ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
10 Auburn over 184 Kent State 42.0 to 3.5
77 California - Davis over 219 Lehigh 45.5 to 24.5
4 Oklahoma over 93 California - Los Angeles 52.5 to 31.5
3 Georgia over 100 Arkansas State 45.5 to 14.0
26 James Madison over 227 Morgan State 49.0 to 7.0
9 Louisiana State over 218 Northwestern State 56.0 to 14.0
99 San Diego State over 213 New Mexico State 38.5 to 17.5
24 Texas over 211 Rice 45.5 to 14.0
55 Memphis over 189 South Alabama 42.0 to 24.5
126 South Dakota over 256 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 14.0
2 Clemson over 50 Syracuse 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
39 Boston College over 117 Kansas 35.0 to 14.0
44 Texas Tech over 121 Arizona 52.5 to 38.5
36 Boise State over 186 Portland State 49.0 to 17.5
79 Illinois State over 239 Eastern Illinois 56.0 to 17.5
5 Ohio State over 95 Indiana 42.0 to 17.5
116 Louisiana - Lafayette over 251 Texas Southern 49.0 to 21.0
16 Missouri over 118 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 24.5
101 Navy over 171 East Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
45 Northwestern over 163 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 21.0
15 Notre Dame over 145 New Mexico 49.0 to 14.0
27 Oregon over 90 Montana 42.0 to 28.0
7 Penn State over 57 Pittsburgh 38.5 to 17.5
1 Alabama over 42 South Carolina 42.0 to 17.5
108 Southern Methodist over 207 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 21.0
86 Stony Brook over 223 Wagner 42.0 to 17.5
18 Texas A&M over 216 Lamar 52.5 to 14.0
23 Oklahoma State over 140 Tulsa 45.5 to 24.5
17 Washington over 146 Hawaii 42.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
49 Kennesaw State over 247 Alabama State 49.0 to 17.5
91 Villanova over 238 Bucknell 31.5 to 7.0
64 California over 111 North Texas 35.0 to 21.0
8 Central Florida over 33 Stanford 38.5 to 24.5
6 North Dakota State over 103 Delaware 31.5 to 10.5
61 Georgia Tech over 138 The Citadel 38.5 to 24.5
83 Buffalo over 177 Liberty 35.0 to 24.5
60 Minnesota over 119 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 21.0
59 Mississippi over 191 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 28.0
62 North Dakota over 168 Sam Houston State 56.0 to 24.5
178 Tennessee State over 248 Jackson State 28.0 to 10.5
58 Army over 199 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 10.5
25 Utah over 143 Idaho State 49.0 to 21.0
110 Wofford over 201 Samford 49.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
21 Washington State over 72 Houston 42.0 to 31.5
56 Wake Forest over 81 North Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
122 Arkansas over 141 Colorado State 31.5 to 24.5
97 Florida Atlantic over 169 Ball State 35.0 to 28.0
134 Louisiana Tech over 197 Bowling Green 31.5 to 24.5
43 Southern California over 78 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
208 Fordham over 222 Bryant 38.5 to 31.5
149 Central Arkansas over 198 Abilene Christian 35.0 to 24.5
124 North Carolina A&T over 215 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 17.5
70 Cincinnati over 106 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
154 Coastal Carolina over 230 Norfolk State 31.5 to 21.0
66 Colorado over 74 Air Force 38.5 to 31.5
166 East Tennessee State over 240 Virginia Military 45.5 to 24.5
113 New Hampshire over 133 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
136 Indiana State over 187 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
30 Eastern Washington over 84 Jacksonville State 38.5 to 31.5
35 Kentucky over 68 Florida 31.5 to 21.0
179 Sacred Heart over 232 Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
82 Maine over 89 Towson 31.5 to 28.0
53 Ohio over 94 Marshall 28.0 to 28.0
155 Alcorn State over 206 McNeese State 31.5 to 24.5
125 Mercer over 165 Austin Peay 38.5 to 28.0
87 Miami - Florida over 188 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 21.0
51 Michigan State over 63 Arizona State 24.5 to 17.5
46 Duke over 80 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 31.5
11 Mississippi State over 31 Kansas State 28.0 to 21.0
67 Nebraska over 107 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
105 Weber State over 128 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 24.5
226 North Alabama over 244 Alabama A&M 49.0 to 35.0
152 North Carolina - Charlot over 181 Massachusetts 42.0 to 31.5
129 Louisville over 150 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
22 Texas Christian over 47 Purdue 28.0 to 21.0
172 Dayton over 243 Robert Morris 42.0 to 24.5
204 Sacramento State over 202 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 35.0
29 South Dakota State over 164 Drake 31.5 to 10.5
132 Southern Illinois over 175 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 28.0
185 Southern Utah over 245 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 21.0
131 South Florida over 200 South Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
98 Tennessee over 217 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 10.5
71 Toledo over 194 Murray State 49.0 to 31.5
76 Troy State over 112 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
104 Tulane over 173 Missouri State 31.5 to 21.0
158 Central Connecticut over 236 Valparaiso 42.0 to 24.5
41 Virginia over 75 Florida State 31.5 to 24.5
69 Virginia Tech over 114 Furman 38.5 to 28.0
130 Western Michigan over 148 Georgia State 38.5 to 31.5
28 West Virginia over 32 North Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
183 William & Mary over 210 Colgate 31.5 to 21.0
92 Wyoming over 182 Idaho 35.0 to 17.5
109 Youngstown State over 162 Duquesne 35.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
196 Central Michigan over 190 Akron 21.0 to 21.0
235 North Carolina Central over 242 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 24.5
102 Eastern Michigan over 127 Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
14 Iowa over 34 Iowa State 24.5 to 24.5
224 Marist over 229 Stetson 35.0 to 31.5
170 Monmouth over 156 Albany 31.5 to 31.5
209 Howard over 228 Hampton 42.0 to 38.5
153 California Poly over 147 Oregon State 38.5 to 38.5
176 Prairie View over 144 Nicholls State 31.5 to 31.5
250 Presbyterian over 249 Jacksonville 31.5 to 28.0
115 Elon over 142 Richmond 28.0 to 28.0
37 Maryland over 54 Temple 38.5 to 38.5
135 Western Illinois over 120 Montana State 24.5 to 21.0
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