ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
17 Miami - Florida over 100 North Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
27 Memphis over 145 Tulane 45.5 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 173 Louisiana - Lafayette 63.0 to 3.5
45 Arizona State over 154 Oregon State 45.5 to 24.5
7 Auburn over 134 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 7.0
216 Butler over 251 Morehead State 42.0 to 24.5
83 Montana over 189 California Poly 38.5 to 24.5
102 Florida International over 252 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 52.5 to 17.5
118 Wofford over 240 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 14.0
4 Georgia over 112 Tennessee 42.0 to 10.5
54 Georgia Tech over 208 Bowling Green 52.5 to 21.0
170 Holy Cross over 220 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
60 Jacksonville State over 147 Austin Peay 42.0 to 24.5
11 Oklahoma State over 106 Kansas 42.0 to 24.5
105 North Carolina A&T over 233 South Carolina State 24.5 to 0.0
21 Texas A&M over 137 Arkansas 45.5 to 21.0
6 Oklahoma over 78 Baylor 49.0 to 24.5
128 Southern Methodist over 255 Houston Baptist 63.0 to 21.0
135 Mercer over 239 Virginia Military 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
56 Northern Iowa over 207 Indiana State 45.5 to 17.5
92 Air Force over 142 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 31.5
38 Appalachian State over 159 South Alabama 42.0 to 14.0
20 Central Florida over 95 Pittsburgh 45.5 to 28.0
5 Clemson over 39 Syracuse 42.0 to 24.5
110 Cincinnati over 200 Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
133 East Carolina over 172 Old Dominion 42.0 to 31.5
71 Kennesaw State over 129 Samford 35.0 to 21.0
10 Louisiana State over 36 Mississippi 38.5 to 21.0
164 McNeese State over 245 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 10.5
41 Michigan State over 152 Central Michigan 35.0 to 10.5
162 Nicholls State over 243 Lamar 38.5 to 14.0
98 Ohio over 179 Massachusetts 49.0 to 31.5
14 James Madison over 94 Richmond 38.5 to 24.5
51 Indiana over 185 Rutgers 35.0 to 17.5
81 Wake Forest over 182 Rice 45.5 to 28.0
9 Washington over 66 Brigham Young 28.0 to 10.5
26 Boise State over 169 Wyoming 38.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
158 Alabama - Birmingham over 214 North Carolina - Charlot 38.5 to 21.0
141 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 217 East Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
195 Central Connecticut over 249 Lafayette 28.0 to 17.5
96 Western Michigan over 175 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 24.5
213 Norfolk State over 250 Delaware State 35.0 to 17.5
8 Michigan over 53 Northwestern 31.5 to 17.5
116 San Diego over 248 Stetson 42.0 to 14.0
80 Hawaii over 205 San Jose State 45.5 to 28.0
191 Bethune - Cookman over 247 Savannah State 35.0 to 21.0
160 Alcorn State over 206 Southern 35.0 to 28.0
18 Texas Christian over 33 Iowa State 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
55 Colorado over 97 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 24.5
50 Princeton over 140 Columbia 38.5 to 24.5
119 Harvard over 143 Rhode Island 38.5 to 21.0
227 Abilene Christian over 236 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 24.5
47 Southern California over 85 Arizona 35.0 to 31.5
176 Ball State over 181 Kent State 28.0 to 24.5
48 Boston College over 59 Temple 31.5 to 21.0
224 Brown over 230 Georgetown 17.5 to 17.5
151 Sacred Heart over 194 Cornell 31.5 to 24.5
114 Dartmouth over 123 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 24.5
24 Duke over 28 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
93 Eastern Michigan over 125 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
107 Elon over 150 New Hampshire 24.5 to 17.5
49 Fresno State over 69 Toledo 38.5 to 31.5
90 Arkansas State over 139 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 28.0
178 Charleston Southern over 226 Hampton 28.0 to 21.0
198 Idaho over 228 Portland State 38.5 to 31.5
177 Northern Arizona over 196 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
244 Jackson State over 241 Alabama A&M 21.0 to 10.5
203 Drake over 237 Jacksonville 35.0 to 31.5
31 Texas over 75 Kansas State 24.5 to 24.5
58 Florida State over 73 Louisville 24.5 to 24.5
202 Dayton over 246 Marist 35.0 to 24.5
99 Florida Atlantic over 156 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 31.5
19 Mississippi State over 35 Florida 31.5 to 21.0
65 Illinois State over 166 Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
174 Monmouth over 211 Wagner 38.5 to 28.0
72 Eastern Washington over 122 Montana State 38.5 to 35.0
163 Tennessee - Martin over 229 Murray State 31.5 to 21.0
64 Purdue over 108 Nebraska 31.5 to 28.0
197 North Carolina Central over 219 Florida A&M 28.0 to 17.5
29 North Carolina State over 68 Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
15 North Dakota State over 12 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
171 Northern Colorado over 186 North Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
42 North Texas over 84 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 31.5
127 Prairie View over 192 Grambling 35.0 to 28.0
2 Penn State over 3 Ohio State 42.0 to 38.5
130 Sam Houston State over 136 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
180 Southeast Louisiana over 201 Northwestern State 35.0 to 24.5
77 South Dakota over 113 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
86 Stony Brook over 70 Villanova 24.5 to 21.0
193 Texas - San Antonio over 238 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 14.0
23 West Virginia over 32 Texas Tech 42.0 to 38.5
131 Towson over 155 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
103 Troy State over 126 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
223 Valparaiso over 253 Davidson 38.5 to 24.5
63 Vanderbilt over 148 Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
30 Washington State over 44 Utah 28.0 to 21.0
88 Western Illinois over 101 Youngstown State 28.0 to 24.5
121 Western Kentucky over 115 Marshall 28.0 to 24.5
109 Colgate over 183 William & Mary 24.5 to 14.0
89 Yale over 104 Maine 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
62 Army over 79 Buffalo 28.0 to 28.0
61 California over 46 Oregon 35.0 to 35.0
218 Campbell over 212 North Alabama 45.5 to 42.0
149 Furman over 146 Western Carolina 38.5 to 35.0
188 Georgia State over 161 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 28.0
43 Kentucky over 34 South Carolina 24.5 to 24.5
157 New Mexico over 153 Liberty 31.5 to 31.5
13 Stanford over 25 Notre Dame 24.5 to 24.5
209 Eastern Illinois over 225 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 31.5
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