ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
99 Western Michigan over 238 Kent State 38.5 to 10.5
78 Northern Illinois over 226 Ball State 42.0 to 14.0
113 Sam Houston State over 224 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 24.5
171 Alcorn State over 249 Mississippi Valley State 49.0 to 17.5
30 Arizona over 150 Oregon State 52.5 to 28.0
14 Central Florida over 204 Connecticut 49.0 to 10.5
7 Clemson over 56 Florida State 35.0 to 10.5
114 San Diego over 252 Davidson 45.5 to 10.5
106 Central Arkansas over 247 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 17.5
44 Western Illinois over 212 Indiana State 49.0 to 21.0
73 Mississippi over 175 Louisiana - Lafayette 45.5 to 24.5
104 Monmouth over 220 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 17.5
110 Montana over 197 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 24.5
81 North Carolina A&T over 239 Savannah State 49.0 to 10.5
6 Ohio State over 32 Michigan State 38.5 to 17.5
3 Penn State over 105 Rutgers 42.0 to 10.5
119 Samford over 211 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 14.0
22 Texas over 203 Kansas 45.5 to 7.0
39 Texas A&M over 183 New Mexico 42.0 to 17.5
148 Wofford over 251 Virginia Military 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
115 Appalachian State over 200 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 17.5
144 Dartmouth over 228 Brown 28.0 to 10.5
79 Furman over 180 The Citadel 35.0 to 21.0
72 Fresno State over 186 Hawaii 35.0 to 21.0
19 James Madison over 58 Richmond 42.0 to 24.5
122 Colgate over 229 Lafayette 28.0 to 14.0
160 Liberty over 227 Presbyterian 31.5 to 14.0
33 Louisiana State over 103 Arkansas 38.5 to 21.0
243 Marist over 253 Morehead State 42.0 to 28.0
28 Michigan over 92 Maryland 35.0 to 24.5
165 McNeese State over 214 Northwestern State 31.5 to 14.0
42 Northern Iowa over 158 Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
149 Nevada - Reno over 225 San Jose State 42.0 to 24.5
54 Northern Arizona over 147 Montana State 31.5 to 17.5
132 North Texas over 230 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 21.0
100 Weber State over 215 Portland State 38.5 to 17.5
198 Prairie View over 240 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 24.5
153 Southern Mississippi over 223 Rice 31.5 to 17.5
21 South Dakota State over 68 Illinois State 35.0 to 21.0
77 Stony Brook over 208 Wagner 35.0 to 14.0
194 Southern over 245 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
135 Buffalo over 187 Bowling Green 35.0 to 24.5
202 Campbell over 234 Drake 31.5 to 21.0
124 Duquesne over 145 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 28.0
185 Howard over 235 Norfolk State 35.0 to 24.5
231 Jacksonville over 250 Stetson 35.0 to 24.5
47 Louisville over 85 Virginia 42.0 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 16 Mississippi State 31.5 to 17.5
35 Texas Tech over 108 Baylor 42.0 to 31.5
94 Eastern Washington over 174 North Dakota 42.0 to 31.5
87 Villanova over 159 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
66 Arkansas State over 176 South Alabama 31.5 to 17.5
69 Jacksonville State over 172 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 14.0
162 Georgia State over 218 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 17.5
13 Wisconsin over 20 Iowa 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
43 Toledo over 74 Ohio 42.0 to 38.5
71 Pittsburgh over 95 North Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
109 Temple over 143 Cincinnati 24.5 to 21.0
128 Nevada - Las Vegas over 152 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
10 Washington over 25 Stanford 24.5 to 17.5
237 Alabama A&M over 246 Jackson State 24.5 to 17.5
155 Grambling over 221 Alabama State 28.0 to 17.5
59 Duke over 75 Army 24.5 to 21.0
5 Auburn over 2 Georgia 28.0 to 21.0
27 North Carolina State over 36 Boston College 24.5 to 24.5
217 Bucknell over 241 Georgetown 21.0 to 14.0
206 Butler over 222 Valparaiso 35.0 to 24.5
60 California - Los Angeles over 55 Arizona State 38.5 to 35.0
117 Troy State over 178 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
23 Southern California over 82 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
48 Boise State over 86 Colorado State 31.5 to 28.0
134 Columbia over 192 Cornell 24.5 to 17.5
93 Delaware over 136 Albany 21.0 to 14.0
138 Tulane over 173 East Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
157 Florida International over 191 Old Dominion 28.0 to 21.0
11 Virginia Tech over 24 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
130 Harvard over 133 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 24.5
248 Lamar over 254 Houston Baptist 28.0 to 21.0
63 Indiana over 131 Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
9 Oklahoma State over 15 Iowa State 31.5 to 28.0
49 Kansas State over 31 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
126 Kennesaw State over 168 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0
65 Florida Atlantic over 129 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 35.0
96 Marshall over 163 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
4 Notre Dame over 17 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 28.0
80 Minnesota over 83 Nebraska 28.0 to 21.0
50 Missouri over 90 Tennessee 35.0 to 28.0
67 Navy over 53 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 35.0
112 New Hampshire over 120 Elon 31.5 to 24.5
84 Maine over 118 Massachusetts 35.0 to 24.5
193 North Carolina Central over 179 Bethune - Cookman 24.5 to 21.0
169 Middle Tennessee State over 236 North Carolina - Charlot 24.5 to 14.0
18 North Dakota State over 26 South Dakota 35.0 to 24.5
37 Northwestern over 46 Purdue 24.5 to 21.0
8 Oklahoma over 12 Texas Christian 35.0 to 28.0
201 Bryant over 242 Robert Morris 28.0 to 21.0
189 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 188 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
41 South Carolina over 89 Florida 28.0 to 17.5
205 South Carolina State over 213 Hampton 21.0 to 10.5
57 Youngstown State over 111 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
207 Nicholls State over 232 Stephen F. Austin 28.0 to 24.5
154 Tennessee State over 161 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
137 Texas - San Antonio over 141 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 24.5
102 Vanderbilt over 91 Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
121 Western Carolina over 125 Mercer 31.5 to 28.0
170 William & Mary over 181 Towson 21.0 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
151 Akron over 164 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
98 Eastern Michigan over 123 Central Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
116 Air Force over 101 Wyoming 28.0 to 28.0
97 California - Davis over 88 Southern Utah 31.5 to 31.5
167 California Poly over 127 Sacramento State 31.5 to 31.5
233 Morgan State over 244 Delaware State 28.0 to 28.0
140 Austin Peay over 184 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
177 Lehigh over 166 Holy Cross 42.0 to 42.0
219 Murray State over 209 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 24.5
51 Yale over 76 Princeton 31.5 to 31.5
29 Wake Forest over 40 Syracuse 31.5 to 31.5
34 Washington State over 52 Utah 24.5 to 24.5
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