ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
40 Boise State over 115 Virginia 38.5 to 21.0
5 Oklahoma over 68 Baylor 42.0 to 24.5
2 Clemson over 119 Boston College 45.5 to 3.5
10 James Madison over 96 Maine 49.0 to 24.5
18 Louisville over 200 Kent State 45.5 to 10.5
148 Grambling over 254 Mississippi Valley State 49.0 to 10.5
11 Auburn over 129 Missouri 35.0 to 14.0
25 North Dakota State over 212 Robert Morris 38.5 to 0.0
3 Ohio State over 138 Nevada - Las Vegas 52.5 to 14.0
69 Sam Houston State over 173 Nicholls State 49.0 to 28.0
27 Tennessee over 172 Massachusetts 45.5 to 17.5
90 Troy State over 174 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
14 Virginia Tech over 125 Old Dominion 45.5 to 17.5
23 Washington State over 152 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 17.5
105 Wofford over 227 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
110 Mercer over 234 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 14.0
24 West Virginia over 171 Kansas 45.5 to 21.0
17 Louisiana State over 94 Syracuse 38.5 to 14.0
156 McNeese State over 246 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 10.5
133 Middle Tennessee State over 203 Bowling Green 38.5 to 24.5
88 Illinois State over 216 Missouri State 38.5 to 17.5
104 North Carolina A&T over 251 Morgan State 38.5 to 10.5
70 Nebraska over 139 Rutgers 31.5 to 17.5
97 New Hampshire over 195 Rhode Island 35.0 to 17.5
6 Michigan over 81 Purdue 42.0 to 21.0
79 Richmond over 205 Elon 38.5 to 14.0
127 San Diego over 242 Butler 42.0 to 14.0
101 Texas - San Antonio over 231 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 14.0
54 Tulsa over 130 New Mexico 49.0 to 35.0
1 Alabama over 51 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 7.0
56 Western Michigan over 202 Wagner 38.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
31 Oregon over 85 Arizona State 45.5 to 38.5
38 Georgia Tech over 50 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 31.5
185 Bethune - Cookman over 241 Howard 38.5 to 24.5
237 Jackson State over 253 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 14.0
77 Princeton over 222 Lafayette 42.0 to 17.5
179 Dayton over 243 Morehead State 42.0 to 24.5
169 New Mexico State over 220 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 28.0
98 Stony Brook over 184 Towson 28.0 to 14.0
71 Western Kentucky over 108 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
75 South Florida over 76 Temple 35.0 to 35.0
219 Abilene Christian over 230 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 35.0
59 Villanova over 112 Albany 24.5 to 14.0
186 Alcorn State over 190 Southern 31.5 to 24.5
46 Wake Forest over 91 Appalachian State 24.5 to 21.0
170 Bucknell over 168 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 21.0
165 Buffalo over 154 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 24.5
12 Southern California over 44 California 42.0 to 31.5
182 California Poly over 157 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 31.5
124 Central Michigan over 144 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
83 Coastal Carolina over 99 Western Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
167 Colgate over 143 Furman 24.5 to 21.0
4 Washington over 26 Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
198 Columbia over 209 Georgetown 21.0 to 17.5
118 Dartmouth over 114 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
235 Norfolk State over 244 Delaware State 24.5 to 21.0
232 Drake over 240 Valparaiso 31.5 to 28.0
192 Eastern Illinois over 193 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
194 Eastern Kentucky over 201 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 21.0
109 Ohio over 146 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
9 Florida State over 49 North Carolina State 38.5 to 24.5
15 Mississippi State over 36 Georgia 31.5 to 24.5
162 Monmouth over 221 Hampton 28.0 to 21.0
131 Harvard over 191 Brown 35.0 to 21.0
34 Houston over 47 Texas Tech 45.5 to 35.0
72 Indiana over 120 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 24.5
8 Penn State over 33 Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
102 Jacksonville State over 106 Liberty 38.5 to 35.0
28 Florida over 66 Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
151 Louisiana - Lafayette over 197 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 28.0
73 Maryland over 74 Central Florida 35.0 to 31.5
57 Memphis over 103 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
16 Miami - Florida over 52 Toledo 42.0 to 28.0
21 Notre Dame over 63 Michigan State 31.5 to 28.0
60 Navy over 122 Cincinnati 35.0 to 21.0
29 North Carolina over 30 Duke 31.5 to 31.5
189 Georgia State over 217 North Carolina - Charlot 28.0 to 21.0
111 North Dakota over 158 Montana State 28.0 to 21.0
178 Northern Colorado over 213 Idaho State 42.0 to 31.5
116 Alabama - Birmingham over 145 North Texas 35.0 to 35.0
32 Texas A&M over 62 Arkansas 38.5 to 31.5
7 Oklahoma State over 20 Texas Christian 38.5 to 28.0
223 Rice over 207 Florida International 24.5 to 24.5
95 Southern Utah over 204 Sacramento State 42.0 to 24.5
149 Utah State over 236 San Jose State 35.0 to 24.5
225 Florida A&M over 249 Savannah State 24.5 to 14.0
142 South Alabama over 159 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
80 South Carolina over 78 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 28.0
187 Southeast Louisiana over 224 Lamar 31.5 to 21.0
19 Stanford over 41 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 28.0
238 Campbell over 245 Stetson 24.5 to 21.0
147 Tennessee - Martin over 180 Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
92 Army over 128 Tulane 24.5 to 21.0
218 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 215 Virginia Military 17.5 to 14.0
137 California - Davis over 161 Weber State 28.0 to 24.5
132 Wyoming over 155 Hawaii 42.0 to 35.0
177 Yale over 196 Cornell 38.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
183 North Carolina Central over 176 South Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
48 Utah over 67 Arizona 31.5 to 31.5
61 Air Force over 43 San Diego State 28.0 to 28.0
248 Alabama A&M over 250 Texas Southern 24.5 to 24.5
228 Alabama State over 208 Prairie View 28.0 to 28.0
181 Bryant over 166 Fordham 35.0 to 35.0
123 Pennsylvania over 126 Lehigh 38.5 to 35.0
229 Marist over 210 Jacksonville 35.0 to 35.0
87 Montana over 64 Eastern Washington 38.5 to 38.5
211 Murray State over 206 Austin Peay 38.5 to 35.0
84 Southern Methodist over 86 Arkansas State 35.0 to 35.0
121 Samford over 160 Western Carolina 38.5 to 38.5
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