ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
10 Southern California over 115 Colorado 42.0 to 17.5
136 Grambling over 248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 24.5
20 Boise State over 162 New Mexico 49.0 to 14.0
39 California over 149 Oregon State 42.0 to 21.0
148 San Diego over 252 Davidson 45.5 to 10.5
36 Harvard over 98 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 17.5
59 Appalachian State over 180 Idaho 45.5 to 24.5
117 Montana State over 228 Idaho State 52.5 to 31.5
5 Oklahoma State over 91 Iowa State 42.0 to 24.5
67 Jacksonville State over 146 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 14.0
23 Michigan State over 102 Maryland 42.0 to 17.5
56 Northern Iowa over 237 Missouri State 42.0 to 7.0
25 Navy over 131 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 21.0
145 Central Arkansas over 240 Nicholls State 38.5 to 14.0
119 North Carolina A&T over 246 Delaware State 42.0 to 3.5
95 Northern Arizona over 225 Sacramento State 42.0 to 21.0
4 Notre Dame over 118 Wake Forest 42.0 to 14.0
151 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 236 Robert Morris 31.5 to 14.0
93 Sam Houston State over 202 Northwestern State 49.0 to 28.0
79 San Diego State over 174 Wyoming 35.0 to 14.0
184 Hampton over 247 Savannah State 42.0 to 17.5
167 Stephen F. Austin over 253 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 14.0
2 Clemson over 96 Syracuse 45.5 to 21.0
21 Tennessee over 223 North Texas 56.0 to 10.5
45 Texas A&M over 130 Western Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
9 Texas Christian over 210 Kansas 59.5 to 10.5
132 Alcorn State over 238 Texas Southern 38.5 to 17.5
214 Morehead State over 251 Valparaiso 45.5 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
135 Ohio over 199 Kent State 24.5 to 14.0
54 Northern Illinois over 120 Buffalo 35.0 to 24.5
126 New Hampshire over 206 Albany 31.5 to 21.0
68 Dartmouth over 156 Brown 35.0 to 17.5
137 Bryant over 197 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 21.0
112 California Poly over 217 California - Davis 38.5 to 24.5
90 Charleston Southern over 170 Liberty 28.0 to 14.0
53 Cincinnati over 97 Tulsa 49.0 to 31.5
75 Coastal Carolina over 190 Kennesaw State 52.5 to 28.0
49 James Madison over 182 Delaware 38.5 to 21.0
233 Gardner - Webb over 250 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 7.0
13 Houston over 29 Memphis 42.0 to 31.5
11 Ohio State over 81 Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
12 Michigan over 88 Indiana 38.5 to 21.0
27 Iowa over 85 Minnesota 31.5 to 17.5
16 Louisiana State over 38 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
48 Louisville over 87 Virginia 31.5 to 17.5
107 Marshall over 138 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
168 Monmouth over 224 Presbyterian 28.0 to 14.0
211 Morgan State over 239 Florida A&M 31.5 to 17.5
121 Eastern Kentucky over 204 Murray State 42.0 to 28.0
8 North Carolina over 70 Miami - Florida 42.0 to 24.5
94 Arkansas State over 205 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
80 Northwestern over 123 Purdue 31.5 to 21.0
51 South Dakota State over 127 South Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
187 Southern over 242 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 24.5
222 Tennessee Tech over 244 Austin Peay 31.5 to 17.5
196 Central Connecticut over 243 Wagner 31.5 to 17.5
24 West Virginia over 71 Texas 31.5 to 17.5
52 William & Mary over 114 Towson 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
22 Utah over 61 Arizona 38.5 to 31.5
28 California - Los Angeles over 50 Washington State 38.5 to 31.5
19 Florida State over 31 North Carolina State 35.0 to 24.5
113 Fordham over 191 Georgetown 38.5 to 28.0
169 Maine over 200 Elon 21.0 to 10.5
143 Akron over 209 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 14.0
157 South Carolina State over 230 Norfolk State 21.0 to 10.5
111 Princeton over 147 Yale 31.5 to 24.5
57 Nebraska over 125 Rutgers 42.0 to 31.5
15 Florida over 72 South Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
7 Stanford over 33 Oregon 42.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
46 Toledo over 73 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
17 Bowling Green over 60 Western Michigan 42.0 to 38.5
30 Georgia Tech over 44 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
153 Louisiana - Lafayette over 192 South Alabama 35.0 to 31.5
208 Southeast Louisiana over 229 Abilene Christian 28.0 to 21.0
26 Washington over 58 Arizona State 28.0 to 24.5
158 Army over 163 Tulane 28.0 to 21.0
41 Auburn over 43 Georgia 28.0 to 28.0
1 Baylor over 3 Oklahoma 45.5 to 38.5
144 Holy Cross over 207 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
198 Jacksonville over 220 Campbell 28.0 to 21.0
175 Colgate over 164 Lehigh 31.5 to 28.0
122 Colorado State over 129 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 28.0
177 Columbia over 231 Cornell 21.0 to 17.5
165 Dayton over 188 Marist 21.0 to 14.0
40 Duke over 42 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5
155 Massachusetts over 189 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 35.0
106 Middle Tennessee State over 176 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
154 Mercer over 183 Furman 24.5 to 21.0
193 Hawaii over 185 Fresno State 31.5 to 28.0
203 North Carolina Central over 234 Howard 31.5 to 24.5
173 Lamar over 232 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 28.0
6 Alabama over 14 Mississippi State 24.5 to 24.5
134 Montana over 140 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 31.5
139 Nevada - Reno over 128 San Jose State 28.0 to 24.5
47 Brigham Young over 92 Missouri 21.0 to 14.0
181 Texas - San Antonio over 227 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 24.5
172 North Dakota over 178 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
213 Old Dominion over 219 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 28.0
83 Portland State over 74 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
186 Stony Brook over 215 Rhode Island 21.0 to 17.5
109 Southern Mississippi over 166 Rice 35.0 to 28.0
55 Illinois State over 82 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
37 Temple over 64 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
100 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 99 The Citadel 24.5 to 21.0
142 Tennessee - Martin over 150 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0
194 Texas State - San Marcos over 179 Georgia State 35.0 to 31.5
34 Texas Tech over 69 Kansas State 42.0 to 35.0
76 Georgia Southern over 103 Troy State 31.5 to 28.0
104 Vanderbilt over 101 Kentucky 17.5 to 17.5
133 Samford over 159 Wofford 28.0 to 28.0
32 North Dakota State over 86 Youngstown State 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
63 Utah State over 78 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0
216 Alabama State over 160 Prairie View 38.5 to 38.5
226 Butler over 221 Drake 24.5 to 24.5
124 Indiana State over 108 Western Illinois 31.5 to 31.5
116 Villanova over 89 Richmond 24.5 to 24.5
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