ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 19 Western Michigan over 125 Ohio 38.5 to 17.5 1 Alabama over 41 Florida 31.5 to 7.0 93 Arkansas State over 242 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 14.0 80-90% chance of victory: 4 Washington over 10 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0 46 Eastern Washington over 103 Central Arkansas 42.0 to 28.0 18 James Madison over 48 New Hampshire 45.5 to 31.5 5 Clemson over 21 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 24.5 7 Oklahoma over 17 Oklahoma State 45.5 to 35.0 132 South Alabama over 197 New Mexico State 38.5 to 24.5 22 West Virginia over 80 Baylor 38.5 to 28.0 70-80% chance of victory: 50 Sam Houston State over 81 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 35.0 28 Western Kentucky over 43 Louisiana Tech 45.5 to 38.5 60-70% chance of victory: 118 Idaho over 167 Georgia State 31.5 to 24.5 62 Jacksonville State over 78 Youngstown State 24.5 to 17.5 23 Navy over 39 Temple 35.0 to 28.0 74 Richmond over 97 North Dakota 31.5 to 24.5 47 North Dakota State over 71 San Diego 24.5 to 21.0 159 Louisiana - Lafayette over 190 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 28.0 58 South Dakota State over 75 Villanova 28.0 to 24.5 27 Texas Christian over 36 Kansas State 28.0 to 24.5 101 The Citadel over 99 Wofford 24.5 to 21.0 55 San Diego State over 90 Wyoming 42.0 to 35.0 50-60% chance of victory: 123 Georgia Southern over 87 Troy State 28.0 to 28.0 8 Penn State over 12 Wisconsin 24.5 to 24.5
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