ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
98 Troy State over 208 Idaho 38.5 to 14.0
53 Yale over 234 Brown 38.5 to 10.5
1 Alabama over 29 Louisiana State 35.0 to 10.5
140 Grambling over 243 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 21.0
175 Bethune - Cookman over 241 Morgan State 35.0 to 14.0
50 California over 161 Oregon State 42.0 to 21.0
164 California Poly over 218 Portland State 38.5 to 24.5
196 Campbell over 253 Davidson 38.5 to 17.5
202 Dayton over 240 Marist 31.5 to 17.5
4 Georgia over 54 South Carolina 35.0 to 10.5
65 Youngstown State over 213 Indiana State 38.5 to 14.0
74 Jacksonville State over 227 Murray State 42.0 to 7.0
104 Central Arkansas over 249 Lamar 45.5 to 14.0
14 Mississippi State over 132 Massachusetts 45.5 to 17.5
106 Monmouth over 237 Presbyterian 38.5 to 14.0
186 Nicholls State over 254 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 7.0
91 North Carolina A&T over 231 Norfolk State 38.5 to 14.0
5 Notre Dame over 31 Wake Forest 38.5 to 21.0
23 James Madison over 150 Rhode Island 45.5 to 17.5
102 Sam Houston State over 247 Incarnate Word 63.0 to 21.0
121 San Diego over 233 Drake 38.5 to 10.5
69 San Diego State over 216 San Jose State 38.5 to 10.5
92 Southern Illinois over 181 Missouri State 42.0 to 21.0
182 Tennessee State over 254 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
119 Eastern Michigan over 220 Ball State 35.0 to 14.0
43 Toledo over 86 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
166 Alabama - Birmingham over 219 Rice 38.5 to 21.0
180 Alcorn State over 235 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 17.5
82 Arkansas over 200 Coastal Carolina 45.5 to 24.5
57 Boise State over 134 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 21.0
131 Dartmouth over 189 Cornell 31.5 to 17.5
211 East Tennessee State over 251 Virginia Military 28.0 to 14.0
60 Fresno State over 169 Brigham Young 31.5 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 36 Iowa 35.0 to 17.5
117 Baylor over 198 Kansas 38.5 to 24.5
26 Michigan over 80 Minnesota 28.0 to 14.0
3 Penn State over 39 Michigan State 31.5 to 17.5
172 Middle Tennessee State over 224 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 17.5
37 Purdue over 142 Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
11 Central Florida over 64 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 31.5
95 Southern Utah over 176 North Dakota 38.5 to 21.0
18 Georgia Tech over 99 Virginia 35.0 to 21.0
12 Washington over 47 Oregon 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
90 Ohio over 159 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 24.5
83 Western Michigan over 126 Central Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
112 Elon over 195 Towson 24.5 to 14.0
118 Nevada - Las Vegas over 177 Hawaii 38.5 to 31.5
6 Clemson over 28 North Carolina State 31.5 to 17.5
187 Old Dominion over 238 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 21.0
205 Butler over 250 Stetson 31.5 to 21.0
94 Tennessee over 153 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 17.5
8 Auburn over 38 Texas A&M 35.0 to 24.5
144 New Mexico State over 225 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 24.5
61 Villanova over 93 Richmond 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
46 Navy over 124 Temple 31.5 to 28.0
67 Florida Atlantic over 103 Marshall 38.5 to 31.5
44 Memphis over 114 Tulsa 45.5 to 38.5
75 Utah over 40 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 31.5
58 Air Force over 107 Army 38.5 to 31.5
68 Arizona State over 77 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
184 Sacred Heart over 206 Bryant 35.0 to 31.5
201 Bucknell over 188 Lehigh 38.5 to 35.0
199 Eastern Illinois over 185 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
85 Eastern Washington over 101 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
215 Florida A&M over 192 Howard 31.5 to 31.5
109 Texas - San Antonio over 168 Florida International 28.0 to 17.5
56 Florida State over 48 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
167 Holy Cross over 210 Fordham 31.5 to 28.0
147 Charleston Southern over 223 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
236 Georgetown over 230 Lafayette 21.0 to 17.5
163 Georgia State over 197 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 24.5
127 California - Davis over 173 Idaho State 38.5 to 31.5
59 Illinois State over 55 Western Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
15 Wisconsin over 49 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0
228 Alabama State over 244 Jackson State 17.5 to 14.0
226 Jacksonville over 221 Valparaiso 42.0 to 38.5
115 Duquesne over 157 Liberty 35.0 to 28.0
116 Louisiana Tech over 136 North Texas 45.5 to 35.0
158 McNeese State over 143 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 31.5
113 Mercer over 133 Samford 31.5 to 24.5
9 Virginia Tech over 22 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 21.0
100 Montana over 62 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 35.0
122 Utah State over 162 New Mexico 28.0 to 28.0
72 Maine over 111 Delaware 24.5 to 21.0
108 Appalachian State over 155 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 28.0
19 South Dakota over 51 Northern Iowa 35.0 to 28.0
209 Northwestern State over 229 Abilene Christian 28.0 to 21.0
7 Oklahoma State over 10 Oklahoma 42.0 to 35.0
71 Princeton over 148 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 28.0
145 Sacramento State over 190 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 31.5
242 Savannah State over 245 Delaware State 28.0 to 24.5
160 South Alabama over 178 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5
17 North Dakota State over 30 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
154 Southeast Missouri State over 170 Tennessee - Martin 21.0 to 17.5
193 Southern over 194 Prairie View 35.0 to 31.5
25 Southern California over 24 Arizona 38.5 to 35.0
35 South Florida over 76 Houston 31.5 to 24.5
87 Stony Brook over 135 Albany 24.5 to 14.0
139 Austin Peay over 214 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 21.0
13 Texas Christian over 21 Texas 28.0 to 17.5
34 Texas Tech over 45 Kansas State 38.5 to 31.5
128 Western Carolina over 171 The Citadel 31.5 to 28.0
138 Tulane over 149 Cincinnati 28.0 to 21.0
96 Vanderbilt over 156 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
217 Wagner over 239 Robert Morris 24.5 to 14.0
146 Wofford over 183 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 17.5
73 Colorado State over 110 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
222 Kent State over 203 Bowling Green 24.5 to 21.0
165 Central Connecticut over 179 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 24.5
125 Columbia over 137 Harvard 24.5 to 24.5
174 East Carolina over 212 Connecticut 31.5 to 31.5
207 Hampton over 191 North Carolina Central 24.5 to 21.0
88 Kentucky over 81 Mississippi 35.0 to 35.0
248 Texas Southern over 246 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 28.0
52 Florida over 78 Missouri 31.5 to 28.0
130 Kennesaw State over 141 Montana State 24.5 to 24.5
42 Northwestern over 84 Nebraska 28.0 to 28.0
89 Maryland over 105 Rutgers 28.0 to 28.0
20 Stanford over 33 Washington State 28.0 to 28.0
27 West Virginia over 16 Iowa State 31.5 to 31.5
129 New Hampshire over 152 William & Mary 21.0 to 21.0
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