Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 7.19 13.0-1.0 5.8-8.2 IA ACC Clemson 2 1 9.05 14.0-0.0 4.9-9.1 IA SEC Alabama 3 3 6.13 11.0-2.0 4.9-8.1 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 4 3 5.92 12.0-2.0 6.1-7.9 IA PAC_12 Washington 5 3 5.77 11.0-2.0 5.2-7.8 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 6 7 5.38 10.0-3.0 4.6-8.4 IA ACC Florida State 7 5 5.28 10.0-3.0 4.7-8.3 IA PAC_12 Southern California 8 3 5.26 11.0-3.0 5.7-8.3 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 9 4 5.09 10.0-3.0 4.9-8.1 IA Big_12 West Virginia 10 4 4.86 11.0-3.0 6.1-7.9 IA Big_Ten Penn State 11 4 4.78 10.0-3.0 5.2-7.8 IA PAC_12 Stanford 12 4 4.52 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 13 6 4.50 13.0-1.0 8.5-5.5 IA MAC Western Michigan 14 6 4.44 10.0-4.0 5.6-8.4 IA PAC_12 Colorado 15 4 3.98 10.0-4.0 6.0-8.0 IA ACC Virginia Tech 16 4 3.88 11.0-2.0 7.1-5.9 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 17 4 3.84 10.0-3.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Michigan 18 6 3.79 8.0-4.0 4.2-7.8 IA SEC Louisiana State 19 15 3.51 9.0-4.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Kansas State 20 13 3.51 9.0-4.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Florida 21 10 3.35 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA SEC Tennessee 22 15 3.35 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Miami - Florida 23 7 3.28 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Utah 24 11 3.28 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Georgia Tech 25 11 2.98 8.0-5.0 5.0-8.0 IA ACC North Carolina 26 10 2.97 9.0-4.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC Louisville 27 9 2.89 10.0-3.0 7.1-5.9 IA Amer_Athl Tulsa 28 13 2.80 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 29 10 2.77 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA Indep Brigham Young 30 13 2.74 11.0-3.0 8.3-5.7 IA MWC San Diego State 31 13 2.74 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC Pittsburgh 32 10 2.72 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Auburn 33 17 2.72 10.0-3.0 7.3-5.7 IA MWC Boise State 34 13 2.69 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Texas A&M 35 12 2.54 9.0-4.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 36 13 2.36 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA PAC_12 Washington State 37 10 2.32 11.0-3.0 8.7-5.3 IA CUSA Western Kentucky 38 7 2.22 7.0-6.0 4.8-8.2 IA SEC Arkansas 39 10 2.08 8.0-5.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Iowa 40 10 1.99 9.0-4.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl Houston 41 10 1.95 9.0-5.0 7.1-6.9 IA Amer_Athl Navy 42 11 1.82 7.0-5.0 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Georgia 43 10 1.81 10.0-3.0 8.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Appalachian State 44 10 1.78 10.0-3.0 8.2-4.8 IA MWC Air Force 45 13 1.71 10.0-4.0 8.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl Temple 46 8 1.55 10.0-3.0 8.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 47 13 1.52 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 48 12 1.47 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA ACC North Carolina State 49 9 1.31 10.0-3.0 8.7-4.3 IA CUSA Old Dominion 50 10 1.23 9.0-4.0 7.8-5.2 IA MAC Toledo 51 10 1.08 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 52 12 1.05 9.0-4.0 8.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Idaho 53 12 0.97 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA SEC Kentucky 54 15 0.93 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Baylor 55 20 0.89 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA ACC Wake Forest 56 14 0.88 9.0-5.0 8.1-5.9 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 57 12 0.72 6.0-7.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 58 12 0.72 9.0-4.0 8.3-4.7 IA MWC New Mexico 59 12 0.69 5.0-7.0 4.3-7.7 IA SEC Mississippi 60 14 0.57 6.0-7.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Vanderbilt 61 11 0.44 6.0-6.0 5.6-6.4 IA SEC South Carolina 62 10 0.42 8.0-6.0 7.6-6.4 IA MWC Wyoming 63 14 0.38 7.0-6.0 6.6-6.4 IA ACC Boston College 64 11 0.35 6.0-7.0 5.7-7.3 IA SEC Mississippi State 65 9 0.30 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 California 66 10 0.16 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 67 12 0.09 5.0-7.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 68 10 0.04 5.0-7.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Texas 69 19 -0.01 8.0-5.0 8.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 70 10 -0.20 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA Indep Army 71 13 -0.32 6.0-7.