ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
38 North Dakota State over 252 Mississippi Valley State 63.0 to 10.5
6 Oklahoma over 207 Texas - El Paso 66.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
143 Delaware over 250 Delaware State 49.0 to 17.5
44 Memphis over 206 Northeast Louisiana 56.0 to 28.0
5 Washington over 171 Rutgers 52.5 to 21.0
3 Clemson over 157 Kent State 56.0 to 14.0
54 Louisiana Tech over 236 Northwestern State 59.5 to 28.0
16 Miami - Florida over 194 Bethune - Cookman 52.5 to 21.0
89 Montana over 249 Valparaiso 56.0 to 24.5
11 Louisville over 150 Purdue 59.5 to 31.5
15 Penn State over 133 Akron 56.0 to 28.0
33 Texas Christian over 245 Jackson State 52.5 to 17.5
28 Western Kentucky over 210 Eastern Kentucky 56.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
75 Arizona State over 198 New Mexico State 59.5 to 35.0
83 Central Florida over 200 Florida International 45.5 to 24.5
124 Central Michigan over 217 Rhode Island 42.0 to 31.5
135 Cincinnati over 238 Austin Peay 49.0 to 28.0
120 Idaho over 224 Sacramento State 49.0 to 35.0
2 Ohio State over 76 Indiana 49.0 to 24.5
173 Mercer over 219 Jacksonville 45.5 to 38.5
50 Minnesota over 209 Buffalo 49.0 to 21.0
49 Arkansas over 222 Florida A&M 45.5 to 21.0
73 New Hampshire over 139 Maine 42.0 to 28.0
166 McNeese State over 214 Nicholls State 42.0 to 31.5
18 Oklahoma State over 46 Tulsa 52.5 to 42.0
114 Samford over 148 Kennesaw State 49.0 to 42.0
65 South Dakota State over 141 Duquesne 45.5 to 35.0
55 Toledo over 230 Elon 52.5 to 24.5
36 Utah over 111 North Dakota 42.0 to 24.5
85 Wake Forest over 242 Presbyterian 38.5 to 14.0
149 Eastern Michigan over 208 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 35.0
51 Navy over 192 Florida Atlantic 52.5 to 31.5
107 Syracuse over 212 Central Connecticut 45.5 to 35.0
14 Wisconsin over 115 Utah State 45.5 to 17.5
71 Air Force over 204 Virginia Military 45.5 to 24.5
105 Alabama - Birmingham over 240 Alabama A&M 52.5 to 35.0
98 Arizona over 142 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 38.5
12 Auburn over 95 Georgia Southern 45.5 to 21.0
43 Baylor over 119 Liberty 45.5 to 31.5
37 Boise State over 82 Troy State 45.5 to 31.5
190 Bucknell over 229 Marist 38.5 to 28.0
86 Coastal Carolina over 181 Massachusetts 52.5 to 28.0
109 South Dakota over 220 Drake 42.0 to 35.0
68 Duke over 186 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 24.5
13 James Madison over 134 East Carolina 59.5 to 35.0
195 Fresno State over 241 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 28.0
137 North Carolina A&T over 189 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 28.0
59 Georgia over 70 Appalachian State 35.0 to 28.0
147 Hawaii over 196 Western Carolina 45.5 to 35.0
129 Illinois over 146 Ball State 38.5 to 31.5
106 Illinois State over 244 Butler 49.0 to 21.0
32 Iowa over 88 Wyoming 45.5 to 28.0
26 Kansas State over 116 Central Arkansas 45.5 to 24.5
154 Louisiana - Lafayette over 188 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 31.5
61 Michigan State over 177 Bowling Green 49.0 to 28.0
69 Vanderbilt over 99 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 38.5
34 Mississippi over 145 South Alabama 52.5 to 28.0
60 Mississippi State over 80 Charleston Southern 42.0 to 38.5
79 Missouri over 216 Missouri State 49.0 to 28.0
179 Monmouth over 197 Lafayette 42.0 to 35.0
1 Alabama over 8 Florida State 42.0 to 28.0
58 Nebraska over 90 Arkansas State 38.5 to 28.0
160 Nevada - Las Vegas over 246 Howard 52.5 to 35.0
91 New Mexico over 228 Abilene Christian 56.0 to 35.0
4 Michigan over 29 Florida 35.0 to 24.5
9 Louisiana State over 87 Brigham Young 28.0 to 14.0
25 North Carolina over 62 California 52.5 to 42.0
170 North Texas over 226 Lamar 38.5 to 31.5
35 Northwestern over 159 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 21.0
40 Notre Dame over 42 Temple 38.5 to 35.0
41 North Carolina State over 93 South Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
117 Ohio over 221 Hampton 38.5 to 24.5
63 Oregon over 125 Southern Utah 52.5 to 42.0
27 Pittsburgh over 64 Youngstown State 45.5 to 38.5
169 Dayton over 235 Robert Morris 31.5 to 21.0
178 Sacred Heart over 234 Stetson 42.0 to 28.0
48 San Diego State over 203 California - Davis 49.0 to 24.5
158 California Poly over 187 San Jose State 28.0 to 21.0
10 Southern California over 22 Western Michigan 45.5 to 35.0
122 Southern Methodist over 218 Stephen F. Austin 49.0 to 38.5
72 Kentucky over 110 Southern Mississippi 45.5 to 42.0
47 South Florida over 168 Stony Brook 42.0 to 24.5
52 Texas over 94 Maryland 45.5 to 31.5
31 Houston over 123 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 28.0
205 Prairie View over 251 Texas Southern 38.5 to 24.5
232 Texas State - San Marcos over 247 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 31.5
153 Towson over 243 Morgan State 45.5 to 24.5
118 Grambling over 140 Tulane 38.5 to 31.5
17 Washington State over 172 Montana State 52.5 to 24.5
100 Wofford over 144 Furman 35.0 to 28.0
155 Southern over 183 South Carolina State 38.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
176 Holy Cross over 185 Connecticut 31.5 to 28.0
180 Tennessee State over 167 Georgia State 38.5 to 35.0
161 Indiana State over 174 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
127 Western Illinois over 175 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 35.0
102 Fordham over 103 Army 42.0 to 38.5
19 Colorado State over 21 Colorado 38.5 to 38.5
97 Northern Illinois over 96 Boston College 35.0 to 31.5
78 Richmond over 84 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 45.5
66 Northern Iowa over 67 Iowa State 35.0 to 31.5
193 Southeast Missouri State over 165 Kansas 31.5 to 31.5
74 Lehigh over 77 Villanova 38.5 to 35.0
162 Marshall over 138 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 31.5
113 Albany over 104 Old Dominion 38.5 to 35.0
152 Oregon State over 151 Portland State 31.5 to 31.5
45 Eastern Washington over 57 Texas Tech 56.0 to 52.5
121 William & Mary over 101 Virginia 35.0 to 35.0
23 Texas A&M over 56 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 35.0
20 Virginia Tech over 24 West Virginia 35.0 to 35.0
39 Georgia Tech over 30 Tennessee 42.0 to 42.0
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