ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
101 Central Michigan over 233 Kent State 35.0 to 14.0
65 Toledo over 178 Bowling Green 42.0 to 24.5
44 South Florida over 128 Tulsa 45.5 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 124 Mercer 42.0 to 7.0
79 Arkansas State over 207 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 17.5
2 Auburn over 154 Northeast Louisiana 59.5 to 14.0
38 Boise State over 127 Air Force 42.0 to 21.0
100 Central Arkansas over 220 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 14.0
131 Central Connecticut over 245 Robert Morris 38.5 to 10.5
8 Clemson over 190 The Citadel 45.5 to 3.5
88 Colorado State over 230 San Jose State 49.0 to 21.0
97 Eastern Washington over 221 Portland State 52.5 to 24.5
48 Florida State over 241 Delaware State 49.0 to 7.0
6 Georgia over 83 Kentucky 42.0 to 14.0
5 Oklahoma over 197 Kansas 56.0 to 17.5
149 McNeese State over 248 Lamar 38.5 to 14.0
168 Lehigh over 239 Lafayette 42.0 to 24.5
10 Miami - Florida over 87 Virginia 38.5 to 14.0
35 Boston College over 189 Connecticut 35.0 to 10.5
45 Northern Iowa over 227 Indiana State 49.0 to 10.5
9 Notre Dame over 71 Navy 45.5 to 24.5
3 Ohio State over 135 Illinois 49.0 to 10.5
7 Oklahoma State over 50 Kansas State 45.5 to 24.5
4 Penn State over 98 Nebraska 45.5 to 14.0
57 Richmond over 182 William & Mary 35.0 to 14.0
117 Sam Houston State over 254 Houston Baptist 59.5 to 7.0
94 San Diego over 242 Marist 49.0 to 10.5
14 Virginia Tech over 82 Pittsburgh 38.5 to 14.0
11 Washington over 59 Utah 31.5 to 10.5
78 Weber State over 188 Idaho State 42.0 to 17.5
52 Youngstown State over 163 Missouri State 42.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
134 Buffalo over 232 Ball State 38.5 to 21.0
196 Prairie View over 247 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 24.5
77 Jacksonville State over 150 Tennessee State 35.0 to 17.5
16 Mississippi State over 115 Arkansas 38.5 to 24.5
17 Iowa State over 108 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
133 Columbia over 224 Brown 28.0 to 10.5
26 James Madison over 130 Elon 35.0 to 14.0
51 Florida Atlantic over 164 Florida International 42.0 to 21.0
99 Colgate over 244 Georgetown 28.0 to 7.0
146 Alcorn State over 243 Jackson State 31.5 to 14.0
40 Michigan State over 102 Maryland 38.5 to 21.0
225 Alabama State over 252 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
105 North Carolina A&T over 195 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 14.0
125 Pennsylvania over 194 Cornell 31.5 to 17.5
62 San Diego State over 132 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 21.0
49 South Carolina over 155 Wofford 31.5 to 14.0
162 Southeast Missouri State over 219 Murray State 31.5 to 17.5
159 Southern Mississippi over 226 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 14.0
20 Stanford over 58 California 35.0 to 21.0
18 Central Florida over 103 Temple 38.5 to 21.0
179 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 222 East Tennessee State 31.5 to 14.0
143 Louisiana Tech over 235 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 17.5
119 Utah State over 171 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
39 Western Illinois over 112 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
53 Yale over 151 Harvard 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
148 Southeast Louisiana over 203 Nicholls State 35.0 to 24.5
129 Duquesne over 192 Bryant 38.5 to 28.0
216 Drake over 240 Jacksonville 35.0 to 24.5
19 Georgia Tech over 72 Duke 28.0 to 21.0
84 Florida over 139 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 21.0
12 North Dakota State over 55 Illinois State 28.0 to 17.5
43 Memphis over 60 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 38.5
183 Old Dominion over 215 Rice 35.0 to 24.5
61 Arizona State over 136 Oregon State 38.5 to 28.0
23 Southern California over 64 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 31.5
25 Louisiana State over 116 Tennessee 28.0 to 17.5
13 Wisconsin over 24 Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
54 Ohio over 165 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
104 Eastern Michigan over 158 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
75 Northern Illinois over 92 Western Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
142 Nevada - Las Vegas over 198 New Mexico 28.0 to 28.0
160 Western Kentucky over 167 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0
111 New Hampshire over 156 Albany 21.0 to 21.0
141 Austin Peay over 199 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
76 Princeton over 137 Dartmouth 31.5 to 28.0
206 Fordham over 218 Bucknell 28.0 to 21.0
169 South Alabama over 204 Georgia Southern 24.5 to 21.0
66 Indiana over 91 Rutgers 31.5 to 21.0
27 Iowa over 47 Purdue 24.5 to 17.5
109 Kennesaw State over 113 Monmouth 31.5 to 28.0
153 New Mexico State over 187 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 35.0
42 Louisville over 46 Syracuse 42.0 to 35.0
81 Stony Brook over 106 Maine 28.0 to 24.5
37 Texas A&M over 70 Mississippi 42.0 to 38.5
96 Montana over 138 Montana State 28.0 to 24.5
251 Morehead State over 253 Davidson 38.5 to 35.0
176 Bethune - Cookman over 212 Florida A&M 28.0 to 21.0
110 North Carolina over 123 Western Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
186 California Poly over 201 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 28.0
74 Army over 126 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
36 Northwestern over 69 Minnesota 28.0 to 21.0
217 Northwestern State over 236 Stephen F. Austin 28.0 to 21.0
93 Sacramento State over 120 California - Davis 38.5 to 31.5
177 Sacred Heart over 208 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
63 Furman over 118 Samford 31.5 to 28.0
202 South Carolina State over 231 Savannah State 28.0 to 17.5
73 Southern Utah over 68 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
172 Tennessee - Martin over 210 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 17.5
15 Texas Christian over 41 Texas Tech 35.0 to 28.0
166 Towson over 147 Rhode Island 24.5 to 24.5
67 Houston over 145 Tulane 28.0 to 17.5
205 Dayton over 211 Valparaiso 31.5 to 24.5
34 Missouri over 122 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 31.5
114 Villanova over 86 Delaware 17.5 to 14.0
21 Wake Forest over 31 North Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
30 West Virginia over 29 Texas 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
89 Massachusetts over 140 Brigham Young 28.0 to 28.0
191 Charleston Southern over 161 Liberty 28.0 to 28.0
157 Cincinnati over 173 East Carolina 31.5 to 31.5
174 Eastern Kentucky over 200 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 21.0 to 21.0
214 Hampton over 185 Howard 28.0 to 28.0
193 Idaho over 181 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 31.5
228 Norfolk State over 234 Morgan State 24.5 to 24.5
238 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 246 Texas Southern 28.0 to 28.0
56 Oregon over 28 Arizona 42.0 to 42.0
223 Gardner - Webb over 229 Presbyterian 17.5 to 17.5
32 South Dakota over 22 South Dakota State 35.0 to 35.0
95 Marshall over 144 Texas - San Antonio 24.5 to 24.5
90 Wyoming over 80 Fresno State 21.0 to 21.0
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