2018 Week 15 (8 Dec) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------
This Week:

80-90% chance of victory:

  23 Eastern Washington        over   61 California - Davis         42.0 to 31.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  49 Army                      over  122 Navy                       35.0 to 21.0
   4 North Dakota State        over   37 Colgate                    28.0 to 14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 103 Weber State               over   83 Maine                      24.5 to 24.5
  18 South Dakota State        over   39 Kennesaw State             38.5 to 35.0



Including Preliminary Bowl Game Predictions:

80-90% chance of victory:

  23 Eastern Washington        over   61 California - Davis         42.0 to 31.5
  19 Utah State                over   91 North Texas                42.0 to 28.0
   1 Alabama                   over    5 Oklahoma                   49.0 to 35.0
   2 Clemson                   over   11 Notre Dame                 35.0 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  49 Army                      over  122 Navy                       35.0 to 21.0
   4 North Dakota State        over   37 Colgate                    28.0 to 14.0
 173 Prairie View              over  232 North Carolina Central     35.0 to 24.5
  72 Brigham Young             over  129 Western Michigan           31.5 to 24.5
  25 Utah                      over   68 Northwestern               28.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  28 Fresno State              over   51 Arizona State              28.0 to 24.5
  90 Georgia Southern          over   98 Eastern Michigan           28.0 to 24.5
  54 Appalachian State         over   70 Middle Tennessee State     28.0 to 21.0
 123 Tulane                    over  112 Louisiana - Lafayette      31.5 to 31.5
  38 Ohio                      over  110 San Diego State            31.5 to 24.5
 127 South Florida             over  119 Marshall                   31.5 to 28.0
  62 Toledo                    over  102 Florida International      42.0 to 35.0
 138 Louisiana Tech            over  136 Hawaii                     35.0 to 31.5
  49 Army                      over   57 Houston                    35.0 to 31.5
  50 Memphis                   over   64 Wake Forest                42.0 to 38.5
  27 Boise State               over   47 Boston College             28.0 to 24.5
  55 Texas Christian           over   66 California                 21.0 to 17.5
  40 Georgia Tech              over   76 Minnesota                  35.0 to 28.0
  45 Vanderbilt                over   77 Baylor                     31.5 to 24.5
  46 Temple                    over   74 Duke                       31.5 to 28.0
  56 Wisconsin                 over   89 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 21.0
  15 Auburn                    over   34 Purdue                     31.5 to 24.5
  16 Washington State          over   53 Iowa State                 31.5 to 24.5
  10 West Virginia             over   42 Syracuse                   42.0 to 35.0
   8 Michigan                  over   22 Florida                    31.5 to 21.0
  95 Arkansas State            over   99 Nevada - Reno              31.5 to 28.0
  32 South Carolina            over   63 Virginia                   31.5 to 28.0
   9 Missouri                  over   31 Oklahoma State             42.0 to 38.5
  41 Oregon                    over   65 Michigan State             24.5 to 21.0
  30 Stanford                  over   48 Pittsburgh                 31.5 to 28.0
  44 Cincinnati                over   86 Virginia Tech              31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

 103 Weber State               over   83 Maine                      24.5 to 24.5
  18 South Dakota State        over   39 Kennesaw State             38.5 to 35.0
  93 Northern Illinois         over   92 Alabama - Birmingham       21.0 to 21.0
  75 Buffalo                   over  107 Troy State                 28.0 to 28.0
  26 North Carolina State      over   21 Texas A&M                  35.0 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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