ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
33 Hawaii over 174 Rice 63.0 to 35.0
100 Jacksonville State over 253 Mississippi Valley State 52.5 to 7.0
17 Miami - Florida over 241 Savannah State 56.0 to 7.0
38 Oregon over 231 Portland State 63.0 to 21.0
109 Utah State over 240 New Mexico State 45.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 88 Arkansas State 49.0 to 10.5
7 Auburn over 225 Alabama State 45.5 to 7.0
13 Central Florida over 213 South Carolina State 49.0 to 10.5
23 Louisville over 207 Indiana State 56.0 to 21.0
43 Missouri over 148 Wyoming 42.0 to 21.0
14 Notre Dame over 208 Ball State 52.5 to 14.0
2 Ohio State over 130 Rutgers 49.0 to 10.5
3 Oklahoma over 64 California - Los Angeles 56.0 to 28.0
8 Oklahoma State over 178 South Alabama 52.5 to 14.0
46 Texas Tech over 244 Lamar 59.5 to 21.0
9 Washington over 168 North Dakota 45.5 to 10.5
40 Washington State over 217 San Jose State 56.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
104 Kennesaw State over 211 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 17.5
11 Texas Christian over 106 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 24.5
159 Akron over 243 Morgan State 42.0 to 21.0
82 Army over 140 Liberty 35.0 to 28.0
180 Austin Peay over 230 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
201 Bethune - Cookman over 255 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 14.0
34 Boise State over 187 Connecticut 45.5 to 14.0
47 Boston College over 175 Holy Cross 38.5 to 17.5
101 Maryland over 184 Bowling Green 42.0 to 31.5
60 California over 135 Brigham Young 28.0 to 21.0
89 Weber State over 204 California Poly 31.5 to 17.5
112 Central Arkansas over 222 Murray State 42.0 to 17.5
122 Central Michigan over 183 Kansas 38.5 to 24.5
71 Arkansas over 195 Colorado State 42.0 to 24.5
116 Delaware over 236 Lafayette 35.0 to 10.5
227 Duquesne over 229 Valparaiso 45.5 to 31.5
69 North Carolina over 171 East Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
54 Florida over 75 Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
35 Florida State over 114 Samford 35.0 to 21.0
155 Georgia Southern over 145 Massachusetts 42.0 to 38.5
165 McNeese State over 255 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 14.0
59 Western Illinois over 136 Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
83 Illinois State over 200 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
49 Indiana over 93 Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
85 Villanova over 161 Lehigh 38.5 to 28.0
90 Louisiana Tech over 196 Southern 42.0 to 28.0
18 Louisiana State over 154 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 14.0
110 Marshall over 181 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
138 Mercer over 238 Jacksonville 45.5 to 28.0
21 Michigan over 91 Western Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
51 Mississippi over 111 Southern Illinois 42.0 to 31.5
143 Monmouth over 212 Hampton 38.5 to 24.5
99 Montana over 205 Drake 42.0 to 24.5
20 James Madison over 218 Norfolk State 45.5 to 14.0
94 North Carolina A&T over 216 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 10.5
28 North Carolina State over 167 Georgia State 38.5 to 14.0
115 North Texas over 246 Incarnate Word 56.0 to 28.0
42 Utah over 105 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
31 Northwestern over 44 Duke 28.0 to 21.0
150 Grambling over 220 Northwestern State 35.0 to 21.0
86 Southern Utah over 163 Oregon State 38.5 to 28.0
5 Penn State over 57 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 24.5
53 Purdue over 117 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
81 Richmond over 203 Fordham 42.0 to 24.5
97 Sam Houston State over 107 Prairie View 49.0 to 45.5
63 San Diego State over 124 Sacramento State 42.0 to 28.0
6 Georgia over 50 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
56 South Dakota over 186 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 24.5
26 South Dakota State over 131 Montana State 45.5 to 21.0
118 Southern Mississippi over 139 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 31.5
192 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 249 Delaware State 35.0 to 10.5
16 Stanford over 24 Southern California 31.5 to 24.5
113 Stony Brook over 179 Bryant 38.5 to 24.5
68 Syracuse over 202 Wagner 42.0 to 24.5
74 Temple over 132 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0
98 Tennessee over 223 East Tennessee State 42.0 to 17.5
162 Tennessee State over 248 Jackson State 31.5 to 14.0
29 Texas over 102 Tulsa 42.0 to 21.0
4 Clemson over 32 Texas A&M 38.5 to 28.0
80 Baylor over 137 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 21.0
84 Troy State over 210 Florida A&M 42.0 to 21.0
129 Tulane over 189 Nicholls State 31.5 to 24.5
92 San Diego over 127 California - Davis 38.5 to 31.5
61 Appalachian State over 221 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 14.0
133 Nevada - Las Vegas over 232 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 21.0
96 Vanderbilt over 121 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0
15 Virginia Tech over 166 William & Mary 35.0 to 10.5
36 Wake Forest over 160 Towson 38.5 to 21.0
39 West Virginia over 62 Youngstown State 31.5 to 24.5
108 Maine over 144 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
10 Wisconsin over 157 New Mexico 45.5 to 10.5
128 Wofford over 251 Virginia Military 42.0 to 7.0
50-60% chance of victory:
234 North Alabama over 237 Alabama A&M 52.5 to 52.5
41 Michigan State over 58 Arizona State 31.5 to 31.5
190 Sacred Heart over 224 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
156 Coastal Carolina over 147 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 31.5
103 Furman over 153 Elon 31.5 to 28.0
72 Florida Atlantic over 95 Air Force 38.5 to 35.0
235 Georgetown over 214 Campbell 28.0 to 24.5
66 Houston over 55 Arizona 38.5 to 35.0
25 Iowa over 27 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
37 Kansas State over 19 Mississippi State 28.0 to 28.0
206 Howard over 209 Kent State 28.0 to 28.0
151 Miami - Ohio over 158 Cincinnati 28.0 to 24.5
164 Tennessee - Martin over 146 Middle Tennessee State 24.5 to 24.5
79 Minnesota over 67 Fresno State 28.0 to 24.5
22 Memphis over 48 Navy 42.0 to 38.5
87 Nebraska over 70 Colorado 35.0 to 35.0
119 New Hampshire over 126 Colgate 24.5 to 21.0
78 Eastern Washington over 120 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 35.0
152 Florida International over 193 Old Dominion 31.5 to 28.0
149 Albany over 169 Rhode Island 24.5 to 21.0
176 Southeast Missouri State over 199 Dayton 24.5 to 24.5
45 South Florida over 30 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 31.5
226 Texas State - San Marcos over 245 Texas Southern 31.5 to 28.0
177 The Citadel over 188 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 21.0
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