ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 2 Clemson over 87 Syracuse 42.0 to 17.5 1 Alabama over 76 Arkansas 45.5 to 10.5 240 Alabama A&M over 253 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 17.5 86 Central Arkansas over 242 Stephen F. Austin 45.5 to 10.5 23 Central Florida over 202 East Carolina 52.5 to 21.0 51 Colorado State over 163 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 14.0 63 North Carolina A&T over 222 Florida A&M 38.5 to 14.0 85 Furman over 248 Virginia Military 49.0 to 14.0 4 Georgia over 145 Missouri 45.5 to 7.0 119 Harvard over 229 Lafayette 35.0 to 10.5 31 Iowa State over 193 Kansas 49.0 to 21.0 57 Jacksonville State over 207 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 7.0 98 Maine over 184 Rhode Island 35.0 to 17.5 19 Mississippi State over 174 Brigham Young 38.5 to 14.0 3 Ohio State over 72 Nebraska 38.5 to 17.5 9 Oklahoma State over 79 Baylor 45.5 to 24.5 73 Sam Houston State over 221 Northwestern State 49.0 to 21.0 140 San Diego over 252 Morehead State 49.0 to 10.5 24 South Dakota over 177 Indiana State 49.0 to 21.0 109 Southern Mississippi over 224 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 14.0 38 South Florida over 165 Massachusetts 49.0 to 24.5 46 Western Illinois over 223 Missouri State 49.0 to 14.0 136 Western Kentucky over 238 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 10.5 80-90% chance of victory: 95 Troy State over 176 South Alabama 31.5 to 17.5 161 Louisiana - Lafayette over 235 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 21.0 7 Washington over 78 Arizona State 42.0 to 21.0 65 Eastern Washington over 127 Montana State 42.0 to 28.0 91 Tulane over 212 Florida International 35.0 to 17.5 172 Hawaii over 233 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5 160 Southeast Louisiana over 243 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 21.0 39 Louisville over 105 Boston College 35.0 to 17.5 104 Mercer over 195 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 17.5 97 Montana over 164 North Dakota 42.0 to 24.5 8 Oklahoma over 33 Texas 42.0 to 28.0 60 Colorado over 179 Oregon State 38.5 to 21.0 120 Charleston Southern over 227 Presbyterian 31.5 to 17.5 36 South Dakota State over 92 Northern Iowa 38.5 to 21.0 117 Temple over 201 Connecticut 31.5 to 14.0 108 Western Carolina over 204 East Tennessee State 42.0 to 24.5 55 Western Michigan over 151 Akron 42.0 to 24.5 12 Wisconsin over 52 Purdue 38.5 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 61 Air Force over 123 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 31.5 111 Ohio over 206 Bowling Green 38.5 to 28.0 89 Princeton over 199 Brown 35.0 to 24.5 75 Toledo over 166 Central Michigan 42.0 to 31.5 15 James Madison over 35 Villanova 35.0 to 24.5 159 Nicholls State over 220 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 17.5 100 Northern Arizona over 196 Portland State 38.5 to 24.5 148 Duquesne over 226 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5 187 Southeast Missouri State over 208 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 17.5 20 Southern California over 54 Utah 31.5 to 21.0 45 Houston over 114 Tulsa 35.0 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 18 Washington State over 70 California 38.5 to 28.0 158 Alabama - Birmingham over 157 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0 168 Alcorn State over 188 Prairie View 35.0 to 28.0 44 Arizona over 49 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 38.5 94 Arkansas State over 154 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 28.0 101 Army over 134 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 17.5 167 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 205 Bryant 28.0 to 24.5 90 Northern Illinois over 126 Buffalo 31.5 to 28.0 197 Colgate over 210 Fordham 31.5 to 21.0 185 Bucknell over 214 Cornell 24.5 to 21.0 211 Dayton over 203 Campbell 24.5 to 21.0 121 Delaware over 122 William & Mary 21.0 to 17.5 241 Delaware State over 237 Howard 28.0 to 28.0 21 Florida State over 41 Duke 28.0 to 24.5 40 Florida over 48 Texas A&M 31.5 to 28.0 112 Fresno State over 118 New Mexico 31.5 to 28.0 147 Georgia Southern over 135 New Mexico State 35.0 to 31.5 81 Appalachian State over 180 Idaho 31.5 to 21.0 152 Illinois over 149 Rutgers 24.5 to 21.0 236 Lamar over 247 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 28.0 17 Michigan over 43 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0 14 Texas Christian over 42 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0 156 Miami - Ohio over 215 Kent State 21.0 to 17.5 181 Lehigh over 225 Georgetown 38.5 to 31.5 139 Liberty over 138 Kennesaw State 35.0 to 28.0 6 Auburn over 53 Louisiana State 24.5 to 17.5 125 Marshall over 171 Old Dominion 35.0 to 21.0 13 Miami - Florida over 27 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 21.0 77 Mississippi over 69 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 24.5 245 Morgan State over 249 Savannah State 21.0 to 17.5 200 Eastern Illinois over 218 Murray State 28.0 to 21.0 71 North Carolina over 68 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0 183 North Carolina Central over 209 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5 144 Northeast Louisiana over 162 Georgia State 31.5 to 28.0 88 Texas - San Antonio over 129 North Texas 31.5 to 28.0 37 North Carolina State over 82 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 28.0 170 Sacramento State over 194 Idaho State 42.0 to 35.0 113 Dartmouth over 173 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0 34 San Diego State over 56 Boise State 28.0 to 21.0 25 Stanford over 28 Oregon 38.5 to 31.5 246 Stetson over 254 Davidson 31.5 to 17.5 84 Stony Brook over 124 New Hampshire 28.0 to 24.5 67 Tennessee over 66 South Carolina 28.0 to 24.5 186 Tennessee State over 155 Austin Peay 28.0 to 24.5 232 Alabama State over 251 Texas Southern 21.0 to 14.0 131 The Citadel over 132 Wofford 24.5 to 24.5 83 Richmond over 175 Towson 31.5 to 24.5 115 Utah State over 137 Wyoming 35.0 to 28.0 231 Marist over 239 Valparaiso 31.5 to 31.5 213 Wagner over 182 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5 106 Weber State over 143 Southern Utah 31.5 to 24.5 29 West Virginia over 22 Texas Tech 45.5 to 42.0 96 Yale over 130 Holy Cross 38.5 to 28.0 11 North Dakota State over 26 Youngstown State 28.0 to 17.5 50-60% chance of victory: 192 Bethune - Cookman over 178 South Carolina State 21.0 to 21.0 234 Butler over 216 Jacksonville 31.5 to 31.5 153 Columbia over 142 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 28.0 59 Northwestern over 80 Maryland 31.5 to 31.5 50 Navy over 62 Memphis 38.5 to 38.5 47 Michigan State over 64 Minnesota 17.5 to 17.5 219 Norfolk State over 217 Hampton 21.0 to 21.0 99 Illinois State over 128 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
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