ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
65 Air Force over 163 Hawaii 42.0 to 24.5
2 Alabama over 10 Texas A&M 38.5 to 21.0
78 Appalachian State over 169 Idaho 38.5 to 17.5
74 Army over 184 North Texas 35.0 to 14.0
58 California Poly over 200 California - Davis 49.0 to 21.0
77 Coastal Carolina over 226 Central Connecticut 45.5 to 17.5
153 Eastern Illinois over 214 Murray State 42.0 to 24.5
57 Louisiana Tech over 218 Florida International 45.5 to 21.0
100 North Carolina A&T over 244 Howard 45.5 to 17.5
94 North Dakota over 239 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
35 Oklahoma State over 181 Kansas 45.5 to 21.0
220 Marist over 250 Davidson 35.0 to 14.0
148 Marshall over 230 North Carolina - Charlot 49.0 to 28.0
3 Michigan over 117 Illinois 45.5 to 10.5
68 Minnesota over 177 Rutgers 35.0 to 14.0
135 Grambling over 253 Mississippi Valley State 49.0 to 14.0
26 Nebraska over 154 Purdue 45.5 to 17.5
92 Georgia Southern over 213 New Mexico State 45.5 to 24.5
85 Sam Houston State over 224 Nicholls State 49.0 to 28.0
1 Ohio State over 53 Penn State 42.0 to 17.5
133 Sacred Heart over 228 Robert Morris 31.5 to 10.5
110 San Diego over 246 Valparaiso 45.5 to 10.5
87 South Carolina over 179 Massachusetts 35.0 to 14.0
173 South Carolina State over 247 Delaware State 42.0 to 14.0
170 Southeast Louisiana over 249 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 14.0
155 Southern over 251 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 24.5
7 Houston over 158 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 17.5
81 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 195 Virginia Military 38.5 to 17.5
103 Utah State over 191 Fresno State 35.0 to 17.5
4 Washington over 113 Oregon State 45.5 to 14.0
76 Western Kentucky over 138 Old Dominion 45.5 to 31.5
9 Western Michigan over 162 Eastern Michigan 52.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
75 San Diego State over 199 San Jose State 38.5 to 14.0
166 Mercer over 245 Austin Peay 42.0 to 21.0
168 Dayton over 231 Butler 31.5 to 21.0
102 Central Arkansas over 172 Lamar 35.0 to 21.0
72 Charleston Southern over 225 Presbyterian 38.5 to 17.5
106 Dartmouth over 219 Columbia 24.5 to 7.0
80 Richmond over 212 Elon 35.0 to 17.5
204 Hampton over 241 Florida A&M 28.0 to 17.5
122 Fordham over 208 Georgetown 42.0 to 24.5
120 Liberty over 164 Monmouth 31.5 to 24.5
5 Louisville over 44 North Carolina State 42.0 to 24.5
56 Eastern Washington over 183 Montana State 49.0 to 35.0
45 Montana over 152 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
126 Northern Illinois over 202 Buffalo 38.5 to 24.5
70 Northern Iowa over 180 Missouri State 35.0 to 10.5
34 Northwestern over 67 Indiana 35.0 to 24.5
151 Maine over 217 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
83 Samford over 192 Western Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
140 Texas - San Antonio over 227 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 14.0
40 Toledo over 93 Central Michigan 42.0 to 28.0
66 Tulsa over 131 Tulane 42.0 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
15 Auburn over 33 Arkansas 31.5 to 24.5
175 Bryant over 215 Wagner 35.0 to 21.0
54 Lehigh over 139 Holy Cross 42.0 to 35.0
132 New Mexico over 187 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 28.0
198 Northern Colorado over 234 Sacramento State 38.5 to 28.0
116 Southern Illinois over 160 Indiana State 42.0 to 31.5
14 Oklahoma over 50 Texas Tech 52.5 to 45.5
29 North Carolina over 88 Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
30 Boise State over 38 Brigham Young 35.0 to 28.0
64 Troy State over 115 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5
23 Virginia Tech over 22 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 24.5
48 California over 52 Oregon 52.5 to 49.0
24 South Florida over 82 Temple 38.5 to 28.0
221 Incarnate Word over 237 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 35.0
18 Washington State over 46 Arizona State 38.5 to 31.5
125 Ball State over 114 Akron 35.0 to 31.5
119 Boston College over 108 Syracuse 28.0 to 21.0
171 Miami - Ohio over 211 Bowling Green 31.5 to 28.0
161 Cornell over 210 Brown 28.0 to 28.0
203 Bucknell over 196 Lafayette 24.5 to 17.5
37 California - Los Angeles over 42 Utah 21.0 to 21.0
233 Campbell over 238 Stetson 28.0 to 21.0
105 Cincinnati over 109 East Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
136 Delaware over 176 Stony Brook 24.5 to 14.0
63 Jacksonville State over 141 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
193 Gardner - Webb over 194 Kennesaw State 35.0 to 31.5
159 Tennessee - Martin over 144 Georgia State 31.5 to 28.0
11 Wisconsin over 39 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
28 Kansas State over 49 Texas 35.0 to 24.5
69 Mississippi State over 99 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
13 Louisiana State over 8 Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
89 Maryland over 71 Michigan State 28.0 to 28.0
59 Missouri over 86 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
223 Jacksonville over 240 Morehead State 35.0 to 31.5
185 North Carolina Central over 236 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
25 Memphis over 51 Navy 35.0 to 28.0
124 Colorado State over 147 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 31.5
178 Nevada - Reno over 130 Wyoming 24.5 to 24.5
207 Bethune - Cookman over 229 Norfolk State 24.5 to 24.5
197 McNeese State over 206 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
97 Harvard over 118 Princeton 31.5 to 28.0
201 Prairie View over 186 Rice 31.5 to 31.5
129 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 165 Duquesne 31.5 to 28.0
107 South Dakota over 146 Illinois State 35.0 to 31.5
47 South Dakota State over 62 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
134 Southern Utah over 156 Weber State 31.5 to 24.5
31 Stanford over 16 Colorado 24.5 to 21.0
174 Southeast Missouri State over 190 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 24.5
235 Texas Southern over 243 Jackson State 28.0 to 21.0
182 Louisiana - Lafayette over 205 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 31.5
98 New Hampshire over 128 Towson 31.5 to 24.5
91 Vanderbilt over 142 Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
95 Villanova over 104 Albany 24.5 to 17.5
61 North Dakota State over 123 Western Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
19 West Virginia over 21 Texas Christian 35.0 to 28.0
149 Pennsylvania over 189 Yale 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
90 Central Florida over 121 Connecticut 24.5 to 24.5
145 Kent State over 143 Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
111 The Citadel over 137 Wofford 24.5 to 24.5
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