ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
67 San Diego State over 185 New Mexico 35.0 to 10.5
13 Texas Christian over 101 Baylor 38.5 to 10.5
110 Troy State over 206 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 14.0
159 Alabama - Birmingham over 236 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 17.5
6 Penn State over 95 Maryland 45.5 to 21.0
32 Memphis over 162 East Carolina 56.0 to 31.5
35 South Dakota over 201 Nicholls State 42.0 to 17.5
44 Florida Atlantic over 234 North Carolina - Charlot 49.0 to 17.5
8 Oklahoma State over 190 Kansas 59.5 to 17.5
48 Oregon over 139 Oregon State 45.5 to 24.5
89 Wyoming over 229 San Jose State 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
154 Akron over 230 Kent State 31.5 to 10.5
114 Eastern Michigan over 177 Bowling Green 38.5 to 24.5
17 Mississippi State over 69 Mississippi 42.0 to 24.5
15 Central Florida over 58 South Florida 42.0 to 28.0
9 Miami - Florida over 71 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 17.5
25 Texas over 56 Texas Tech 35.0 to 24.5
16 Virginia Tech over 86 Virginia 35.0 to 17.5
30 Northwestern over 136 Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
10 Wisconsin over 92 Minnesota 31.5 to 14.0
5 Oklahoma over 40 West Virginia 45.5 to 28.0
7 Clemson over 54 South Carolina 28.0 to 14.0
72 Stony Brook over 174 Lehigh 49.0 to 31.5
14 Washington over 36 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
156 Miami - Ohio over 232 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
60 Toledo over 98 Western Michigan 42.0 to 35.0
28 North Carolina State over 76 North Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
144 Grambling over 188 Southern 38.5 to 28.0
112 North Texas over 212 Rice 45.5 to 31.5
70 Southern Methodist over 140 Tulane 38.5 to 28.0
199 Prairie View over 244 Texas Southern 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
24 Missouri over 108 Arkansas 45.5 to 35.0
64 Ohio over 129 Buffalo 38.5 to 31.5
63 California - Los Angeles over 62 California 35.0 to 31.5
78 Northern Illinois over 109 Central Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
82 Houston over 55 Navy 28.0 to 24.5
31 Iowa over 87 Nebraska 35.0 to 24.5
91 Utah State over 126 Air Force 31.5 to 31.5
1 Alabama over 3 Auburn 24.5 to 24.5
176 Cincinnati over 182 Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
73 Furman over 132 Elon 31.5 to 24.5
34 Boise State over 81 Fresno State 28.0 to 21.0
117 Appalachian State over 168 Georgia State 28.0 to 21.0
4 Georgia over 26 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
146 Brigham Young over 194 Hawaii 24.5 to 17.5
83 Kennesaw State over 111 Samford 28.0 to 17.5
22 Louisville over 79 Kentucky 38.5 to 31.5
181 Louisiana - Lafayette over 171 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 31.5
27 Louisiana State over 37 Texas A&M 31.5 to 24.5
148 Louisiana Tech over 145 Texas - San Antonio 24.5 to 21.0
102 Marshall over 138 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
2 Ohio State over 29 Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
169 Middle Tennessee State over 196 Old Dominion 31.5 to 21.0
131 Nevada - Reno over 137 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 35.0
121 New Hampshire over 123 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
143 New Mexico State over 205 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
84 Arkansas State over 133 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 31.5
106 San Diego over 90 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
43 Purdue over 46 Indiana 28.0 to 21.0
50 Michigan State over 119 Rutgers 24.5 to 14.0
38 Boston College over 66 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
118 Tennessee over 134 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0
52 Utah over 74 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
21 Wake Forest over 57 Duke 31.5 to 24.5
39 Western Illinois over 75 Weber State 24.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
163 Western Kentucky over 166 Florida International 31.5 to 28.0
41 Arizona over 61 Arizona State 42.0 to 38.5
80 Florida over 47 Florida State 21.0 to 21.0
19 Iowa State over 42 Kansas State 28.0 to 24.5
12 Notre Dame over 23 Stanford 28.0 to 24.5
104 Temple over 128 Tulsa 31.5 to 31.5
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