9 Jan 2018: Average model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA) for the 2017 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

FBS:
rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  4  13  8.8  7.4 Alabama                 
  2  4  11  8.7  7.0 Clemson                 
  3  5  11  9.2  6.6 Ohio State              
  4 11  11  9.3  6.4 Penn State              
  5  7  11  9.9  5.8 Oklahoma                
  6  6  11  8.8  6.8 Georgia                 
  7  7  10  8.6  6.9 Auburn                  
  8  7  10  8.6  6.7 Washington              
  9  8   9  8.4  6.8 Wisconsin               
 10 10  10  9.7  5.6 Oklahoma State          
 11  9   8  8.3  6.6 Texas Christian         
 12 12   8  8.8  6.1 Notre Dame              
 13 17   8  8.1  6.7 Virginia Tech           
 14  9   8  8.5  6.3 Stanford                
 15 19   8  8.4  6.4 Miami - Florida         
 16 18   7  8.0  6.7 Louisiana State         
 17 26   8  9.1  5.6 Louisville              
 18 39   8  9.0  5.7 Central Florida         
 19 23   7  8.1  6.5 Michigan                
 20 26   7  8.2  6.3 Iowa                    
 21 31   7  8.3  6.2 Florida State           
 22 16   7  8.4  6.1 Mississippi State       
 23 19   7  8.4  6.1 Southern California     
 24 38   6  8.1  6.4 Iowa State              
 25 33   6  8.4  6.0 North Carolina State    
 26 44   7  9.3  5.1 Memphis                 
 27 28   6  8.0  6.4 Texas                   
 28 34   6  8.1  6.2 Northwestern            
 29 51   6  8.6  5.7 Wake Forest             
 30 25   6  8.2  6.1 Kansas State            
 31 52   6  8.4  5.8 Georgia Tech            
 32 36   6  8.5  5.8 Washington State        
 33 27   5  7.8  6.3 Michigan State          
 34 38   6  8.8  5.4 Texas A&M               
 35 18   5  8.4  5.8 Boise State             
 36 41   6  8.6  5.6 West Virginia           
 37 22   5  8.7  5.4 Oregon                  
 38 20   5  8.0  6.1 Utah                    
 39 48   5  7.9  6.1 Duke                    
 40 30   5  8.6  5.4 South Florida           
 41 40   5  7.8  6.2 Boston College          
 42 45   5  9.0  5.0 Texas Tech              
 43 37   5  8.9  5.1 Missouri                
 44 39   5  8.3  5.7 Navy                    
 45 38   5  9.1  4.8 Arizona                 
 46 66   4  8.2  5.6 Indiana                 
 47 34   4  7.6  6.2 South Carolina          
 48 66   4  7.8  6.0 Purdue                  
 49 63   4  8.2  5.6 Pittsburgh              
 50 50   4  8.7  5.0 Mississippi             
 51 46   4  8.5  5.2 California - Los Angeles
 52 30   4  7.8  5.9 San Diego State         
 53 33   4  7.7  5.9 Houston                 
 54 48   4  8.1  5.5 California              
 55 64   4  7.6  6.1 Florida                 
 56 38   4  8.4  5.2 Arizona State           
 57 67   3  8.4  5.2 Florida Atlantic        
 58 38   3  8.4  5.1 Toledo                  
 59 68   3  8.0  5.5 North Carolina          
 60 19   3  7.6  5.9 Appalachian State       
 61 56   3  7.8  5.7 Colorado                
 62 45   3  7.8  5.7 Troy State              
 63 51   3  7.7  5.8 Temple                  
 64 61   3  7.8  5.6 Army                    
 65 48   3  8.2  5.2 Ohio                    
 66 45   3  8.2  5.1 Colorado State          
 67 53   3  7.9  5.5 Kentucky                
 68 54   3  8.3  5.0 Arkansas                
 69 58   3  8.2  5.1 Syracuse                
 70 46   2  7.4  5.9 Minnesota               
 71 57   2  7.4  5.8 Fresno State            
 72 56   2  7.9  5.3 Baylor                  
 73 32   2  8.3  4.9 Western Michigan        
 74 35   2  8.0  5.2 Louisiana Tech          
 75 57   2  8.2  5.0 Nebraska                
 76 61   2  7.6  5.5 Tennessee               
 77 37   2  8.0  5.1 Arkansas State          
 78 41   2  7.7  5.4 Northern Illinois       
 79 48   2  7.3  5.8 Wyoming                 
 80 50   2  7.6  5.5 Vanderbilt              
 81 41   1  8.0  5.0 Air Force               
 82 53   1  8.4  4.5 Southern Methodist      
 83 52   1  7.7  5.3 Virginia                
 84 38   1  7.7  5.2 Utah State              
