ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
75 Toledo over 191 Kent State 42.0 to 24.5
35 Eastern Washington over 160 Portland State 42.0 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 147 The Citadel 59.5 to 7.0
44 Appalachian State over 180 Georgia State 42.0 to 10.5
30 Auburn over 136 Liberty 45.5 to 17.5
76 Brigham Young over 203 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
68 California - Davis over 209 Sacramento State 49.0 to 21.0
2 Clemson over 43 Duke 42.0 to 14.0
9 Utah State over 183 Colorado State 52.5 to 24.5
37 Dartmouth over 238 Brown 45.5 to 3.5
28 Florida over 171 Idaho 42.0 to 17.5
4 Georgia over 163 Massachusetts 59.5 to 14.0
194 Sam Houston State over 255 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 24.5
20 Iowa over 134 Illinois 42.0 to 17.5
14 Louisiana State over 225 Rice 49.0 to 3.5
113 Marshall over 222 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 10.5
3 Michigan over 77 Indiana 42.0 to 14.0
11 Mississippi State over 104 Arkansas 35.0 to 10.5
215 Alabama A&M over 254 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 21.0
199 Drake over 251 Morehead State 38.5 to 21.0
7 North Dakota State over 126 Southern Illinois 45.5 to 10.5
86 Northern Iowa over 173 Missouri State 38.5 to 17.5
5 Oklahoma over 99 Kansas 52.5 to 21.0
8 Princeton over 179 Pennsylvania 45.5 to 10.5
17 Penn State over 190 Rutgers 45.5 to 14.0
15 South Dakota State over 140 South Dakota 52.5 to 24.5
85 Troy State over 204 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 14.0
21 Washington over 143 Oregon State 49.0 to 17.5
115 Wofford over 252 Presbyterian 42.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
36 Boise State over 137 New Mexico 42.0 to 24.5
142 Akron over 201 Bowling Green 35.0 to 24.5
54 Stony Brook over 185 Albany 35.0 to 14.0
162 Alcorn State over 242 Jackson State 28.0 to 7.0
100 Arkansas State over 150 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
247 Delaware State over 255 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 28.0
146 East Carolina over 220 Connecticut 38.5 to 21.0
13 Fresno State over 105 San Diego State 28.0 to 10.5
159 Monmouth over 239 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 24.5
165 Dayton over 250 Jacksonville 45.5 to 28.0
46 Kentucky over 103 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5
110 Louisiana - Lafayette over 214 South Alabama 45.5 to 24.5
47 North Carolina State over 164 Louisville 42.0 to 24.5
12 Ohio State over 73 Maryland 38.5 to 24.5
106 North Carolina over 198 Western Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
122 North Carolina A&T over 223 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 17.5
207 Prairie View over 249 Alabama State 35.0 to 21.0
88 Nevada - Reno over 188 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
40 South Carolina over 154 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 14.0
94 Southeast Missouri State over 182 Eastern Illinois 49.0 to 31.5
38 Temple over 120 South Florida 42.0 to 28.0
25 Texas A&M over 71 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 17.5
246 Texas Southern over 253 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 28.0
22 Washington State over 78 Arizona 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
80 Northern Illinois over 112 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 17.5
145 Nicholls State over 205 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
19 Central Florida over 50 Cincinnati 35.0 to 24.5
16 Utah over 87 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
67 Illinois State over 123 Youngstown State 28.0 to 17.5
156 Old Dominion over 236 Virginia Military 49.0 to 35.0
197 South Carolina State over 228 Savannah State 24.5 to 14.0
10 Missouri over 72 Tennessee 35.0 to 28.0
193 Western Kentucky over 213 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
128 Western Michigan over 174 Ball State 35.0 to 28.0
55 Ohio over 66 Buffalo 38.5 to 31.5
60 Houston over 102 Tulane 38.5 to 28.0
155 Incarnate Word over 212 North Alabama 49.0 to 38.5
82 North Texas over 108 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 24.5
217 Northwestern State over 245 Stephen F. Austin 28.0 to 24.5
62 Memphis over 116 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 42.0
177 Abilene Christian over 192 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0
41 Colgate over 45 Army 21.0 to 17.5
187 Austin Peay over 172 Murray State 35.0 to 31.5
65 Texas Christian over 84 Baylor 28.0 to 24.5
29 Stanford over 81 California 24.5 to 21.0
64 Southern California over 98 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
153 California Poly over 219 Southern Utah 38.5 to 24.5
169 Central Connecticut over 186 Duquesne 31.5 to 28.0
118 Georgia Southern over 152 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
157 Columbia over 170 Cornell 28.0 to 21.0
232 Davidson over 248 Butler 38.5 to 35.0
93 Delaware over 138 Villanova 28.0 to 17.5
91 Samford over 151 East Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
42 Boston College over 89 Florida State 31.5 to 28.0
141 Holy Cross over 226 Georgetown 28.0 to 17.5
39 Georgia Tech over 58 Virginia 35.0 to 24.5
92 Harvard over 96 Yale 31.5 to 24.5
139 Hawaii over 148 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 38.5
181 Howard over 231 Bryant 45.5 to 35.0
121 Weber State over 131 Idaho State 35.0 to 28.0
27 Texas Tech over 79 Kansas State 35.0 to 31.5
224 Lafayette over 237 Lehigh 31.5 to 21.0
119 Maine over 114 Elon 24.5 to 21.0
158 San Diego over 210 Marist 35.0 to 28.0
216 McNeese State over 202 Lamar 28.0 to 21.0
63 Northwestern over 83 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5
124 Montana over 132 Montana State 35.0 to 28.0
130 Navy over 149 Tulsa 28.0 to 21.0
166 Florida A&M over 208 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 24.5
26 Kennesaw State over 74 Jacksonville State 31.5 to 24.5
230 Norfolk State over 233 Morgan State 21.0 to 17.5
109 Florida International over 176 North Carolina - Charlot 28.0 to 21.0
125 North Dakota over 195 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 21.0
18 Notre Dame over 34 Syracuse 38.5 to 35.0
6 West Virginia over 33 Oklahoma State 42.0 to 35.0
59 Oregon over 52 Arizona State 38.5 to 35.0
32 Purdue over 56 Wisconsin 31.5 to 24.5
95 Rhode Island over 107 New Hampshire 24.5 to 24.5
178 Sacred Heart over 211 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 17.5
229 Stetson over 241 Valparaiso 35.0 to 28.0
167 Tennessee State over 184 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 28.0
218 Eastern Kentucky over 244 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 24.5
24 Texas over 23 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0
31 James Madison over 57 Towson 38.5 to 31.5
48 Miami - Florida over 117 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
51 Pittsburgh over 101 Wake Forest 38.5 to 31.5
111 Western Illinois over 97 Indiana State 35.0 to 31.5
161 William & Mary over 175 Richmond 28.0 to 24.5
69 Air Force over 129 Wyoming 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
243 Bucknell over 227 Fordham 21.0 to 21.0
206 Campbell over 196 Charleston Southern 17.5 to 17.5
144 Mercer over 127 Furman 28.0 to 28.0
53 Michigan State over 70 Nebraska 28.0 to 28.0
240 Robert Morris over 235 Wagner 38.5 to 38.5
135 Southern Mississippi over 133 Louisiana Tech 24.5 to 24.5
49 Mississippi over 61 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 35.0
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