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Indiana 72 19 -0.41 7.0-6.0 7.4-5.6 IA MWC Colorado State 73 19 -0.54 8.0-5.0 8.5-4.5 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 74 17 -0.60 6.0-7.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Maryland 75 12 -0.74 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 76 12 -0.74 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Oregon 77 13 -0.76 5.0-7.0 5.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 78 13 -0.78 4.0-8.0 4.8-7.2 IA ACC Syracuse 79 13 -0.91 7.0-7.0 7.9-6.1 IA MWC Hawaii 80 12 -0.95 4.0-8.0 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Duke 81 12 -1.03 4.0-8.0 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 82 19 -1.04 8.0-6.0 9.0-5.0 IA MAC Ohio 83 16 -1.04 6.0-7.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 84 12 -1.10 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA Indep Notre Dame 85 22 -1.16 7.0-6.0 8.2-4.8 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 86 12 -1.42 6.0-7.0 7.4-5.6 IA MAC Central Michigan 87 12 -1.51 7.0-6.0 8.5-4.5 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 88 10 -1.56 3.0-9.0 4.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Iowa State 89 13 -1.67 3.0-9.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Arizona 90 11 -1.67 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA SEC Missouri 91 15 -2.05 6.0-7.0 8.0-5.0 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 92 12 -2.06 3.0-9.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 93 15 -2.06 6.0-7.0 8.1-4.9 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 94 15 -2.06 5.0-7.0 7.1-4.9 IA MAC Northern Illinois 95 13 -2.17 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Akron 96 19 -2.19 6.0-7.0 8.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 97 14 -2.27 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 98 15 -2.28 3.0-9.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Illinois 99 16 -2.30 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Georgia Southern 100 18 -2.32 6.0-7.0 8.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 101 14 -2.47 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 102 12 -2.62 2.0-*** 4.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Kansas 103 13 -2.62 4.0-8.0 6.6-5.4 IA Amer_Athl Tulane 104 11 -2.65 3.0-9.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_Ten Purdue 105 12 -2.65 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA MWC San Jose State 106 13 -2.67 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 107 19 -2.83 5.0-8.0 7.8-5.2 IA CUSA North Texas 108 12 -2.86 4.0-8.0 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Bowling Green 109 13 -2.87 2.0-*** 4.9-7.1 IA ACC Virginia 110 11 -3.07 3.0-9.0 6.1-5.9 IA MWC Utah State 111 10 -3.08 3.0-9.0 6.1-5.9 IA Amer_Athl East Carolina 112 10 -3.18 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Rutgers 113 11 -3.24 4.0-8.0 7.2-4.8 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 114 14 -3.45 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Ball State 115 14 -3.46 3.0-9.0 6.5-5.5 IA Amer_Athl Connecticut 116 14 -3.46 3.0-8.0 6.5-4.5 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 117 13 -3.73 3.0-9.0 6.7-5.3 IA MAC Kent State 118 12 -3.77 4.0-8.0 7.8-4.2 IA CUSA Florida International 119 12 -4.05 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA CUSA Rice 120 13 -4.09 3.0-9.0 7.1-4.9 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State 121 12 -4.13 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IA CUSA North Carolina - Charlot 122 9 -4.21 4.0-8.0 8.2-3.8 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 123 8 -4.32 3.0-9.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt New Mexico State 124 8 -4.45 2.0-*** 6.4-5.6 IA Indep Massachusetts 125 6 -4.51 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Marshall 126 5 -5.36 2.0-*** 7.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 127 4 -5.42 2.0-*** 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Buffalo 128 3 -5.81 1.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA MWC Fresno State
