado State over 159 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
161 Yale over 149 Brown 28.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
109 Marshall over 106 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 31.5
8 Oklahoma State over 4 Texas Christian 42.0 to 42.0
111 Pennsylvania over 101 Princeton 35.0 to 35.0
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