ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 74 Air Force over 158 Colorado State 42.0 to 21.0 52 Cincinnati over 140 East Carolina 38.5 to 17.5 36 Ohio over 175 Akron 42.0 to 17.5 75 Toledo over 185 Central Michigan 42.0 to 21.0 1 Alabama over 18 Auburn 38.5 to 14.0 2 Clemson over 34 South Carolina 45.5 to 14.0 46 Temple over 224 Connecticut 49.0 to 17.5 19 Fresno State over 187 San Jose State 45.5 to 7.0 55 Michigan State over 186 Rutgers 28.0 to 3.5 8 Missouri over 110 Arkansas 45.5 to 21.0 60 Northwestern over 156 Illinois 42.0 to 21.0 195 Prairie View over 250 Texas Southern 38.5 to 17.5 80-90% chance of victory: 98 Miami - Ohio over 160 Ball State 35.0 to 21.0 9 Mississippi State over 54 Mississippi 38.5 to 24.5 13 Iowa over 71 Nebraska 38.5 to 21.0 22 Texas over 86 Kansas 35.0 to 21.0 93 Eastern Michigan over 190 Kent State 35.0 to 17.5 61 Oregon over 139 Oregon State 45.5 to 31.5 11 Central Florida over 125 South Florida 45.5 to 24.5 49 Appalachian State over 103 Troy State 31.5 to 14.0 42 Duke over 114 Wake Forest 38.5 to 24.5 91 Florida Atlantic over 154 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 17.5 4 Georgia over 35 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 28.0 26 Penn State over 67 Maryland 38.5 to 24.5 99 San Diego State over 146 Hawaii 35.0 to 21.0 131 Southern Mississippi over 215 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 17.5 79 North Texas over 221 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 14.0 16 Utah over 77 Brigham Young 31.5 to 10.5 45 Wisconsin over 88 Minnesota 35.0 to 21.0 32 Iowa State over 178 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 14.0 70-80% chance of victory: 252 Alabama State over 254 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 28.0 83 Buffalo over 188 Bowling Green 38.5 to 28.0 30 Stanford over 95 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5 96 Georgia Southern over 184 Georgia State 35.0 to 24.5 148 Liberty over 205 New Mexico State 45.5 to 35.0 132 Louisiana Tech over 173 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5 47 Kentucky over 180 Louisville 35.0 to 21.0 41 Texas Tech over 82 Baylor 42.0 to 31.5 200 South Carolina State over 236 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 14.0 12 Notre Dame over 76 Southern California 31.5 to 21.0 106 Arkansas State over 201 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 21.0 148 Liberty over 235 Norfolk State 35.0 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 92 Northern Illinois over 130 Western Michigan 28.0 to 24.5 162 Coastal Carolina over 209 South Alabama 31.5 to 28.0 57 Virginia over 123 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 24.5 14 Washington State over 29 Washington 31.5 to 24.5 51 Arizona State over 85 Arizona 35.0 to 31.5 28 Boise State over 17 Utah State 38.5 to 35.0 48 Boston College over 58 Syracuse 35.0 to 31.5 78 California over 94 Colorado 24.5 to 21.0 101 Florida International over 100 Marshall 28.0 to 28.0 27 Florida over 84 Florida State 28.0 to 28.0 38 Purdue over 70 Indiana 35.0 to 31.5 32 Iowa State over 65 Kansas State 21.0 to 14.0 44 Miami - Florida over 40 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 21.0 89 Nevada - Reno over 152 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 31.5 122 Wyoming over 144 New Mexico 28.0 to 21.0 39 North Carolina State over 105 North Carolina 38.5 to 28.0 119 Louisiana - Lafayette over 153 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 35.0 161 Southern over 216 Grambling 31.5 to 24.5 133 Old Dominion over 213 Rice 38.5 to 31.5 21 Texas A&M over 25 Louisiana State 24.5 to 21.0 112 Tulane over 126 Navy 28.0 to 24.5 120 Southern Methodist over 164 Tulsa 31.5 to 28.0 56 Vanderbilt over 81 Tennessee 28.0 to 21.0 134 The Citadel over 198 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0 50-60% chance of victory: 59 Memphis over 50 Houston 45.5 to 45.5 6 West Virginia over 5 Oklahoma 45.5 to 45.5 72 Alabama - Birmingham over 87 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0 3 Michigan over 15 Ohio State 31.5 to 28.0 62 Texas Christian over 33 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 31.5
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