 85 53   1  8.1  4.8 Massachusetts           
 86 60   1  7.9  5.0 Maryland                
 87 47   1  8.1  4.7 Tulsa                   
 88 38   1  7.5  5.4 Marshall                
 89 51   0  7.7  5.0 Central Michigan        
 90 61   0  7.4  5.2 Eastern Michigan        
 91 60   0  8.2  4.4 North Texas             
 92 40   0  7.6  5.0 Southern Mississippi    
 93 52   0  7.2  5.4 Tulane                  
 94 46   0  7.7  4.8 Nevada - Reno           
 95 31   0  6.8  5.8 Texas - San Antonio     
 96 65   0  7.0  5.5 Rutgers                 
 97 35   0  7.6  4.8 Western Kentucky        
 98 52   0  7.4  5.1 Buffalo                 
 99 39   0  7.4  5.0 Middle Tennessee State  
100 50   0  7.8  4.6 Nevada - Las Vegas      
101 45   0  6.6  5.7 Brigham Young           
102 64   0  7.0  5.3 Illinois                
103 56   0  8.2  4.1 Northeast Louisiana     
104 45   0  7.5  4.8 Coastal Carolina        
105 38  -1  7.4  4.9 Georgia Southern        
106 39  -1  7.4  4.8 Alabama - Birmingham    
107 47  -1  7.0  5.2 Miami - Ohio            
108 47  -1  7.6  4.6 New Mexico State        
109 45  -1  7.4  4.8 Florida International   
110 36  -1  7.0  5.1 Akron                   
111 39  -1  6.9  5.1 Cincinnati              
112 45  -1  7.9  4.1 East Carolina           
113 42  -1  7.4  4.6 Oregon State            
114 31  -1  7.1  4.9 New Mexico              
115 32  -1  6.8  5.2 Georgia State           
116 38  -1  6.9  5.0 Idaho                   
117 34  -2  7.6  4.2 Bowling Green           
118 45  -2  6.8  5.0 Connecticut             
119 33  -2  7.0  4.7 Old Dominion            
120 32  -2  7.3  4.5 Hawaii                  
121 28  -2  7.3  4.4 Louisiana - Lafayette   
122 19  -2  6.5  5.3 South Alabama           
123 41  -2  7.2  4.6 Kansas                  
124 26  -5  6.6  4.4 Rice                    
125 22  -5  6.1  4.9 Kent State              
126 22  -5  6.7  4.2 Texas State - San Marcos
127 21  -5  6.8  4.1 Ball State              
128 20  -5  6.9  4.0 San Jose State          
129 16  -6  6.3  4.5 North Carolina - Charlot
130 18  -6  6.2  4.5 Texas - El Paso         

FCS:
rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  9   8  8.2  6.8 North Dakota State      
  2 12   7  8.5  6.2 James Madison           
  3 17   7  8.8  5.7 South Dakota State      
  4 27   4  7.8  6.1 Northern Iowa           
  5 29   4  8.6  5.2 South Dakota            
  6 31   4  7.7  6.1 Youngstown State        
  7 24   4  8.1  5.6 Western Illinois        
  8 34   3  7.6  5.9 Jacksonville State      
  9 32   3  8.1  5.4 Richmond                
 10 30   3  8.1  5.3 Southern Utah           
 11 42   3  8.5  4.9 Princeton               
 12 33   3  8.4  4.9 Eastern Washington      
 13 42   2  7.5  5.9 Weber State             
 14 40   2  6.9  6.4 Villanova               
 15 47   2  7.4  5.9 Yale                    
 16 38   2  7.4  6.0 Illinois State          
 17 62   2  7.5  5.7 San Diego               
 18 37   2  7.4  5.8 Stony Brook             
 19 58   2  8.8  4.4 Sam Houston State       
 20 43   2  8.0  5.1 Furman                  
 21 63   2  7.4  5.7 Kennesaw State          
 22 46   1  8.0  5.0 Montana                 
 23 73   1  7.4  5.6 Central Arkansas        
 24 44   1  7.3  5.7 New Hampshire           
 25 25   1  7.5  5.4 Maine                   
 26 35   1  7.1  5.9 Delaware                
 27 44   1  7.5  5.4 Samford                 
 28 57   1  7.3  5.6 North Carolina A&T      
 29 38   1  7.6  5.2 Southern Illinois       
 30 56   0  7.0  5.8 Colgate                 
 31 33   0  7.7  5.1 Northern Arizona        
 32 47   0  8.0  4.6 Sacramento State        
 33 64   0  7.1  5.6 Dartmouth               
 34 40   0  7.4  5.3 Pennsylvania            
 35 38   0  7.2  5.4 Wofford                 
 36 30   0  7.8  4.8 California - Davis      
 37 46   0  7.3  5.3 Mercer                  
 38 37   0  7.8  4.6 Monmouth                
 39 45   0  7.1  5.4 Montana State           
 40 66   0  7.4  5.1 Grambling               
