ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
13 Texas Christian over 157 Southern Methodist 49.0 to 24.5
1 Alabama over 180 Kent State 52.5 to 3.5
70 Cincinnati over 179 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 17.5
69 Coastal Carolina over 178 Furman 35.0 to 14.0
142 Eastern Illinois over 249 Austin Peay 42.0 to 7.0
87 Sam Houston State over 253 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 17.5
186 Prairie View over 254 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 21.0
59 Missouri over 246 Delaware State 45.5 to 3.5
38 Mississippi State over 174 Massachusetts 38.5 to 14.0
100 New Hampshire over 226 Rhode Island 38.5 to 17.5
83 Temple over 227 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 17.5
92 Troy State over 209 New Mexico State 49.0 to 24.5
86 William & Mary over 217 Elon 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
6 Washington over 63 Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
9 Baylor over 34 Oklahoma State 42.0 to 31.5
160 Bryant over 221 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
200 Bucknell over 214 Virginia Military 31.5 to 17.5
80 Tulsa over 177 Fresno State 38.5 to 28.0
49 Kansas State over 230 Missouri State 45.5 to 14.0
95 Villanova over 212 Lafayette 31.5 to 14.0
39 James Madison over 175 Maine 42.0 to 21.0
32 Memphis over 113 Bowling Green 45.5 to 28.0
5 Michigan over 66 Penn State 38.5 to 21.0
76 Minnesota over 139 Colorado State 35.0 to 21.0
162 Southeast Missouri State over 225 Murray State 35.0 to 24.5
149 Nevada - Las Vegas over 201 Idaho 45.5 to 31.5
19 Notre Dame over 73 Duke 42.0 to 28.0
21 Boise State over 130 Oregon State 38.5 to 24.5
26 Iowa over 105 Rutgers 35.0 to 24.5
168 Bethune - Cookman over 251 Savannah State 45.5 to 17.5
153 South Alabama over 239 Nicholls State 38.5 to 17.5
195 Southeast Louisiana over 219 Northwestern State 31.5 to 21.0
155 Tennessee - Martin over 206 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 24.5
78 Southern Mississippi over 213 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 24.5
11 Houston over 190 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 17.5
158 Wofford over 245 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
166 Southern over 242 Alabama A&M 38.5 to 28.0
235 Alabama State over 244 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5
156 Duquesne over 211 Kennesaw State 45.5 to 28.0
143 McNeese State over 237 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 10.5
82 Illinois State over 124 Indiana State 35.0 to 28.0
215 Morgan State over 243 Howard 35.0 to 24.5
12 North Carolina over 51 Pittsburgh 45.5 to 31.5
114 Ohio over 222 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 21.0
20 Oregon over 58 Colorado 42.0 to 31.5
191 Jacksonville over 248 Stetson 42.0 to 24.5
144 Tulane over 173 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
43 Virginia Tech over 64 East Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
54 Western Kentucky over 99 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 24.5
42 Western Michigan over 74 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
8 Clemson over 24 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
170 Wyoming over 189 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 35.0
31 Utah over 22 Southern California 24.5 to 21.0
137 Albany over 159 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 24.5
37 Arizona State over 52 California 52.5 to 45.5
126 Arkansas State over 171 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0
91 Boston College over 234 Wagner 35.0 to 10.5
48 Harvard over 150 Brown 42.0 to 24.5
101 Army over 161 Buffalo 31.5 to 24.5
169 Weber State over 203 California - Davis 31.5 to 24.5
4 Stanford over 40 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 24.5
94 California Poly over 90 Montana 31.5 to 28.0
125 Connecticut over 106 Syracuse 28.0 to 21.0
131 Yale over 224 Cornell 35.0 to 21.0
216 Drake over 236 Morehead State 35.0 to 21.0
204 South Carolina State over 241 Florida A&M 24.5 to 17.5
132 Ball State over 192 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
164 Central Florida over 199 Florida International 24.5 to 21.0
107 Fordham over 115 Pennsylvania 45.5 to 38.5
205 Georgetown over 208 Columbia 24.5 to 17.5
81 Dartmouth over 119 Holy Cross 31.5 to 24.5
218 Sacramento State over 233 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
77 Indiana over 110 Wake Forest 31.5 to 24.5
123 Iowa State over 133 San Jose State 31.5 to 24.5
60 South Carolina over 111 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
57 Jacksonville State over 98 Liberty 31.5 to 28.0
3 Louisville over 75 Marshall 45.5 to 31.5
18 Michigan State over 23 Wisconsin 24.5 to 21.0
56 Louisiana Tech over 93 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 35.0
10 Mississippi over 41 Georgia 35.0 to 24.5
141 Charleston Southern over 182 Monmouth 24.5 to 24.5
134 Montana State over 145 North Dakota 38.5 to 31.5
240 Jackson State over 247 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 28.0
96 Eastern Washington over 136 Northern Arizona 45.5 to 38.5
89 Western Illinois over 118 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
35 Nebraska over 67 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
28 West Virginia over 53 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
176 Texas - San Antonio over 193 Old Dominion 28.0 to 28.0
127 Purdue over 121 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 28.0
183 Rice over 210 North Texas 28.0 to 21.0
79 Richmond over 129 Colgate 31.5 to 24.5
181 San Diego over 194 Dayton 28.0 to 17.5
108 Southern Utah over 117 Portland State 31.5 to 28.0
14 Florida State over 36 South Florida 35.0 to 31.5
184 Stephen F. Austin over 228 Abilene Christian 45.5 to 35.0
147 Stony Brook over 187 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 14.0
29 Tennessee over 45 Florida 28.0 to 21.0
85 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 109 Samford 35.0 to 28.0
84 Utah State over 65 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
250 Valparaiso over 252 Davidson 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
103 Akron over 97 Appalachian State 28.0 to 24.5
25 Auburn over 17 Louisiana State 24.5 to 24.5
231 Campbell over 223 Butler 28.0 to 28.0
154 Alcorn State over 165 Grambling 35.0 to 35.0
135 Lehigh over 116 Princeton 35.0 to 35.0
197 North Carolina Central over 229 Norfolk State 21.0 to 21.0
15 Texas A&M over 16 Arkansas 28.0 to 28.0
71 Central Michigan over 104 Virginia 28.0 to 28.0
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