ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
43 Memphis over 96 Navy 35.0 to 24.5
66 Air Force over 183 San Jose State 42.0 to 17.5
1 Alabama over 76 Mississippi 49.0 to 10.5
173 Alcorn State over 253 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 14.0
8 Central Florida over 217 Connecticut 59.5 to 10.5
62 Furman over 179 East Tennessee State 38.5 to 17.5
18 Iowa over 115 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 17.5
21 Michigan over 159 Rutgers 38.5 to 10.5
2 Ohio State over 46 Nebraska 49.0 to 28.0
41 Fresno State over 198 New Mexico State 45.5 to 21.0
3 Clemson over 78 North Carolina 42.0 to 14.0
22 Texas A&M over 136 Arkansas 42.0 to 17.5
6 Oklahoma over 56 Texas Tech 52.5 to 28.0
108 Southern Mississippi over 236 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 14.0
19 Utah State over 166 Colorado State 56.0 to 24.5
135 Wofford over 238 Virginia Military 38.5 to 17.5
64 Youngstown State over 225 Robert Morris 49.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
17 Princeton over 243 Bucknell 49.0 to 10.5
42 Dartmouth over 208 Colgate 42.0 to 10.5
28 James Madison over 114 Elon 38.5 to 21.0
146 Liberty over 175 New Mexico 38.5 to 28.0
126 North Carolina A&T over 252 Delaware State 38.5 to 10.5
59 Syracuse over 168 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
9 Washington over 33 Southern California 38.5 to 21.0
106 Western Michigan over 172 Central Michigan 42.0 to 28.0
7 Wisconsin over 74 Northwestern 35.0 to 10.5
93 Wyoming over 167 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
180 Eastern Kentucky over 214 Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
58 Eastern Washington over 124 North Dakota 38.5 to 24.5
23 Florida over 73 Towson 35.0 to 24.5
100 Montana State over 153 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
171 Southeast Louisiana over 234 Northwestern State 42.0 to 28.0
12 Notre Dame over 49 Virginia 31.5 to 17.5
45 Stanford over 130 Oregon State 38.5 to 24.5
39 Pittsburgh over 125 Delaware 31.5 to 21.0
36 Texas Christian over 82 Kansas 28.0 to 14.0
132 Nicholls State over 196 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
50 California over 48 Arizona State 24.5 to 17.5
13 Penn State over 30 Maryland 35.0 to 28.0
34 Duke over 69 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 28.0
138 Albany over 158 William & Mary 28.0 to 21.0
40 Appalachian State over 102 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
61 Arizona over 95 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 31.5
186 Southern over 235 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 31.5
10 Auburn over 26 Mississippi State 28.0 to 17.5
112 Jacksonville State over 144 Austin Peay 35.0 to 28.0
24 Iowa State over 57 Baylor 35.0 to 28.0
203 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 240 Bryant 28.0 to 21.0
86 California - Davis over 90 Montana 31.5 to 31.5
154 Columbia over 216 Georgetown 28.0 to 14.0
151 Richmond over 211 Fordham 35.0 to 28.0
51 Louisiana - Lafayette over 111 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 35.0
94 Harvard over 220 Brown 42.0 to 14.0
251 Houston Baptist over 255 Texas Southern 38.5 to 35.0
194 Bethune - Cookman over 229 Howard 35.0 to 28.0
152 Idaho State over 191 Portland State 35.0 to 28.0
187 Abilene Christian over 210 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 35.0
139 Pennsylvania over 222 Lafayette 35.0 to 17.5
218 Lamar over 233 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 28.0
197 Drake over 250 Marist 24.5 to 14.0
142 Sam Houston State over 200 McNeese State 28.0 to 24.5
137 Mercer over 206 Campbell 31.5 to 17.5
113 Buffalo over 145 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
29 Michigan State over 79 Indiana 24.5 to 14.0
230 Morgan State over 245 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 21.0
103 Hawaii over 157 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 35.0
133 New Hampshire over 164 Duquesne 24.5 to 17.5
202 Florida A&M over 231 Norfolk State 31.5 to 24.5
221 North Alabama over 254 Presbyterian 38.5 to 24.5
92 Florida Atlantic over 131 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 31.5
155 Northeast Louisiana over 207 South Alabama 38.5 to 28.0
170 Idaho over 247 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
63 Houston over 97 North Texas 35.0 to 35.0
174 Prairie View over 204 Grambling 35.0 to 28.0
20 Oklahoma State over 32 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
160 Old Dominion over 184 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
116 Stony Brook over 127 Rhode Island 28.0 to 24.5
121 Louisiana Tech over 188 Rice 28.0 to 17.5
140 Samford over 134 The Citadel 38.5 to 35.0
161 California Poly over 195 Southern Utah 35.0 to 31.5
52 Southern Methodist over 128 South Florida 38.5 to 31.5
81 Temple over 72 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 28.0
182 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 193 Western Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
181 Tennessee - Martin over 177 Murray State 28.0 to 24.5
83 Toledo over 85 Brigham Young 35.0 to 31.5
91 Troy State over 118 Arkansas State 31.5 to 24.5
25 Utah over 27 Washington State 31.5 to 28.0
80 Vanderbilt over 117 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
65 Villanova over 105 Maine 35.0 to 24.5
101 Alabama - Birmingham over 169 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
99 Yale over 176 Cornell 38.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
37 Wake Forest over 68 Boston College 31.5 to 31.5
227 Eastern Illinois over 205 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
53 North Carolina State over 84 Florida State 31.5 to 31.5
77 Cincinnati over 104 Marshall 24.5 to 21.0
212 Massachusetts over 223 Akron 35.0 to 31.5
67 Purdue over 54 Minnesota 31.5 to 31.5
47 South Carolina over 38 Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
219 Wagner over 241 Long Island 52.5 to 49.0
89 Northern Iowa over 107 Weber State 17.5 to 17.5
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