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 4 6.01 13.0-1.0 7.0-7.0 IAA Colonial James Madison 2 3 5.91 12.0-2.0 6.1-7.9 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 3 6 4.94 12.0-3.0 7.1-7.9 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 4 6 4.77 12.0-2.0 7.2-6.8 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 5 9 3.38 9.0-4.0 5.6-7.4 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 6 14 2.96 11.0-1.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 7 12 2.95 10.0-4.0 7.0-7.0 IAA Colonial Richmond 8 10 2.85 9.0-2.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 9 10 2.76 9.0-3.0 6.2-5.8 IAA Patriot Lehigh 10 12 2.73 11.0-1.0 8.3-3.7 IAA SWAC Grambling 11 12 2.40 9.0-4.0 6.6-6.4 IAA Colonial Villanova 12 13 2.34 9.0-2.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Southern The Citadel 13 11 2.04 8.0-2.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Ivy Princeton 14 12 2.02 9.0-2.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Pioneer San Diego 15 12 2.02 10.0-2.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Indep Coastal Carolina 16 14 1.90 10.0-3.0 8.1-4.9 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 17 11 1.81 8.0-5.0 6.2-6.8 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 18 11 1.73 9.0-4.0 7.3-5.7 IAA Southern Wofford 19 11 1.70 9.0-3.0 7.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky North Dakota 20 11 1.49 7.0-3.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 21 9 1.36 7.0-3.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Patriot Fordham 22 15 1.14 8.0-3.0 6.9-4.1 IAA NE Duquesne 23 16 1.13 8.0-2.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Pioneer Dayton 24 12 1.06 7.0-3.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Ivy Harvard 25 14 0.88 6.0-4.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 26 13 0.79 7.0-4.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Colonial Albany 27 14 0.76 8.0-4.0 7.2-4.8 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 28 13 0.71 8.0-3.0 7.3-3.7 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 29 13 0.69 6.0-5.0 5.3-5.7 IAA Colonial Maine 30 14 0.66 6.0-5.0 5.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 31 13 0.58 8.0-3.0 7.4-3.6 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 32 17 0.50 7.0-5.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 33 17 0.19 6.0-3.0 5.8-3.2 IAA Pioneer Drake 34 13 -0.04 8.0-3.0 8.0-3.0 IAA SWAC Southern 35 11 -0.06 5.0-3.0 5.1-2.9 IAA Big_South Kennesaw State 36 15 -0.09 5.0-6.0 5.1-5.9 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 37 13 -0.10 6.0-5.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 38 14 -0.11 7.0-5.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 39 14 -0.15 6.0-5.0 6.2-4.8 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 40 15 -0.16 6.0-6.0 6.2-5.8 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 41 18 -0.29 7.0-4.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 42 17 -0.30 6.0-5.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Southern Samford 43 14 -0.31 7.0-4.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 44 17 -0.47 6.0-5.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_South Liberty 45 16 -0.57 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Big_Sky Montana 46 13 -0.59 5.0-5.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Patriot Colgate 47 15 -0.61 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 48 16 -0.66 7.0-4.0 7.7-3.3 IAA SWAC Prairie View 49 15 -0.68 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 50 15 -0.75 5.0-6.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Colonial William & Mary 51 16 -0.81 5.0-5.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 52 14 -0.82 6.0-5.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southern Mercer 53 13 -1.03 6.0-5.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 54 17 -1.08 4.0-7.0 5.1-5.9 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 55 16 -1.24 3.0-7.0 4.2-5.8 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 56 15 -1.30 4.0-6.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Cornell 57 14 -1.34 4.0-7.0 5.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 58 13 -1.35 4.0-6.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 59 13 -1.43 4.0-6.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 60 14 -1.48 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA NE Sacred Heart 61 12 -1.56 5.0-6.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 62 15 -1.57 4.0-7.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Colonial Towson 63 16 -1.68 4.0-7.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 64 14 -1.72 4.0-7.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Colonial Delaware 65 13 -1.73 4.0-5.0 5.7-3.3 IAA NE Wagner 66 17 -1.78 4.0-6.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Ivy Brown 67 17 -1.88 4.0-6.0 5.9-4.1 IAA NE Bryant 68 21 -2.00 5.0-5.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Southland McNeese State 69 17 -2.02 4.0-7.0 6.0-5.0 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 70 18 -2.03 4.0-6.