ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
3 Alabama over 99 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 10.5
109 Alcorn State over 244 Alabama A&M 45.5 to 10.5
52 Auburn over 186 Idaho 49.0 to 17.5
58 Brigham Young over 165 Fresno State 45.5 to 21.0
2 Clemson over 113 Wake Forest 38.5 to 7.0
10 Houston over 118 Connecticut 35.0 to 14.0
17 Florida over 184 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 3.5
45 Illinois State over 116 South Dakota 35.0 to 17.5
23 Iowa over 117 Purdue 42.0 to 21.0
192 Jacksonville over 248 Valparaiso 45.5 to 14.0
56 Jacksonville State over 190 Murray State 49.0 to 21.0
28 West Virginia over 189 Kansas 42.0 to 14.0
161 Lehigh over 236 Lafayette 38.5 to 21.0
158 Louisiana - Lafayette over 210 New Mexico State 42.0 to 28.0
112 Middle Tennessee State over 209 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
142 Bethune - Cookman over 238 Florida A&M 42.0 to 21.0
22 North Dakota State over 242 Missouri State 56.0 to 3.5
86 Pennsylvania over 230 Cornell 42.0 to 14.0
153 Prairie View over 234 Jackson State 49.0 to 28.0
185 Sacred Heart over 240 Wagner 35.0 to 14.0
163 South Carolina State over 250 Savannah State 38.5 to 10.5
78 Southern Mississippi over 206 Old Dominion 45.5 to 17.5
70 Louisiana Tech over 222 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 21.0
122 Towson over 211 Rhode Island 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
68 Central Michigan over 202 Kent State 28.0 to 10.5
85 East Carolina over 182 Central Florida 35.0 to 24.5
217 Southeast Louisiana over 233 Nicholls State 28.0 to 10.5
33 Boise State over 76 Air Force 35.0 to 21.0
73 Dartmouth over 115 Princeton 31.5 to 21.0
74 Western Kentucky over 166 Florida International 42.0 to 28.0
14 Florida State over 97 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 14.0
43 Georgia over 67 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 21.0
124 San Jose State over 208 Hawaii 31.5 to 17.5
140 Holy Cross over 188 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
231 Incarnate Word over 253 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 17.5
44 James Madison over 121 Villanova 35.0 to 24.5
108 Kentucky over 220 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 17.5
119 McNeese State over 178 Lamar 31.5 to 21.0
72 Coastal Carolina over 171 Liberty 35.0 to 21.0
183 Marist over 218 Morehead State 35.0 to 24.5
160 Massachusetts over 203 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
7 Notre Dame over 92 Boston College 31.5 to 14.0
64 San Diego State over 133 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
131 New Hampshire over 170 Maine 28.0 to 17.5
130 North Carolina A&T over 193 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 14.0
32 North Carolina State over 93 Syracuse 42.0 to 24.5
59 Northern Iowa over 94 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
1 Oklahoma over 19 Texas Christian 45.5 to 28.0
31 Washington over 147 Oregon State 31.5 to 14.0
146 Bryant over 237 Robert Morris 28.0 to 14.0
156 San Diego over 226 Butler 35.0 to 17.5
9 Stanford over 40 California 38.5 to 28.0
246 Stetson over 252 Davidson 35.0 to 21.0
15 Navy over 103 Tulsa 42.0 to 28.0
62 Utah State over 132 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 21.0
114 Western Carolina over 214 Virginia Military 42.0 to 28.0
41 Washington State over 107 Colorado 38.5 to 24.5
167 Weber State over 232 Idaho State 35.0 to 21.0
48 South Dakota State over 105 Western Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
35 Wisconsin over 87 Northwestern 24.5 to 10.5
51 Harvard over 138 Yale 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
11 Bowling Green over 39 Toledo 42.0 to 35.0
126 Ohio over 162 Ball State 31.5 to 21.0
110 California Poly over 155 North Dakota 38.5 to 28.0
173 Monmouth over 235 Gardner - Webb 21.0 to 10.5
75 Kansas State over 83 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5
8 Ohio State over 26 Michigan State 31.5 to 21.0
69 Southern Utah over 104 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
47 Northern Illinois over 63 Western Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
201 Texas State - San Marcos over 212 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
42 South Florida over 54 Cincinnati 31.5 to 31.5
53 Arizona State over 61 Arizona 42.0 to 35.0
134 Rutgers over 175 Army 31.5 to 28.0
95 Sam Houston State over 150 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
179 Colgate over 213 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
151 Brown over 180 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
239 Howard over 245 Delaware State 24.5 to 24.5
168 Dayton over 227 Drake 21.0 to 14.0
152 Duquesne over 136 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 24.5
84 Portland State over 157 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 35.0
174 Delaware over 181 Elon 17.5 to 14.0
159 Georgia State over 187 South Alabama 35.0 to 28.0
90 Youngstown State over 128 Indiana State 31.5 to 28.0
106 Maryland over 88 Indiana 38.5 to 38.5
149 Mercer over 135 Samford 31.5 to 31.5
38 Georgia Tech over 81 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 28.0
79 Minnesota over 96 Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
16 Mississippi over 24 Louisiana State 35.0 to 28.0
34 Tennessee over 89 Missouri 21.0 to 17.5
207 Morgan State over 229 Norfolk State 24.5 to 14.0
111 Colorado State over 144 New Mexico 31.5 to 28.0
196 Northern Colorado over 225 Abilene Christian 35.0 to 28.0
169 Stephen F. Austin over 204 Northwestern State 42.0 to 38.5
4 Baylor over 6 Oklahoma State 45.5 to 45.5
13 Michigan over 66 Penn State 24.5 to 17.5
30 Pittsburgh over 57 Louisville 28.0 to 24.5
223 Presbyterian over 197 Kennesaw State 28.0 to 24.5
50 William & Mary over 98 Richmond 35.0 to 28.0
224 Sacramento State over 216 California - Davis 28.0 to 24.5
71 South Carolina over 102 The Citadel 28.0 to 24.5
145 Southeast Missouri State over 137 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 31.5
139 Southern Methodist over 154 Tulane 35.0 to 31.5
195 Stony Brook over 205 Albany 21.0 to 14.0
18 Memphis over 49 Temple 31.5 to 31.5
194 Tennessee State over 215 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 24.5
177 Texas - San Antonio over 198 Rice 35.0 to 28.0
25 Utah over 36 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
60 Texas A&M over 100 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 17.5
55 Duke over 91 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
5 North Carolina over 37 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 28.0
164 Wofford over 191 Furman 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
141 Akron over 125 Buffalo 24.5 to 24.5
29 Arkansas over 21 Mississippi State 28.0 to 28.0
148 Eastern Illinois over 127 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
249 Mississippi Valley State over 247 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 28.0
120 Montana State over 101 Montana 35.0 to 35.0
20 Oregon over 12 Southern California 38.5 to 38.5
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