ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
14 Bowling Green over 169 Ball State 49.0 to 28.0
73 Central Michigan over 202 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 17.5
15 Oregon over 155 Oregon State 52.5 to 21.0
65 Appalachian State over 168 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 17.5
66 Georgia Southern over 190 South Alabama 42.0 to 14.0
106 Alcorn State over 239 Jackson State 42.0 to 17.5
75 Kansas State over 203 Kansas 38.5 to 17.5
34 Memphis over 125 Southern Methodist 52.5 to 28.0
85 Arkansas State over 197 New Mexico State 49.0 to 31.5
36 Utah over 107 Colorado 35.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
47 Northern Illinois over 120 Ohio 38.5 to 21.0
129 Akron over 196 Kent State 24.5 to 10.5
23 Arkansas over 88 Missouri 28.0 to 17.5
131 Buffalo over 164 Massachusetts 35.0 to 24.5
19 South Florida over 211 Central Florida 42.0 to 14.0
2 Alabama over 58 Auburn 35.0 to 21.0
24 Michigan State over 64 Penn State 28.0 to 17.5
59 Air Force over 143 New Mexico 35.0 to 21.0
50 San Diego State over 126 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 17.5
4 Clemson over 80 South Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
40 Temple over 98 Connecticut 24.5 to 14.0
37 Tennessee over 123 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 10.5
20 West Virginia over 82 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
31 Pittsburgh over 68 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 24.5
49 Boise State over 108 San Jose State 35.0 to 28.0
38 Toledo over 61 Western Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
21 Washington over 39 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0
113 Colorado State over 178 Fresno State 35.0 to 28.0
195 Rice over 231 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
29 Texas Tech over 83 Texas 38.5 to 38.5
17 Houston over 10 Navy 31.5 to 28.0
3 Baylor over 16 Texas Christian 45.5 to 42.0
109 Tulsa over 163 Tulane 38.5 to 31.5
55 Western Kentucky over 89 Marshall 38.5 to 31.5
35 California over 43 Arizona State 38.5 to 35.0
74 East Carolina over 69 Cincinnati 38.5 to 35.0
52 Georgia Tech over 45 Georgia 28.0 to 24.5
213 Hawaii over 227 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 21.0
176 Idaho over 198 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 35.0
51 Louisville over 99 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
27 Louisiana State over 41 Texas A&M 31.5 to 24.5
91 Louisiana Tech over 79 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 31.5
44 Wisconsin over 81 Minnesota 24.5 to 17.5
71 Northwestern over 100 Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
5 North Carolina over 32 North Carolina State 38.5 to 31.5
220 North Texas over 212 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 24.5
145 Grambling over 175 Southern 45.5 to 42.0
1 Oklahoma over 6 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 35.0
154 Florida Atlantic over 205 Old Dominion 31.5 to 24.5
76 Indiana over 117 Purdue 42.0 to 38.5
127 Rutgers over 119 Maryland 31.5 to 31.5
18 Southern California over 25 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
7 Stanford over 9 Notre Dame 35.0 to 28.0
84 Boston College over 90 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
122 Middle Tennessee State over 181 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 24.5
48 Brigham Young over 70 Utah State 28.0 to 28.0
30 Virginia Tech over 78 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
62 Duke over 105 Wake Forest 28.0 to 21.0
151 Nevada - Las Vegas over 192 Wyoming 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
132 Troy State over 158 Georgia State 28.0 to 28.0
53 Nebraska over 26 Iowa 31.5 to 31.5
241 Texas Southern over 245 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 24.5
11 Florida State over 42 Florida 21.0 to 21.0
13 Michigan over 12 Ohio State 24.5 to 24.5
8 Mississippi over 22 Mississippi State 31.5 to 31.5
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