 41 73   0  7.4  5.0 Duquesne                
 42 70   0  6.9  5.6 Harvard                 
 43 38   0  6.5  6.0 Albany                  
 44 51   0  7.8  4.5 Western Carolina        
 45 20   0  6.9  5.4 Elon                    
 46 49   0  7.5  4.7 Liberty                 
 47 49   0  6.7  5.5 Columbia                
 48 84   0  7.5  4.8 Southeast Louisiana     
 49 35  -1  7.3  4.9 Central Connecticut     
 50 39  -1  8.5  3.6 Lehigh                  
 51 46  -1  7.1  5.0 Tennessee State         
 52 31  -1  6.4  5.8 Tennessee - Martin      
 53 46  -1  7.0  5.2 Charleston Southern     
 54 94  -1  6.7  5.4 McNeese State           
 55 37  -1  6.8  5.3 Towson                  
 56 56  -1  6.6  5.5 William & Mary          
 57 66  -1  7.3  4.7 Alcorn State            
 58 55  -1  7.4  4.6 Austin Peay             
 59 35  -1  7.1  5.0 North Dakota            
 60 29  -1  6.7  5.3 Southeast Missouri State
 61 42  -1  6.9  5.1 The Citadel             
 62 54  -2  7.0  4.9 Holy Cross              
 63 16  -2  7.1  4.8 Rhode Island            
 64 40  -2  7.5  4.3 Bryant                  
 65 29  -2  7.4  4.5 Missouri State          
 66 58  -2  6.2  5.7 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
 67 65  -2  6.7  5.1 Bethune - Cookman       
 68 59  -2  7.4  4.4 Southern                
 69 29  -2  7.3  4.4 Northern Colorado       
 70 33  -2  6.9  4.9 Eastern Kentucky        
 71 65  -2  7.1  4.6 Sacred Heart            
 72 62  -2  7.0  4.8 Nicholls State          
 73 61  -2  6.5  5.3 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 74 46  -2  6.5  5.2 North Carolina Central  
 75 61  -3  7.1  4.5 Fordham                 
 76 38  -3  6.6  5.0 Cornell                 
 77 27  -3  6.7  4.9 Eastern Illinois        
 78 61  -3  7.1  4.5 Prairie View            
 79 53  -3  6.7  4.8 California Poly         
 80 19  -3  7.4  4.0 Idaho State             
 81 **  -3  6.3  5.3 Dayton                  
 82 26  -3  6.5  5.0 Wagner                  
 83 93  -4  6.5  4.9 Drake                   
 84 49  -4  6.0  5.3 South Carolina State    
 85 36  -4  7.0  4.2 Howard                  
 86 15  -4  6.5  4.6 Tennessee Tech          
 87 47  -5  6.7  4.4 Northwestern State      
 88 29  -5  6.5  4.6 Florida A&M             
 89 16  -5  6.7  4.4 Murray State            
 90 34  -5  6.1  5.0 Hampton                 
 91 91  -5  6.4  4.6 Butler                  
 92 44  -5  5.9  5.2 Bucknell                
 93 98  -5  6.6  4.4 Campbell                
 94 33  -5  6.1  4.9 Gardner - Webb          
 95 41  -5  6.1  4.9 Brown                   
 96 30  -5  6.7  4.2 Indiana State           
 97 14  -5  6.3  4.6 Norfolk State           
 98 32  -6  7.2  3.6 Portland State          
 99 67  -6  6.4  4.4 Abilene Christian       
100 54  -5  5.7  5.2 Alabama State           
101 87  -6  6.7  4.1 Valparaiso              
102 15  -6  6.1  4.7 East Tennessee State    
103 28  -6  6.1  4.8 Presbyterian            
104 58  -6  6.4  4.4 Stephen F. Austin       
105 36  -6  5.8  4.9 Lafayette               
106 21  -6  6.5  4.1 Savannah State          
107 37  -6  5.6  5.0 Georgetown              
108 50  -7  6.3  4.1 Marist                  
109 64  -7  6.6  3.7 Jacksonville            
110 16  -7  6.5  3.9 Morgan State            
111 29  -7  6.1  4.3 Alabama A&M             
112 18  -7  5.5  4.9 Robert Morris           
113 40  -7  5.3  5.0 Jackson State           
114 44  -8  6.1  4.0 Lamar                   
115 17  -8  5.8  4.3 Texas Southern          
116 10  -8  6.1  3.9 Delaware State          
117 41  -9  6.6  3.3 Incarnate Word          
118 11  -8  5.6  4.5 Virginia Military       
119 48  -9  5.6  4.4 Stetson                 
120 14  -9  6.2  3.6 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
121 37 -10  6.5  3.2 Morehead State          
122  8 -11  6.1  3.3 Mississippi Valley State
123  7 -11  5.4  3.9 Houston Baptist         
124 26 -11  5.5  3.7 Davidson                

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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