ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
2 Alabama over 210 New Mexico State 66.5 to 7.0
71 Villanova over 220 Lehigh 49.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
23 Florida over 174 Tennessee - Martin 42.0 to 14.0
5 Georgia over 193 Murray State 56.0 to 14.0
76 Illinois State over 252 Morehead State 56.0 to 17.5
4 North Dakota State over 139 North Dakota 45.5 to 7.0
3 Oklahoma over 127 South Dakota 59.5 to 28.0
39 Texas Tech over 224 Texas - El Paso 52.5 to 17.5
22 Washington State over 204 Northern Colorado 52.5 to 17.5
128 Youngstown State over 212 Howard 49.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
54 Arizona State over 199 Sacramento State 49.0 to 24.5
27 Boise State over 93 Marshall 38.5 to 21.0
60 Wake Forest over 216 Rice 45.5 to 21.0
49 Virginia over 183 William & Mary 31.5 to 14.0
87 Alabama - Birmingham over 181 Akron 28.0 to 21.0
221 Alabama A&M over 254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 24.5
173 Albany over 215 Bryant 38.5 to 28.0
38 Appalachian State over 164 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 14.0
106 Arizona over 159 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 31.5
9 Auburn over 105 Tulane 38.5 to 14.0
70 Baylor over 195 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 17.5
190 Bethune - Cookman over 207 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
37 Boston College over 138 Richmond 38.5 to 24.5
84 California - Los Angeles over 112 San Diego State 28.0 to 21.0
1 Clemson over 18 Texas A&M 45.5 to 21.0
108 Western Illinois over 145 Colorado State 35.0 to 28.0
132 Illinois over 218 Connecticut 38.5 to 28.0
242 Davidson over 256 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 31.5
50 Duke over 125 North Carolina A&T 28.0 to 21.0
180 East Carolina over 235 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 24.5
117 Elon over 141 The Citadel 31.5 to 21.0
14 Central Florida over 88 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 28.0
113 Florida International over 147 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
69 Florida State over 149 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 21.0
29 Fresno State over 61 Minnesota 28.0 to 21.0
122 Furman over 161 Georgia State 35.0 to 28.0
46 Georgia Tech over 129 South Florida 42.0 to 24.5
91 Hawaii over 142 Oregon State 49.0 to 38.5
115 New Hampshire over 163 Holy Cross 31.5 to 24.5
72 Houston over 167 Prairie View 45.5 to 35.0
214 Incarnate Word over 253 Texas Southern 35.0 to 24.5
68 Indiana over 191 Eastern Illinois 45.5 to 24.5
13 Iowa over 152 Rutgers 38.5 to 10.5
90 Jacksonville State over 166 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 17.5
30 James Madison over 205 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 7.0
102 Kansas over 155 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
48 Kansas State over 187 Bowling Green 45.5 to 17.5
51 Kennesaw State over 197 Kent State 45.5 to 17.5
34 Kentucky over 96 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
209 Lamar over 255 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 24.5
124 Louisiana - Lafayette over 158 Liberty 42.0 to 31.5
130 Louisiana Tech over 217 Grambling 31.5 to 21.0
134 Louisville over 202 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
133 Southern Illinois over 170 Massachusetts 45.5 to 38.5
58 Memphis over 169 Southern 45.5 to 28.0
110 Miami - Ohio over 237 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 21.0
10 Michigan over 45 Army 31.5 to 17.5
66 Michigan State over 118 Western Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
94 Middle Tennessee State over 179 Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
56 Mississippi over 116 Arkansas 38.5 to 28.0
8 Mississippi State over 119 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 10.5
162 Monmouth over 240 Lafayette 38.5 to 21.0
126 Montana over 225 North Alabama 52.5 to 31.5
32 Miami - Florida over 89 North Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
33 North Carolina State over 188 Western Carolina 52.5 to 24.5
77 Northern Iowa over 189 Southern Utah 38.5 to 14.0
6 Ohio State over 65 Cincinnati 42.0 to 21.0
20 Oklahoma State over 208 McNeese State 49.0 to 17.5
47 Oregon over 107 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 24.5
7 Penn State over 85 Buffalo 49.0 to 21.0
43 Purdue over 67 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 24.5
185 Sacred Heart over 236 Bucknell 31.5 to 17.5
186 South Alabama over 244 Jackson State 28.0 to 17.5
42 South Carolina over 201 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 14.0
21 South Dakota State over 238 Long Island 80.5 to 38.5
100 Wyoming over 213 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 14.0
101 Towson over 229 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 17.5
26 Utah over 104 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
24 Utah State over 81 Stony Brook 35.0 to 28.0
63 Virginia Tech over 157 Old Dominion 45.5 to 24.5
12 Washington over 73 California 31.5 to 14.0
111 Weber State over 156 California Poly 31.5 to 24.5
28 Wisconsin over 168 Central Michigan 42.0 to 10.5
50-60% chance of victory:
153 Austin Peay over 154 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 31.5
182 Ball State over 226 Fordham 31.5 to 28.0
75 Colorado over 62 Nebraska 35.0 to 31.5
230 Georgetown over 223 Marist 24.5 to 24.5
95 Maine over 109 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 24.5
131 Indiana State over 172 Dayton 35.0 to 35.0
64 Maryland over 41 Syracuse 35.0 to 35.0
16 Missouri over 17 West Virginia 38.5 to 35.0
114 Southeast Missouri State over 135 Montana State 31.5 to 31.5
99 Arkansas State over 136 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 31.5
57 Pittsburgh over 44 Ohio 31.5 to 31.5
103 Delaware over 123 Rhode Island 28.0 to 28.0
78 California - Davis over 143 San Diego 38.5 to 35.0
150 Tulsa over 184 San Jose State 31.5 to 28.0
52 Southern California over 31 Stanford 28.0 to 24.5
86 North Texas over 120 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 35.0
83 Tennessee over 80 Brigham Young 24.5 to 21.0
25 Texas over 11 Louisiana State 28.0 to 28.0
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