ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
5 Houston over 124 Connecticut 38.5 to 7.0
35 Texas Tech over 193 Kansas 56.0 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 111 Kentucky 52.5 to 10.5
26 Auburn over 191 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 10.5
18 Boise State over 101 Utah State 38.5 to 21.0
76 Eastern Washington over 201 California - Davis 52.5 to 28.0
71 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 244 East Tennessee State 38.5 to 7.0
67 Troy State over 196 Idaho 42.0 to 24.5
32 James Madison over 147 Delaware 45.5 to 21.0
113 Liberty over 237 Robert Morris 31.5 to 10.5
60 Louisiana Tech over 223 Texas - El Paso 49.0 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 104 Rutgers 49.0 to 10.5
120 Portland State over 226 Idaho State 45.5 to 24.5
69 Southern Mississippi over 189 Rice 42.0 to 21.0
59 Western Kentucky over 251 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
56 Harvard over 207 Georgetown 38.5 to 10.5
239 Alabama State over 248 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 21.0
92 Appalachian State over 159 Georgia State 35.0 to 17.5
102 Boston College over 153 Buffalo 28.0 to 14.0
38 California - Los Angeles over 61 Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
66 Coastal Carolina over 107 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 21.0
42 Colorado over 121 Oregon State 38.5 to 21.0
87 Villanova over 212 Elon 28.0 to 10.5
115 Indiana State over 233 Missouri State 42.0 to 17.5
14 Baylor over 96 Iowa State 38.5 to 21.0
238 Jackson State over 253 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 14.0
93 Maryland over 125 Purdue 35.0 to 24.5
151 McNeese State over 220 Nicholls State 38.5 to 17.5
236 Morehead State over 250 Valparaiso 38.5 to 24.5
224 Morgan State over 247 Delaware State 38.5 to 21.0
28 Arkansas over 187 Alcorn State 42.0 to 21.0
27 Nebraska over 116 Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
157 Louisiana - Lafayette over 214 New Mexico State 42.0 to 31.5
227 Norfolk State over 241 Howard 28.0 to 17.5
99 Middle Tennessee State over 200 North Texas 38.5 to 24.5
34 Notre Dame over 105 Syracuse 45.5 to 28.0
136 Brown over 232 Rhode Island 38.5 to 24.5
74 Richmond over 135 Towson 35.0 to 24.5
144 Montana State over 229 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5
54 San Diego State over 158 South Alabama 35.0 to 17.5
12 Texas A&M over 86 South Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
88 Temple over 161 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 21.0
70 Youngstown State over 126 South Dakota 38.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
137 North Carolina A&T over 192 Hampton 28.0 to 17.5
156 Central Arkansas over 219 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 28.0
228 Murray State over 246 Austin Peay 35.0 to 24.5
118 Colgate over 206 Cornell 35.0 to 21.0
140 Colorado State over 173 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
90 East Carolina over 122 Central Florida 35.0 to 24.5
6 Florida State over 17 North Carolina 45.5 to 35.0
133 Nevada - Reno over 190 Hawaii 31.5 to 21.0
29 Michigan State over 85 Indiana 38.5 to 28.0
22 Iowa over 68 Northwestern 24.5 to 14.0
130 Holy Cross over 202 Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5
4 Michigan over 16 Wisconsin 31.5 to 21.0
50 North Carolina State over 100 Wake Forest 31.5 to 17.5
80 California Poly over 155 North Dakota 35.0 to 28.0
63 Northern Iowa over 97 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
149 Grambling over 176 Prairie View 42.0 to 38.5
89 Sam Houston State over 185 Stephen F. Austin 45.5 to 31.5
138 Eastern Kentucky over 205 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
47 Brigham Young over 31 Toledo 28.0 to 24.5
9 Washington over 7 Stanford 28.0 to 24.5
132 Ball State over 129 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
184 Bethune - Cookman over 194 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 28.0
177 Bowling Green over 183 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 38.5
174 San Diego over 217 Butler 31.5 to 24.5
39 Utah over 52 California 42.0 to 38.5
30 Western Michigan over 73 Central Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
40 South Florida over 83 Cincinnati 35.0 to 31.5
3 Louisville over 11 Clemson 35.0 to 31.5
123 Princeton over 211 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
72 Dartmouth over 127 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 17.5
245 Stetson over 252 Davidson 31.5 to 24.5
199 Dayton over 216 Drake 24.5 to 17.5
62 Duke over 84 Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
242 Florida A&M over 249 Savannah State 31.5 to 21.0
186 Florida Atlantic over 221 Florida International 24.5 to 24.5
165 Furman over 209 Kennesaw State 38.5 to 28.0
37 Georgia Tech over 33 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 24.5
109 Akron over 180 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
188 Southeast Louisiana over 197 Lamar 28.0 to 24.5
23 Louisiana State over 45 Missouri 24.5 to 17.5
225 Marist over 234 Campbell 24.5 to 17.5
108 Ohio over 162 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 28.0
10 Mississippi over 15 Memphis 38.5 to 35.0
110 Fordham over 195 Monmouth 35.0 to 28.0
78 Montana over 106 Southern Utah 31.5 to 24.5
160 Nevada - Las Vegas over 169 Fresno State 38.5 to 35.0
98 New Hampshire over 117 William & Mary 31.5 to 24.5
141 New Mexico over 164 San Jose State 31.5 to 28.0
178 Old Dominion over 230 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 31.5
64 North Dakota State over 103 Illinois State 31.5 to 24.5
134 Northern Arizona over 203 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 31.5
44 Oklahoma State over 55 Texas 38.5 to 31.5
75 Penn State over 82 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5
53 Pittsburgh over 94 Marshall 45.5 to 31.5
112 Samford over 145 Wofford 31.5 to 21.0
65 South Dakota State over 79 Western Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
24 Southern California over 41 Arizona State 38.5 to 31.5
170 Tennessee State over 146 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 28.0
13 Texas Christian over 8 Oklahoma 35.0 to 31.5
240 Texas Southern over 243 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 21.0
198 Texas State - San Marcos over 231 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 28.0
49 Florida over 91 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 14.0
172 Mercer over 210 Virginia Military 31.5 to 28.0
142 Sacred Heart over 235 Wagner 35.0 to 17.5
119 The Citadel over 154 Western Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
21 West Virginia over 36 Kansas State 31.5 to 24.5
114 Lehigh over 167 Yale 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
58 Air Force over 46 Navy 28.0 to 28.0
48 Georgia over 19 Tennessee 28.0 to 28.0
181 Duquesne over 204 Jacksonville 28.0 to 28.0
168 Maine over 150 Bryant 21.0 to 21.0
131 Tulane over 171 Massachusetts 28.0 to 28.0
163 Southeast Missouri State over 139 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
25 Oregon over 43 Washington State 38.5 to 38.5
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