ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
18 North Dakota State over 77 Richmond 38.5 to 21.0
73 Appalachian State over 105 Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
61 Arizona over 137 New Mexico 42.0 to 31.5
78 Utah State over 122 Akron 28.0 to 21.0
17 Washington over 67 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 21.0
38 Virginia Tech over 112 Tulsa 42.0 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
40 Boise State over 64 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
14 Bowling Green over 82 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 31.5
2 Alabama over 11 Michigan State 28.0 to 21.0
1 Oklahoma over 4 Clemson 38.5 to 31.5
6 Stanford over 33 Iowa 31.5 to 21.0
29 Tennessee over 74 Northwestern 28.0 to 21.0
43 Georgia over 71 Penn State 24.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
49 Jacksonville State over 68 Sam Houston State 42.0 to 35.0
37 Utah over 45 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
116 San Jose State over 131 Georgia State 31.5 to 24.5
72 Arkansas State over 98 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 35.0
110 Alcorn State over 141 North Carolina A&T 28.0 to 21.0
56 Western Michigan over 108 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
55 San Diego State over 65 Cincinnati 31.5 to 28.0
31 California - Los Angeles over 54 Nebraska 35.0 to 31.5
59 Duke over 69 Indiana 42.0 to 38.5
88 Marshall over 107 Connecticut 24.5 to 17.5
52 Washington State over 58 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 31.5
27 Navy over 47 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 24.5
75 Minnesota over 92 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
46 California over 70 Air Force 38.5 to 31.5
24 Louisiana State over 34 Texas Tech 42.0 to 38.5
115 Colorado State over 125 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 28.0
7 Baylor over 3 North Carolina 42.0 to 38.5
19 Memphis over 51 Auburn 35.0 to 31.5
42 Texas A&M over 48 Louisville 28.0 to 24.5
26 Mississippi State over 32 North Carolina State 35.0 to 31.5
21 Southern California over 39 Wisconsin 24.5 to 21.0
5 Florida State over 12 Houston 31.5 to 24.5
20 Michigan over 57 Florida 21.0 to 17.5
9 Mississippi over 16 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 35.0
8 Ohio State over 10 Notre Dame 31.5 to 28.0
23 West Virginia over 44 Arizona State 35.0 to 28.0
22 Arkansas over 62 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
13 Texas Christian over 15 Oregon 42.0 to 42.0
50-60% chance of victory:
41 Western Kentucky over 28 South Florida 35.0 to 35.0
35 Temple over 36 Toledo 24.5 to 24.5
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