ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
46 Illinois State over 251 Valparaiso 66.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
163 Central Arkansas over 254 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 17.5
33 Louisville over 227 North Carolina - Charlot 56.0 to 21.0
4 Baylor over 201 Northwestern State 66.5 to 28.0
18 Michigan State over 190 Furman 49.0 to 17.5
60 Georgia Southern over 250 Savannah State 66.5 to 21.0
36 Iowa over 194 Miami - Ohio 49.0 to 17.5
68 James Madison over 231 Morehead State 63.0 to 31.5
59 Miami - Florida over 240 Florida A&M 52.5 to 21.0
20 Michigan over 175 Hawaii 49.0 to 17.5
14 Mississippi State over 176 South Alabama 56.0 to 24.5
12 Oregon over 213 California - Davis 63.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
99 Central Michigan over 223 Presbyterian 35.0 to 21.0
77 Cincinnati over 142 Tennessee - Martin 49.0 to 38.5
179 Delaware over 244 Delaware State 42.0 to 17.5
73 Indiana over 173 Florida International 49.0 to 35.0
126 Montana State over 183 Idaho 56.0 to 45.5
108 The Citadel over 171 Mercer 38.5 to 35.0
70 Minnesota over 128 Oregon State 42.0 to 28.0
148 Nevada - Las Vegas over 241 Jackson State 45.5 to 31.5
181 Stony Brook over 156 North Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
21 Tennessee over 76 Appalachian State 45.5 to 31.5
153 Wofford over 218 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 31.5
27 Utah over 103 Southern Utah 42.0 to 28.0
69 Utah State over 178 Weber State 42.0 to 24.5
54 South Carolina over 110 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 28.0
113 Wake Forest over 166 Tulane 35.0 to 24.5
37 Western Kentucky over 160 Rice 56.0 to 35.0
91 Youngstown State over 136 Duquesne 38.5 to 31.5
43 Toledo over 90 Arkansas State 45.5 to 38.5
133 Buffalo over 200 Albany 38.5 to 31.5
216 Central Connecticut over 232 Lafayette 35.0 to 28.0
206 Eastern Michigan over 252 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 31.5
151 Georgia State over 159 Ball State 38.5 to 35.0
7 Stanford over 56 Kansas State 45.5 to 28.0
89 Syracuse over 162 Colgate 38.5 to 31.5
57 Temple over 158 Army 42.0 to 24.5
71 Air Force over 221 Abilene Christian 52.5 to 28.0
131 Akron over 220 Virginia Military 42.0 to 28.0
31 Arizona State over 123 Northern Arizona 52.5 to 35.0
15 Arkansas over 74 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 31.5
3 Clemson over 25 Auburn 42.0 to 35.0
53 Duke over 187 North Carolina Central 45.5 to 28.0
78 East Carolina over 144 Western Carolina 45.5 to 31.5
208 Elon over 236 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 17.5
45 Florida over 165 Massachusetts 45.5 to 17.5
94 Southern Illinois over 155 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 35.0
211 Georgetown over 253 Davidson 45.5 to 21.0
2 Oklahoma over 19 Houston 45.5 to 38.5
95 Illinois over 198 Murray State 49.0 to 35.0
118 Indiana State over 228 Butler 45.5 to 31.5
44 Northern Iowa over 92 Iowa State 38.5 to 28.0
217 Kennesaw State over 249 East Tennessee State 49.0 to 31.5
88 Kentucky over 82 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 38.5
87 Coastal Carolina over 184 Lamar 49.0 to 35.0
172 Lehigh over 170 Monmouth 42.0 to 38.5
22 Boise State over 157 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 28.0
107 Maryland over 238 Howard 49.0 to 28.0
32 Memphis over 154 Southeast Missouri State 49.0 to 31.5
104 Middle Tennessee State over 242 Alabama A&M 49.0 to 24.5
97 Montana over 150 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 31.5
134 Holy Cross over 215 Morgan State 38.5 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 16 Southern California 42.0 to 31.5
35 Navy over 109 Fordham 49.0 to 38.5
34 Georgia Tech over 75 Boston College 31.5 to 24.5
39 Nebraska over 164 Fresno State 56.0 to 31.5
193 Southern over 203 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 35.0
80 Northwestern over 65 Western Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
119 Ohio over 188 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 28.0
5 Ohio State over 42 Bowling Green 52.5 to 31.5
23 Oklahoma State over 204 Southeast Louisiana 52.5 to 24.5
67 Penn State over 199 Kent State 38.5 to 14.0
50 Pittsburgh over 102 Villanova 35.0 to 31.5
58 San Diego State over 117 New Hampshire 38.5 to 31.5
62 South Florida over 138 Towson 38.5 to 31.5
169 Sacred Heart over 247 Stetson 45.5 to 28.0
195 Tennessee State over 248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 49.0 to 24.5
8 Texas Christian over 61 South Dakota State 45.5 to 31.5
202 Texas - El Paso over 210 New Mexico State 45.5 to 38.5
40 Texas Tech over 189 Stephen F. Austin 63.0 to 38.5
137 Troy State over 245 Austin Peay 45.5 to 24.5
41 Virginia Tech over 147 Liberty 45.5 to 24.5
17 Washington over 106 Rutgers 45.5 to 24.5
52 Washington State over 127 Eastern Washington 52.5 to 38.5
26 West Virginia over 66 Missouri 35.0 to 24.5
86 Northern Illinois over 177 Wyoming 42.0 to 31.5
161 Prairie View over 246 Texas Southern 52.5 to 35.0
13 Notre Dame over 64 Texas 38.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
125 Connecticut over 168 Maine 28.0 to 24.5
98 Western Illinois over 141 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0
143 South Dakota over 139 New Mexico 35.0 to 35.0
47 North Carolina State over 81 William & Mary 42.0 to 38.5
101 Colorado State over 100 Colorado 35.0 to 35.0
120 Nevada - Reno over 124 California Poly 42.0 to 38.5
174 South Carolina State over 180 Central Florida 31.5 to 28.0
197 Kansas over 219 Rhode Island 31.5 to 31.5
207 Marist over 205 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
38 Brigham Young over 49 Arizona 45.5 to 42.0
11 North Carolina over 24 Georgia 38.5 to 38.5
152 Southern Methodist over 209 North Texas 38.5 to 35.0
10 Louisiana State over 28 Wisconsin 31.5 to 28.0
191 Hampton over 196 Old Dominion 38.5 to 35.0
132 Eastern Kentucky over 122 Purdue 38.5 to 38.5
29 Texas A&M over 30 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 35.0
185 Texas - San Antonio over 225 Alabama State 35.0 to 31.5
115 Tulsa over 111 San Jose State 42.0 to 42.0
79 Richmond over 84 Virginia 38.5 to 35.0
129 Alcorn State over 149 Bethune - Cookman 42.0 to 42.0
6 Mississippi over 9 Florida State 35.0 to 35.0
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