ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
164 Brown over 246 Stetson 42.0 to 17.5
182 Dayton over 240 Morehead State 35.0 to 14.0
35 Toledo over 183 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 24.5
111 Fordham over 191 Lafayette 42.0 to 24.5
63 Harvard over 181 Cornell 42.0 to 17.5
74 Sam Houston State over 230 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 21.0
52 Jacksonville State over 202 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 17.5
28 James Madison over 140 William & Mary 45.5 to 24.5
12 Texas Christian over 190 Kansas 49.0 to 17.5
69 Montana over 253 Mississippi Valley State 56.0 to 3.5
179 North Carolina Central over 244 Florida A&M 38.5 to 14.0
1 Ohio State over 84 Indiana 56.0 to 14.0
3 Michigan over 110 Rutgers 42.0 to 17.5
143 San Diego over 252 Davidson 45.5 to 7.0
24 South Florida over 115 East Carolina 45.5 to 24.5
141 Tennessee - Martin over 251 Austin Peay 49.0 to 17.5
81 Villanova over 213 Rhode Island 38.5 to 10.5
15 Western Michigan over 133 Northern Illinois 49.0 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
21 Memphis over 93 Temple 38.5 to 21.0
122 North Carolina A&T over 232 Norfolk State 31.5 to 10.5
9 Clemson over 100 Boston College 28.0 to 14.0
25 Boise State over 134 New Mexico 42.0 to 24.5
83 Tulsa over 176 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 28.0
2 Alabama over 36 Arkansas 35.0 to 21.0
193 Hampton over 245 Delaware State 35.0 to 17.5
61 Eastern Washington over 211 Northern Colorado 56.0 to 31.5
98 New Hampshire over 220 Elon 35.0 to 14.0
187 Florida Atlantic over 235 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 24.5
128 Holy Cross over 204 Bucknell 31.5 to 21.0
180 Monmouth over 237 Howard 31.5 to 21.0
55 North Dakota State over 210 Missouri State 38.5 to 14.0
6 Houston over 60 Navy 35.0 to 21.0
109 Marshall over 209 North Texas 38.5 to 24.5
108 Ohio over 207 Bowling Green 42.0 to 24.5
40 Oklahoma State over 89 Iowa State 42.0 to 28.0
44 California over 123 Oregon State 45.5 to 35.0
130 Pennsylvania over 223 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5
195 Prairie View over 234 Alabama State 38.5 to 28.0
145 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 239 Robert Morris 28.0 to 14.0
62 San Diego State over 147 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 21.0
126 Southern Utah over 201 California - Davis 42.0 to 24.5
72 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 167 Mercer 35.0 to 17.5
11 Texas A&M over 27 Tennessee 35.0 to 24.5
42 Utah over 68 Arizona 31.5 to 21.0
205 Virginia Military over 241 East Tennessee State 28.0 to 17.5
112 Western Illinois over 155 Indiana State 38.5 to 28.0
49 Air Force over 150 Wyoming 38.5 to 24.5
79 Dartmouth over 189 Yale 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
85 Central Florida over 136 Tulane 35.0 to 24.5
101 Akron over 170 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 24.5
200 Alcorn State over 243 Alabama A&M 38.5 to 24.5
88 Central Michigan over 137 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
161 Georgia State over 199 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 28.0
218 Jacksonville over 236 Campbell 31.5 to 21.0
90 Lehigh over 117 Colgate 42.0 to 31.5
148 Montana State over 169 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 31.5
163 Nevada - Reno over 184 Fresno State 31.5 to 21.0
10 Oklahoma over 59 Texas 42.0 to 28.0
125 North Dakota over 212 Sacramento State 31.5 to 21.0
233 Morgan State over 249 Savannah State 31.5 to 21.0
73 Southern Mississippi over 177 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 24.5
224 Drake over 248 Valparaiso 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
80 Georgia Southern over 138 Arkansas State 35.0 to 28.0
71 Louisiana Tech over 77 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 31.5
173 Lamar over 229 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 35.0
87 Richmond over 120 Albany 28.0 to 28.0
45 Arizona State over 34 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
185 Buffalo over 171 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5
91 Utah State over 159 Colorado State 28.0 to 21.0
127 Delaware over 153 Maine 24.5 to 17.5
75 Duke over 102 Army 31.5 to 24.5
154 Eastern Illinois over 158 Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
152 Eastern Kentucky over 165 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
14 Louisiana State over 51 Florida 21.0 to 17.5
106 Samford over 175 Furman 31.5 to 24.5
214 Gardner - Webb over 225 Presbyterian 21.0 to 14.0
118 Princeton over 198 Georgetown 31.5 to 24.5
114 Illinois over 151 Purdue 31.5 to 24.5
67 Youngstown State over 129 Illinois State 31.5 to 24.5
32 Kansas State over 31 Texas Tech 45.5 to 42.0
41 Michigan State over 39 Brigham Young 28.0 to 21.0
37 Iowa over 86 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5
16 Auburn over 47 Mississippi State 28.0 to 24.5
188 Stephen F. Austin over 226 Nicholls State 38.5 to 35.0
18 North Carolina over 29 Virginia Tech 38.5 to 35.0
194 Northeast Louisiana over 192 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
156 Old Dominion over 166 Massachusetts 31.5 to 28.0
5 Washington over 38 Oregon 42.0 to 31.5
50 Pittsburgh over 46 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
174 San Jose State over 168 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0
56 Georgia over 99 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
172 South Carolina State over 206 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 21.0
58 Northern Iowa over 119 South Dakota 35.0 to 24.5
142 McNeese State over 196 Southeast Louisiana 24.5 to 21.0
20 Southern California over 22 Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
53 South Dakota State over 96 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
13 Stanford over 26 Washington State 31.5 to 24.5
222 Texas - El Paso over 217 Florida International 24.5 to 21.0
121 Towson over 186 Stony Brook 24.5 to 17.5
97 Wake Forest over 113 Syracuse 28.0 to 21.0
135 Wofford over 178 Western Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
228 Butler over 227 Marist 24.5 to 24.5
95 Cincinnati over 124 Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
94 Vanderbilt over 104 Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
19 Miami - Florida over 8 Florida State 35.0 to 35.0
48 North Carolina State over 43 Notre Dame 38.5 to 38.5
76 Penn State over 65 Maryland 31.5 to 31.5
219 Columbia over 231 Wagner 21.0 to 17.5
131 Portland State over 157 Weber State 35.0 to 35.0
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