ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 51 Appalachian State over 116 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 21.0 2 Clemson over 49 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 17.5 80-90% chance of victory: 11 Central Florida over 50 Memphis 45.5 to 31.5 31 Iowa State over 198 Drake 31.5 to 10.5 10 Ohio State over 66 Northwestern 38.5 to 24.5 70-80% chance of victory: 1 Alabama over 3 Georgia 35.0 to 24.5 52 Army over 124 Navy 35.0 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 137 The Citadel over 195 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0 89 Alabama - Birmingham over 77 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0 24 Boise State over 28 Fresno State 28.0 to 24.5 168 Liberty over 235 Norfolk State 35.0 to 24.5 5 Oklahoma over 25 Texas 45.5 to 38.5 50-60% chance of victory: 76 Buffalo over 100 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5 22 Washington over 18 Utah 24.5 to 21.0
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