ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
72 Arkansas State over 202 Texas State - San Marcos 49.0 to 24.5
3 Baylor over 80 Texas 49.0 to 24.5
55 Georgia Southern over 149 Georgia State 38.5 to 17.5
58 James Madison over 167 Colgate 45.5 to 24.5
66 Appalachian State over 194 South Alabama 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
11 Houston over 36 Temple 35.0 to 24.5
29 Illinois State over 99 Western Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
2 Alabama over 63 Florida 28.0 to 10.5
27 North Dakota State over 83 Montana 35.0 to 21.0
37 Northern Iowa over 89 Portland State 31.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
65 Jacksonville State over 87 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
14 Bowling Green over 57 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 31.5
19 West Virginia over 70 Kansas State 31.5 to 24.5
134 Troy State over 168 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 28.0
119 Alcorn State over 143 Grambling 38.5 to 31.5
16 Michigan State over 30 Iowa 28.0 to 24.5
222 Northeast Louisiana over 199 New Mexico State 35.0 to 31.5
8 Stanford over 21 Southern California 31.5 to 28.0
47 San Diego State over 74 Air Force 31.5 to 21.0
45 Western Kentucky over 54 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
112 Charleston Southern over 93 The Citadel 28.0 to 28.0
82 Sam Houston State over 118 McNeese State 28.0 to 24.5
5 Clemson over 4 North Carolina 35.0 to 35.0
71 William & Mary over 95 Richmond 35.0 to 31.5
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