ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 81 Tennessee 45.5 to 7.0
135 Charleston Southern over 248 Savannah State 42.0 to 10.5
59 Jacksonville State over 200 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
150 McNeese State over 245 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 14.0
55 South Dakota State over 213 Missouri State 45.5 to 17.5
72 North Carolina A&T over 188 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 14.0
90 Sam Houston State over 242 Lamar 56.0 to 21.0
9 Texas Christian over 203 Kansas 56.0 to 10.5
97 Texas - San Antonio over 236 Rice 38.5 to 10.5
101 Western Carolina over 250 Virginia Military 49.0 to 17.5
17 Virginia Tech over 84 North Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
16 James Madison over 148 William & Mary 38.5 to 17.5
12 Wisconsin over 99 Maryland 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
83 Arkansas State over 160 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 24.5
95 Appalachian State over 180 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
7 Auburn over 70 Arkansas 35.0 to 17.5
52 Boise State over 142 Wyoming 35.0 to 17.5
87 Northern Illinois over 205 Bowling Green 35.0 to 21.0
216 Dayton over 254 Davidson 31.5 to 10.5
178 South Carolina State over 246 Delaware State 28.0 to 10.5
42 Duke over 88 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 21.0
20 Florida State over 49 Louisville 38.5 to 24.5
85 Southern Illinois over 198 Indiana State 38.5 to 24.5
124 Kennesaw State over 208 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 17.5
14 Miami - Florida over 64 Syracuse 38.5 to 17.5
65 Minnesota over 157 Illinois 28.0 to 14.0
23 Mississippi State over 77 Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5
13 North Dakota State over 50 Western Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
115 Central Arkansas over 207 Northwestern State 31.5 to 17.5
105 Ohio over 209 Kent State 35.0 to 17.5
71 Toledo over 147 Akron 38.5 to 24.5
34 South Florida over 132 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
141 Southeast Louisiana over 218 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 24.5
140 San Diego over 227 Jacksonville 38.5 to 24.5
8 Oklahoma over 47 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
133 New Hampshire over 199 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
163 Alabama - Birmingham over 237 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 21.0
92 Northern Arizona over 130 California - Davis 35.0 to 24.5
4 Penn State over 18 Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
37 Purdue over 129 Rutgers 31.5 to 21.0
39 Utah over 69 Arizona State 35.0 to 21.0
31 Washington State over 80 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
74 Houston over 62 Memphis 31.5 to 24.5
103 Marshall over 169 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
66 Air Force over 154 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 28.0
48 Colorado State over 131 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
134 Western Kentucky over 191 Old Dominion 31.5 to 21.0
102 Army over 139 Temple 24.5 to 21.0
155 Austin Peay over 167 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
185 Ball State over 176 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
24 West Virginia over 98 Baylor 38.5 to 28.0
189 Campbell over 232 Butler 28.0 to 21.0
121 Weber State over 172 California Poly 28.0 to 24.5
168 Central Connecticut over 215 Bryant 38.5 to 31.5
60 Southern Methodist over 151 Cincinnati 38.5 to 28.0
96 Tulsa over 187 Connecticut 42.0 to 31.5
120 Dartmouth over 137 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
122 Duquesne over 171 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 21.0
156 Brigham Young over 201 East Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
166 Tennessee - Martin over 202 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
68 Western Michigan over 123 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
106 Florida Atlantic over 116 North Texas 38.5 to 35.0
93 Furman over 108 Mercer 35.0 to 31.5
112 Troy State over 146 Georgia State 24.5 to 21.0
25 Georgia Tech over 36 Wake Forest 28.0 to 21.0
153 Grambling over 161 Alcorn State 35.0 to 24.5
220 Hampton over 217 Florida A&M 24.5 to 17.5
144 Holy Cross over 184 Colgate 24.5 to 21.0
214 Howard over 241 Morgan State 35.0 to 28.0
193 Idaho State over 206 Portland State 38.5 to 31.5
21 South Dakota over 111 Illinois State 35.0 to 24.5
181 Southern over 243 Jackson State 31.5 to 21.0
195 Bucknell over 230 Lafayette 24.5 to 17.5
100 Louisiana Tech over 114 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
170 Massachusetts over 162 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 28.0
113 Buffalo over 165 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
44 Michigan State over 38 Indiana 28.0 to 24.5
41 Louisiana State over 57 Mississippi 35.0 to 31.5
247 Houston Baptist over 253 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 24.5
128 Missouri over 177 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
118 Monmouth over 159 Liberty 35.0 to 28.0
244 Stetson over 252 Morehead State 35.0 to 28.0
19 Central Florida over 56 Navy 38.5 to 31.5
109 Nevada - Las Vegas over 125 Utah State 38.5 to 35.0
190 North Carolina Central over 225 Norfolk State 28.0 to 14.0
136 Montana State over 192 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
30 Youngstown State over 67 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
33 Iowa over 53 Northwestern 24.5 to 21.0
10 Notre Dame over 22 Southern California 35.0 to 28.0
63 Yale over 149 Pennsylvania 35.0 to 28.0
173 Sacred Heart over 239 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
43 San Diego State over 75 Fresno State 31.5 to 17.5
158 South Alabama over 152 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 31.5
73 Eastern Washington over 110 Southern Utah 38.5 to 31.5
233 Stephen F. Austin over 247 Houston Baptist 28.0 to 17.5
145 The Citadel over 197 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 24.5
3 Oklahoma State over 29 Texas 38.5 to 31.5
28 Texas Tech over 26 Iowa State 42.0 to 38.5
61 Virginia over 91 Boston College 28.0 to 21.0
127 Wofford over 119 Samford 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
78 Maine over 104 Albany 24.5 to 21.0
51 California over 35 Arizona 35.0 to 35.0
54 California - Los Angeles over 40 Oregon 42.0 to 42.0
212 Cornell over 219 Brown 24.5 to 24.5
107 Delaware over 79 Richmond 24.5 to 24.5
231 Georgetown over 211 Fordham 28.0 to 28.0
76 Princeton over 117 Harvard 28.0 to 28.0
238 Marist over 223 Drake 28.0 to 24.5
179 North Dakota over 138 Sacramento State 31.5 to 31.5
175 Rhode Island over 143 Elon 21.0 to 21.0
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