ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
14 Western Michigan over 139 Kent State 38.5 to 17.5
15 Florida State over 125 Boston College 38.5 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 58 Mississippi State 45.5 to 10.5
111 Arkansas State over 207 New Mexico State 45.5 to 24.5
86 Central Arkansas over 188 Nicholls State 38.5 to 14.0
7 Clemson over 44 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 24.5
87 Coastal Carolina over 189 Bryant 42.0 to 24.5
101 Colgate over 193 Lafayette 38.5 to 17.5
138 Dartmouth over 217 Brown 28.0 to 10.5
106 North Carolina A&T over 250 Delaware State 45.5 to 14.0
28 Eastern Washington over 223 Idaho State 63.0 to 24.5
216 Hampton over 249 Savannah State 31.5 to 14.0
46 Boise State over 168 Hawaii 42.0 to 21.0
25 Houston over 147 Tulane 42.0 to 17.5
3 Michigan over 57 Iowa 38.5 to 17.5
5 Louisville over 90 Wake Forest 42.0 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 89 Maryland 45.5 to 14.0
77 Michigan State over 157 Rutgers 35.0 to 21.0
214 Alcorn State over 251 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 17.5
68 Jacksonville State over 175 Murray State 42.0 to 21.0
85 Grambling over 235 Alabama State 45.5 to 17.5
186 North Carolina Central over 246 Howard 38.5 to 17.5
48 North Dakota State over 155 Indiana State 35.0 to 10.5
70 Sam Houston State over 233 Northwestern State 52.5 to 24.5
127 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 209 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
105 San Diego over 228 Stetson 42.0 to 14.0
176 South Carolina State over 238 Norfolk State 28.0 to 10.5
239 Texas Southern over 253 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 14.0
43 Western Kentucky over 142 North Texas 45.5 to 24.5
9 Wisconsin over 109 Illinois 35.0 to 7.0
69 Princeton over 213 Yale 42.0 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
141 Akron over 220 Bowling Green 45.5 to 28.0
51 Toledo over 120 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0
112 Georgia Southern over 184 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
10 Colorado over 117 Arizona 38.5 to 21.0
29 Brigham Young over 134 Southern Utah 38.5 to 21.0
31 California - Los Angeles over 79 Oregon State 31.5 to 17.5
53 Central Florida over 137 Cincinnati 35.0 to 17.5
221 Drake over 242 Butler 35.0 to 21.0
40 Florida over 88 South Carolina 24.5 to 10.5
150 Furman over 194 Western Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
6 Auburn over 76 Georgia 35.0 to 17.5
145 Georgia State over 206 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
200 Stephen F. Austin over 245 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 28.0
124 Illinois State over 182 Missouri State 35.0 to 17.5
17 Penn State over 75 Indiana 38.5 to 28.0
78 Iowa State over 185 Kansas 35.0 to 21.0
151 Kennesaw State over 237 Presbyterian 38.5 to 21.0
208 Lamar over 243 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 21.0
47 Louisiana Tech over 123 Texas - San Antonio 45.5 to 28.0
38 San Diego State over 166 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 14.0
80 New Hampshire over 119 Albany 31.5 to 21.0
74 Montana over 173 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 28.0
11 Oklahoma over 35 Baylor 42.0 to 35.0
22 Oklahoma State over 54 Texas Tech 52.5 to 42.0
27 Northwestern over 152 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0
73 Richmond over 135 Delaware 35.0 to 21.0
146 Portland State over 225 Sacramento State 38.5 to 28.0
100 Samford over 180 Mercer 45.5 to 28.0
67 South Dakota State over 118 South Dakota 45.5 to 31.5
172 Southeast Louisiana over 226 Abilene Christian 38.5 to 24.5
30 Tennessee over 83 Kentucky 42.0 to 28.0
92 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 129 Wofford 28.0 to 17.5
24 Miami - Florida over 91 Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
103 The Citadel over 202 Virginia Military 35.0 to 21.0
19 Virginia Tech over 61 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 21.0
4 Washington over 12 Southern California 35.0 to 21.0
8 Washington State over 65 California 56.0 to 35.0
52 Northern Iowa over 133 Western Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
102 Youngstown State over 136 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
21 North Carolina over 62 Duke 31.5 to 24.5
72 Air Force over 99 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
132 Miami - Ohio over 212 Buffalo 28.0 to 17.5
50 Nebraska over 63 Minnesota 31.5 to 21.0
81 Wyoming over 163 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 31.5
55 Notre Dame over 104 Army 31.5 to 21.0
66 North Carolina State over 122 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
161 Tennessee State over 195 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 28.0
159 Idaho over 227 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 28.0
20 James Madison over 84 Villanova 35.0 to 28.0
98 California Poly over 154 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
144 Ball State over 143 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
34 Utah over 60 Arizona State 31.5 to 31.5
13 Louisiana State over 41 Arkansas 28.0 to 21.0
198 Eastern Kentucky over 229 Austin Peay 35.0 to 28.0
164 Duquesne over 169 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 24.5
108 East Carolina over 121 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 28.0
222 Elon over 230 Rhode Island 21.0 to 17.5
232 Florida A&M over 248 Morgan State 28.0 to 21.0
203 Florida Atlantic over 211 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
199 Georgetown over 181 Bucknell 17.5 to 14.0
240 Jackson State over 241 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 24.5
96 Liberty over 95 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 31.5
165 Dayton over 219 Marist 28.0 to 21.0
93 Middle Tennessee State over 178 Marshall 42.0 to 35.0
42 Memphis over 45 South Florida 42.0 to 38.5
192 Montana State over 190 California - Davis 31.5 to 24.5
234 Morehead State over 236 Campbell 35.0 to 31.5
56 Navy over 37 Tulsa 42.0 to 38.5
128 Fordham over 158 Holy Cross 35.0 to 31.5
197 North Carolina - Charlot over 210 Rice 35.0 to 31.5
107 North Dakota over 113 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
131 Old Dominion over 149 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
36 Stanford over 64 Oregon 31.5 to 28.0
114 Harvard over 170 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 24.5
160 Southern over 204 Prairie View 38.5 to 35.0
231 Robert Morris over 218 Wagner 21.0 to 21.0
162 Stony Brook over 148 Maine 21.0 to 17.5
140 Tennessee - Martin over 174 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
18 West Virginia over 33 Texas 31.5 to 28.0
16 Texas A&M over 23 Mississippi 38.5 to 31.5
59 Troy State over 82 Appalachian State 28.0 to 24.5
224 Jacksonville over 244 Valparaiso 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
187 Cornell over 215 Columbia 21.0 to 21.0
71 Vanderbilt over 94 Missouri 24.5 to 24.5
126 William & Mary over 153 Towson 24.5 to 24.5
130 Utah State over 97 New Mexico 35.0 to 35.0
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