ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 99 Appalachian State over 186 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 21.0 80-90% chance of victory: 19 James Madison over 75 Stony Brook 35.0 to 17.5 53 Toledo over 159 Akron 38.5 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 39 Boise State over 65 Fresno State 31.5 to 17.5 56 Florida Atlantic over 102 North Texas 49.0 to 35.0 12 North Dakota State over 72 San Diego 35.0 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 15 Stanford over 32 Southern California 28.0 to 24.5 80 Arkansas State over 85 Troy State 31.5 to 28.0 90 Central Arkansas over 105 New Hampshire 24.5 to 21.0 13 Central Florida over 23 Memphis 45.5 to 38.5 177 Coastal Carolina over 157 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 28.0 174 Georgia State over 199 Idaho 24.5 to 21.0 64 Jacksonville State over 79 Kennesaw State 28.0 to 21.0 7 Clemson over 14 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 21.0 163 New Mexico State over 194 South Alabama 28.0 to 24.5 148 Grambling over 158 Alcorn State 31.5 to 28.0 6 Ohio State over 8 Wisconsin 31.5 to 28.0 46 South Dakota over 118 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 38.5 24 South Dakota State over 35 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 24.5 60 Southern Utah over 69 Weber State 28.0 to 24.5 73 Furman over 141 Wofford 35.0 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 4 Auburn over 2 Georgia 24.5 to 24.5 11 Texas Christian over 5 Oklahoma 28.0 to 28.0
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