ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
18 Western Michigan over 138 Ball State 42.0 to 21.0
117 Northern Illinois over 204 Bowling Green 45.5 to 28.0
124 Ohio over 201 Buffalo 35.0 to 17.5
36 Boise State over 195 San Jose State 42.0 to 14.0
95 Grambling over 242 Alabama A&M 49.0 to 21.0
74 Appalachian State over 223 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 14.0
6 Auburn over 85 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 10.5
5 Louisville over 115 Boston College 38.5 to 17.5
77 Charleston Southern over 178 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 21.0
7 Clemson over 114 Syracuse 49.0 to 17.5
84 Coastal Carolina over 191 Monmouth 45.5 to 24.5
163 Dayton over 247 Valparaiso 38.5 to 10.5
188 North Carolina Central over 250 Delaware State 35.0 to 17.5
107 Harvard over 220 Columbia 31.5 to 7.0
34 Lehigh over 189 Bucknell 45.5 to 17.5
172 Mercer over 248 East Tennessee State 38.5 to 14.0
2 Michigan over 78 Maryland 45.5 to 14.0
59 Minnesota over 154 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0
20 Mississippi over 129 Georgia Southern 42.0 to 21.0
75 Montana over 234 Idaho State 52.5 to 14.0
3 Ohio State over 31 Nebraska 38.5 to 17.5
101 Liberty over 235 Presbyterian 31.5 to 14.0
68 Sam Houston State over 185 McNeese State 45.5 to 24.5
54 San Diego State over 147 Hawaii 38.5 to 21.0
70 South Dakota State over 182 Missouri State 45.5 to 21.0
57 Jacksonville State over 177 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 17.5
158 Southern over 243 Texas Southern 45.5 to 21.0
120 Southern Mississippi over 222 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 21.0
35 Stanford over 91 Oregon State 28.0 to 10.5
32 Tennessee over 187 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 17.5
64 Troy State over 164 Massachusetts 38.5 to 21.0
39 Western Kentucky over 210 Florida International 49.0 to 17.5
16 West Virginia over 198 Kansas 45.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
11 Oklahoma over 82 Iowa State 42.0 to 28.0
50 Temple over 152 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
109 Albany over 162 Delaware 28.0 to 17.5
155 Tennessee State over 237 Austin Peay 42.0 to 24.5
186 Bryant over 227 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
4 Washington over 53 California 52.5 to 35.0
239 Campbell over 251 Davidson 31.5 to 17.5
58 Central Florida over 135 Tulane 38.5 to 21.0
33 Brigham Young over 128 Cincinnati 35.0 to 21.0
116 Colorado State over 179 Fresno State 35.0 to 21.0
137 Dartmouth over 190 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
13 Virginia Tech over 61 Duke 31.5 to 21.0
71 Middle Tennessee State over 151 Texas - San Antonio 45.5 to 28.0
10 Texas A&M over 69 Mississippi State 35.0 to 24.5
113 North Carolina A&T over 175 South Carolina State 31.5 to 17.5
110 South Alabama over 217 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
112 North Dakota over 173 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
46 Louisiana Tech over 144 North Texas 38.5 to 28.0
80 Princeton over 148 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 24.5
63 Indiana over 168 Rutgers 35.0 to 24.5
14 Southern California over 51 Oregon 45.5 to 31.5
89 Central Arkansas over 199 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 28.0
146 Towson over 219 Elon 28.0 to 10.5
45 Tulsa over 104 East Carolina 45.5 to 35.0
17 Washington State over 92 Arizona 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
66 Toledo over 126 Akron 42.0 to 35.0
12 Colorado over 44 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
21 Baylor over 43 Texas Christian 35.0 to 28.0
233 Butler over 241 Morehead State 38.5 to 31.5
160 Sacred Heart over 212 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
180 Eastern Kentucky over 194 Murray State 35.0 to 24.5
176 Southeast Louisiana over 244 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 24.5
55 Northern Iowa over 140 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 8 Louisiana State 28.0 to 21.0
29 Miami - Florida over 38 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 28.0
106 New Mexico over 169 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0
24 North Carolina over 47 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 28.0
19 James Madison over 72 Richmond 42.0 to 35.0
60 Memphis over 111 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 28.0
143 Southern Utah over 183 Montana State 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
125 Arkansas State over 142 Georgia State 24.5 to 24.5
192 Lamar over 207 Nicholls State 28.0 to 24.5
105 Central Michigan over 156 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
224 Abilene Christian over 229 Northwestern State 35.0 to 35.0
232 Alabama State over 240 Jackson State 28.0 to 21.0
25 Florida over 52 Arkansas 24.5 to 24.5
252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 253 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 24.5
83 Army over 93 Air Force 28.0 to 24.5
205 Brown over 208 Yale 31.5 to 28.0
166 Portland State over 184 California - Davis 31.5 to 31.5
42 Eastern Washington over 88 California Poly 45.5 to 45.5
165 Eastern Illinois over 149 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 31.5
102 Colgate over 134 Fordham 38.5 to 35.0
139 Wofford over 157 Furman 21.0 to 21.0
161 Holy Cross over 200 Georgetown 24.5 to 21.0
62 Michigan State over 119 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
218 Jacksonville over 221 Drake 35.0 to 31.5
30 Kansas State over 27 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 31.5
181 Louisiana - Lafayette over 174 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
100 Villanova over 132 Maine 24.5 to 21.0
209 Bethune - Cookman over 238 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
49 Notre Dame over 56 Navy 35.0 to 31.5
15 Florida State over 73 North Carolina State 35.0 to 28.0
65 North Dakota State over 87 Youngstown State 21.0 to 14.0
9 Wisconsin over 22 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5
150 Old Dominion over 170 Marshall 35.0 to 31.5
23 Penn State over 41 Iowa 31.5 to 24.5
202 Prairie View over 211 Alcorn State 35.0 to 31.5
193 Rice over 214 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
236 Norfolk State over 249 Savannah State 24.5 to 17.5
94 South Carolina over 86 Missouri 28.0 to 24.5
141 Southern Illinois over 118 South Dakota 42.0 to 38.5
226 Stetson over 228 Marist 21.0 to 21.0
133 William & Mary over 167 Stony Brook 21.0 to 17.5
216 Texas - El Paso over 246 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 21.0
48 Texas Tech over 37 Texas 45.5 to 42.0
108 The Citadel over 98 Samford 35.0 to 31.5
159 Duquesne over 213 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
90 Wake Forest over 96 Virginia 21.0 to 17.5
136 Weber State over 127 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
197 Western Carolina over 203 Virginia Military 31.5 to 28.0
122 Western Illinois over 131 Illinois State 28.0 to 24.5
99 Wyoming over 121 Utah State 28.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
76 Georgia over 79 Kentucky 31.5 to 31.5
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