ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
135 Austin Peay over 239 Tennessee Tech 49.0 to 24.5
66 Colgate over 227 Georgetown 31.5 to 3.5
48 Colorado over 171 Oregon State 49.0 to 21.0
68 Eastern Washington over 196 Idaho 45.5 to 17.5
22 Fresno State over 136 Hawaii 45.5 to 17.5
203 Grambling over 254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 49.0 to 17.5
241 Hampton over 255 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 28.0
24 Notre Dame over 142 Navy 38.5 to 17.5
54 North Texas over 236 Rice 49.0 to 14.0
215 Northwestern State over 255 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 24.5
3 Oklahoma over 70 Kansas State 49.0 to 21.0
17 Princeton over 155 Cornell 49.0 to 14.0
146 Sam Houston State over 224 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 28.0
147 San Diego over 251 Jacksonville 49.0 to 17.5
130 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 237 Virginia Military 45.5 to 17.5
81 Alabama - Birmingham over 223 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 14.0
25 Utah State over 124 New Mexico 49.0 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
20 West Virginia over 73 Baylor 42.0 to 28.0
18 Utah over 91 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
158 Pennsylvania over 234 Brown 31.5 to 17.5
10 Washington over 95 California 31.5 to 14.0
175 Campbell over 250 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 7.0
189 Central Connecticut over 231 Wagner 42.0 to 24.5
49 Dartmouth over 123 Harvard 31.5 to 14.0
197 North Carolina Central over 252 Delaware State 42.0 to 24.5
176 Florida A&M over 219 Morgan State 31.5 to 17.5
2 Clemson over 62 Florida State 35.0 to 17.5
181 Holy Cross over 230 Lehigh 35.0 to 24.5
11 James Madison over 63 Stony Brook 35.0 to 17.5
77 Maryland over 149 Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
74 Jacksonville State over 166 Murray State 38.5 to 24.5
112 Rhode Island over 190 William & Mary 31.5 to 21.0
9 North Dakota State over 122 South Dakota 35.0 to 17.5
178 Southern over 248 Jackson State 24.5 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
92 Troy State over 179 South Alabama 35.0 to 24.5
94 Ohio over 143 Ball State 38.5 to 28.0
183 Dayton over 244 Butler 31.5 to 21.0
51 Kennesaw State over 157 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 21.0
44 Houston over 88 South Florida 45.5 to 31.5
38 Texas Christian over 97 Kansas 31.5 to 17.5
152 Maine over 180 Albany 31.5 to 21.0
86 Nebraska over 201 Bethune - Cookman 45.5 to 28.0
169 Monmouth over 247 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
185 Sacred Heart over 216 Bryant 38.5 to 31.5
65 Cincinnati over 132 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 24.5
249 Texas Southern over 253 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 24.5
186 Drake over 238 Valparaiso 31.5 to 21.0
98 Villanova over 163 New Hampshire 24.5 to 10.5
41 Virginia over 115 North Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
26 Appalachian State over 99 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 21.0
58 Virginia Tech over 45 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 31.5
89 Western Michigan over 90 Toledo 42.0 to 38.5
23 Miami - Florida over 43 Boston College 31.5 to 28.0
40 Boise State over 76 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
125 Akron over 160 Central Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
52 Oregon over 113 Arizona 38.5 to 31.5
64 Vanderbilt over 102 Arkansas 24.5 to 24.5
85 Brigham Young over 101 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
103 Yale over 164 Columbia 28.0 to 21.0
182 Massachusetts over 210 Connecticut 38.5 to 38.5
79 Delaware over 69 Towson 31.5 to 31.5
213 Eastern Kentucky over 205 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
42 Army over 72 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
165 East Tennessee State over 198 Western Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
221 Fordham over 233 Lafayette 24.5 to 21.0
127 Coastal Carolina over 170 Georgia State 31.5 to 28.0
172 Howard over 225 South Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
104 Idaho State over 137 Montana State 38.5 to 35.0
35 South Dakota State over 55 Illinois State 31.5 to 31.5
120 Louisville over 114 Wake Forest 38.5 to 31.5
144 Central Arkansas over 211 McNeese State 24.5 to 17.5
16 Purdue over 59 Michigan State 24.5 to 21.0
19 Mississippi State over 27 Texas A&M 28.0 to 21.0
14 Missouri over 34 Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
131 Missouri State over 151 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
61 California - Davis over 117 Montana 38.5 to 35.0
229 Marist over 243 Morehead State 38.5 to 35.0
80 San Diego State over 119 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 21.0
4 Georgia over 13 Florida 31.5 to 21.0
173 Nicholls State over 177 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 28.0
134 Southern Mississippi over 194 North Carolina - Charlot 28.0 to 17.5
105 North Dakota over 108 Weber State 21.0 to 17.5
187 Northern Arizona over 191 California Poly 35.0 to 28.0
28 Wisconsin over 82 Northwestern 31.5 to 21.0
31 Oklahoma State over 30 Texas 35.0 to 28.0
8 Penn State over 12 Iowa 35.0 to 24.5
32 Duke over 93 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 21.0
193 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 242 Robert Morris 35.0 to 24.5
206 Sacramento State over 208 Portland State 38.5 to 35.0
153 Nevada - Las Vegas over 204 San Jose State 35.0 to 28.0
226 Norfolk State over 222 Savannah State 21.0 to 21.0
47 South Carolina over 87 Tennessee 31.5 to 21.0
60 Southern California over 57 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
202 Southern Utah over 192 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 28.0
39 Stanford over 36 Washington State 28.0 to 24.5
240 Stephen F. Austin over 228 Lamar 31.5 to 28.0
46 Syracuse over 29 North Carolina State 35.0 to 35.0
96 Southeast Missouri State over 174 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 28.0
218 Texas State - San Marcos over 207 New Mexico State 38.5 to 35.0
154 Tulsa over 126 Tulane 24.5 to 21.0
53 Northern Iowa over 106 Western Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
107 Florida International over 161 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
118 Wofford over 140 Mercer 35.0 to 28.0
139 Youngstown State over 141 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
150 Colorado State over 145 Wyoming 24.5 to 24.5
121 Florida Atlantic over 100 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 31.5
84 Minnesota over 75 Indiana 28.0 to 24.5
245 Stetson over 246 Davidson 31.5 to 28.0
21 Texas Tech over 37 Iowa State 31.5 to 31.5
116 Arkansas State over 111 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 35.0
217 Alabama A&M over 232 Alabama State 24.5 to 24.5
138 Middle Tennessee State over 156 Old Dominion 35.0 to 35.0
188 Prairie View over 167 Alcorn State 31.5 to 28.0
168 The Citadel over 148 Furman 31.5 to 31.5
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