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 71 17 -2.05 3.0-7.0 5.0-5.0 IAA Ivy Yale 72 23 -2.11 5.0-6.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Southland Nicholls State 73 15 -2.18 5.0-6.0 7.2-3.8 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 74 21 -2.23 4.0-5.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 75 18 -2.23 4.0-7.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Bucknell 76 18 -2.32 4.0-6.0 6.3-3.7 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 77 19 -2.44 5.0-6.0 7.4-3.6 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 78 19 -2.45 3.0-6.0 5.4-3.6 IAA Southern East Tennessee State 79 21 -2.49 5.0-6.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Pioneer Marist 80 21 -2.52 4.0-6.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 81 16 -2.62 5.0-6.0 7.6-3.4 IAA MEAC Hampton 82 18 -2.69 4.0-7.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Big_South Monmouth 83 16 -2.71 3.0-7.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Ivy Columbia 84 18 -2.75 3.0-5.0 5.8-2.2 IAA Pioneer Campbell 85 14 -2.78 4.0-7.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 86 15 -2.91 3.0-7.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 87 15 -3.16 4.0-7.0 7.2-3.8 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 88 13 -3.22 3.0-8.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Georgetown 89 22 -3.23 3.0-7.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 90 14 -3.27 3.0-7.0 6.3-3.7 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 91 13 -3.29 3.0-8.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 92 13 -3.33 4.0-6.0 7.3-2.7 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 93 17 -3.34 3.0-8.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Southern Furman 94 19 -3.41 4.0-7.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Southland Houston Baptist 95 17 -3.53 4.0-7.0 7.5-3.5 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 96 18 -3.59 3.0-7.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Pioneer Stetson 97 18 -3.61 2.0-8.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 98 16 -3.62 2.0-8.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 99 16 -3.72 2.0-9.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 100 14 -3.76 3.0-7.0 6.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Savannah State 101 13 -3.76 2.0-8.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 102 15 -3.78 2.0-9.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Patriot Lafayette 103 17 -3.80 3.0-8.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southern Virginia Military 104 16 -3.83 1.0-8.0 4.8-4.2 IAA NE Robert Morris 105 20 -3.83 3.0-8.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southland Lamar 106 18 -3.88 3.0-7.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 107 14 -3.99 3.0-7.0 7.0-3.0 IAA SWAC Alabama State 108 17 -4.03 2.0-7.0 6.0-3.0 IAA Pioneer Butler 109 13 -4.11 1.0-9.0 5.1-4.9 IAA Colonial Elon 110 11 -4.25 1.0-9.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 111 11 -4.25 2.0-8.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 112 8 -4.28 2.0-8.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 113 14 -4.31 3.0-7.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Southland Incarnate Word 114 9 -4.47 1.0-9.0 5.5-4.5 IAA NE Central Connecticut 115 6 -4.77 2.0-9.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southern Western Carolina 116 6 -4.79 3.0-8.0 7.8-3.2 IAA SWAC Jackson State 117 5 -4.80 3.0-8.0 7.8-3.2 IAA MEAC Morgan State 118 5 -5.29 2.0-9.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Southland Abilene Christian 119 4 -5.58 1.0-9.0 6.6-3.4 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 120 3 -5.66 2.0-9.0 7.7-3.3 IAA MEAC Howard 121 4 -6.15 0.0-*** 6.1-3.9 IAA Southland Northwestern State 122 3 -6.36 1.0-*** 7.4-3.6 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 123 3 -6.40 0.0-9.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Pioneer Davidson 124 2 -6.54 0.0-*** 6.5-4.5 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 125 1 -7.14 0.0-*** 7.1-3.9 IAA MEAC Delaware State
KEY: rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by the average number of wins other teams would get playing that schedule using the Bassett Football Model u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places) scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model) act w-l - actual win-loss record sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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